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Tokenization in Europe – Current State and Future Outlook

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After the substantial rally of cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, in recent months, it is time to take a detailed look at the current and future market development for tokenized assets. A joint study by Plutoneo and Tangany focuses in particular on Europe and its share of the global market capitalization of tokenized assets.

Comprehensive data for the security token market was collected, depicting the most precise statement for this category in Europe. The trend is clear – the underlying magic of blockchain and distributed ledger technology is advancing more and more. At this moment, the market for tokenized assets consists almost exclusively of cryptocurrencies. However, the future belongs to security tokens. We venture a look at when this will happen.

Key assumptions

For this study, we analyzed the research conducted by third parties and combined it with data from relevant market participants. To calculate the market size for tokenized assets in Europe, the underlying key assumptions are as follows.

  • Market share of cryptocurrencies in Europe
  • Outlook of market size for cryptocurrencies in Europe
  • Market share of security tokens in Europe
  • Outlook of market size for security tokens in Europe

The first two assumptions are used to derive the market size of cryptocurrencies in Europe, while the last two assumptions are used to derive the market size for security tokens in Europe. Combined, we can project the market size for tokenized assets in Europe. In the following, we explain our thought process behind all four assumptions.

For the first time, it was possible to determine the market volume for security tokens without approximations based on the gross domestic product on a global or European level. The mathematical model developed for this study focuses on the key parameters of the financial markets, such as market size for equities and bonds, and extrapolates the degree of tokenization in the coming years.

In this study, we define the term ‘cryptocurrency’ as payment and utility tokens. While cryptocurrencies heavily dominate the market in terms of market capitalization, more and more regulatory progress opens up the space for the tokenization of classical financial instruments. Therefore, this category is referred to in this study as ‘security token.’

Both segments are part of the larger digital assets pool, which also contains fiat-backed tokens and the catching pool for new, yet unclassified tokens. Fiat-backed tokens are classified as security tokens in our study, as they are backed by an asset. Fiat-backed tokens are either issued by a private entity such as Tether (USDT) or Binance USD (BUSD) or by a public institution such as the European Central Bank (ECB), aiming to have a constant exchange rate – usually 1:1 – to a major currency like the US dollar. The pool of others contains appearances like non-fungible token (NFT), mostly used for video games, art and by creatives and designers. NFTs are not part of this case study.

Categories of digital assets covered in this study.

1. Market share of cryptocurrencies in Europe

CoinMarketCap thoroughly tracks the history of the global market size of cryptocurrencies. However, it is not easy to determine how this is distributed among the various continents – in our case, Europe. Based on the extensive studies of Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance, latest statistics and data, we were able to determine that ~55 million Europeans (~7,5% of the European population) hold or use cryptocurrencies. Furthermore, our results show ~40% of global cryptocurrency users come from Europe. As a result, Europe is leading with respect to the number of users worldwide. However, with regard to the global market capitalization in cryptocurrencies, Europeans only cover ~25%.

2. Outlook of market size for cryptocurrencies

The market for cryptocurrencies is experiencing a further bull market in recent months. As a result, the price of the leading cryptocurrencies – Bitcoin and Ethereum – is climbing almost unstoppably from an all-time high to an all-time high. Additionally, there is a steady stream of positive news within the industry providing a significant tailwind to the market. This includes, for example, PayPal’s strong interest in establishing itself in the crypto segment, which can be observed in the acquisition of digital asset security firm Curv.

Moreover, even the giants of the traditional financial world such as Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan can no longer ignore their customers’ demand to access digital assets. Another step that shows how advanced the mainstream adoption of digital assets has come was certainly the IPO of Coinbase, with a market capitalization of over $80 billion.

The growing interest of financial institutions in digital assets now enables institutional investors to access this asset class. For the further development of the market, significant growth is to be expected as institutional investors have not been able to invest in digital assets for regulatory reasons, and in some cases, still are not able to do so. However, a new law in Germany allows precisely that. Here, institutional investment funds (Spezialfonds) can allocate up to 20% in crypto assets in the future. Even if such financial instruments invested only a few percent of their capital in digital assets, the impact on the crypto market would be enormous. This is because these investment vehicles have a market capitalization of approximately 1.2 trillion euro in Germany alone.

Projection digital asset market size Europe from 2018 to 2026 in EUR billions.

3. Market share of security token in Europe

The market for security tokens sparked a few years ago, no earlier than 2017. Since then, the field of security tokens has seen rapid growth. Regulators worldwide adopted the new form of financial instruments into existing regulation. The process started in early 2020 with the financial license introduction for custody of digital assets in Germany and other EU member-states.

Governments see this area as a field where innovation is being created, and the next digital giants are evolving. In this light, countries like Germany are preparing their legislation to allow securities to be represented in the form of tokens. Especially European countries are leading this movement, while the US is still looking for their way to go. Asian jurisdictions have chosen quite different ways of approaching this topic while closely monitoring the developments in Europe.

The global market volume of security tokens – which includes all kinds of tokens that are asset-backed or represent a kind of value – was ~2.7 billion euro in 2019. In contrast, about 0.7 billion euro were issued in Europe (~25%). That includes the European Union and all other European countries.

The market volume in Europe will be around 918 billion euro in 2026, covering all kinds of security tokens. For the first time, security tokens are expected to surpass cryptocurrencies by then. Despite the strong growth within the next few years, the tokenized market will still cover only a small portion of the total market, which is expected to grow to 259 trillion euro in Europe. The tokenization share will be 0.35%, indicating that the tokenized market will still be pre-mature with attractive growth rates beyond 2026.

In the past, the majority of security tokens were issued on Ethereum, with a reported market share of 94%. The other 6% are held by solutions such as Tron, Stellar, and Neo.

4. Outlook of market size for security token

The security tokens market is evolving dynamically and can still be considered to be in its infancy. In 2017, only five reported security tokens were issued. This number has increased to more than 100 in 2020. Our projections forecast continuous growth within the next five years, up to a total market volume of more than 918 billion euro by 2026 in Europe alone, including fiat-backed stablecoins.

Based on the analysis of four major market segments – real estates, stocks, debts and fiat currencies – regarding the future growth of security tokens, it can be concluded that the growth from 2021 to 2026 will be around 81% per year.

The increasing interest in digital assets drives this trend, mainly focused on cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, but more and more around tokenized assets, which provide high liquidity and come with low management fees. Furthermore, upcoming regulations like the German crypto security are amplifying the whole trend. With that, the aim of the European Union Commission to create a harmonized digital asset market is also a notable positive action. This regulation shall be issued by 2023 at the latest, introducing MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets) which can be considered as the pendant to existing MiFID II regulation of traditional financial instruments and activities.

Europe can be described as being at the forefront of security tokens. It is mandatory that innovative startups, traditional companies and institutions – just as governments and regulators – keep handling this area progressively and positively to secure this position.

Conclusion

The overall market of digital assets will keep growing at a swift pace. While the market currently consists almost exclusively of cryptocurrencies in terms of market capitalization, the area of security tokens will grow strongly in the coming years. Progressive regulation in countries like Germany and the EU-level will lead to Europe being the global leader in security tokens. Based on our data model, which for the first time does not rely on approximations such as GDP, the volume of security tokens will exceed the volume of cryptocurrencies for the first time in 2026.

From a European perspective, a look at the crypto market also yields exciting results. With regard to blockchain adoption, it should be noted that Europe accounts for around 40% of global cryptocurrency users. Although European users ‘only’ hold approximately 25% of the worldwide cryptocurrency market capitalization, this clearly shows that the retail segment, in particular, is highly receptive to digital assets.

TL;DR

The market for digital assets today

  • 55 million cryptocurrency users (~7,5% of the European population)
  • 40% of global cryptocurrency users come from Europe
  • 25% of the global market capitalization in cryptocurrencies held by Europeans
  • Security token market is still in its early days with major regulation upcoming

The market for digital assets in 2026

  • The total market capitalization of digital assets will be 1,820 billion euro
  • Security token volume (50.39%) will be larger than cryptocurrencies (49.61%)
  • Tokenized stocks will contribute with 32.77% to the security tokens market

References

Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance: “Global Cryptocurrency benchmarking study,” 2017

Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance: “2nd Global Cryptoasset Benchmarking Study,” 2018

Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance: “3rd Global Cryptoasset Benchmarking Study,” 2020

Statista: “Cryptocurrency adoption in 55 different countries worldwide 2020,” 2021

Statista: “Number of Blockchain wallet users worldwide from November 2011 to April 13, 2021,” 2021

Statista: “How Common is Crypto?,” released 2021

BusinessOfApps: “Coinbase Revenue and Usage Statistics (2021),” 2021

Binance Blog: “Binance 2019: Year in Review,” 2019

Cointelegraph: “PayPal purchases digital asset security firm Curv,” 2021

CNBC: “Goldman Sachs is close to offering bitcoin and other digital assets to its wealth management clients,” 2021

Coindesk: “JPMorgan to Let Clients Invest in Bitcoin Fund for First Time,” 2021

CNBC: “Coinbase closes at $328.28 per share in Nasdaq debut, valuing crypto exchange
at $85.8 billion,” 2021

Blockstate: “Global STO Study 2019,” 2019

Visual Capitalist: “All of the World’s Money and Markets in One Visualization,” 2020

Statista: “Volumen des weltweiten Aktienhandels von 1980 bis 2019”, 2020

Visual Capitalist: “All of the World’s Money and Markets in One Visualization,” 2020

Wikipedia: “Geldmenge,” last viewed May, 2021


Benjamin Schaub is the head of digital hub at Plutoneo. His interests include blockchain use case development and integration in the financial industry, as well as crypto custody. Besides that, he works as a senior consultant at INTAS.tech, a blockchain consulting firm established by the Frankfurt School and Plutoneo.

Martin Kreitmair is one of the co-founders and CEO at Tangany. He is responsible for business development, together with Julian Richter. Furthermore, he is a member of the board at Bundesblock e.V., the German blockchain association.

Julian Richter is head of business development and sales at Tangany. He is an expert when it comes to market insights, market trends and custody of digital assets. Before Tangany, Julian used to work at other companies, such as FinTecSystems, in the asset management field at Continentale Versicherung and in the treasury at the LfA Förderbank Bayern.

Featured Image: Shutterstock/phoelixDE

 

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any loses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Source: https://dailyhodl.com/2021/05/30/tokenization-in-europe-current-state-and-future-outlook/

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Saylor Compares BTC to Early Apple: ‘No One Can Stop, and Few Understand’

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MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor has compared his early backing of Apple to that of bitcoin, calling the crypto “a dominant monetary network that everyone needs.”

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The bitcoin maximalist recently tweeted about an old video that surfaced. The video features Saylor talking about Apple and how bullish he was on the company back during the iPhone 5. Saylor commented in the video, saying “I would be very long on that company, whoever is selling that stock must be a moron.”

Saylor commented on the old video, this time relating his opinion to BTC. The founder of MicroStrategy, a company that provides business intelligence, mobile software, and cloud-based services, made references to early Apple growth and bitcoin. 

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In a tweet, he said “Apple was a dominant mobile network that everyone needed, no one could stop, and few understood. Bitcoin is a dominant monetary network that everyone needs, no one can stop, and few understand.”

MicroStrategy bullish on BTC 

Saylor and his company have been extremely bullish on BTC in recent months. Earlier this week, MicroStrategy announced that it would be selling $1 billion in stock to purchase more bitcoin. Saylor also joined the newly launched Bitcoin Mining Council which will look at how to make bitcoin mining more energy efficient in the future. 

The company has also recently sold $500 million in secured notes to raise funds to purchase more bitcoin. The company currently holds well over 90,000 BTC in its reserves, totaling more than $3 billion with no plans on slowing down anytime soon. However Saylor has previously stated that the entities he controls hold 111,000 bitcoin. 

The bitcoin maximalist has no plans on selling any bitcoin anytime soon. 

Speaking at the Parallel Summit 2021 earlier this week, Saylor also commented further on bitcoin, saying “I don’t think there’s any other asset where every intelligent person who understands it, decides to do everything they can to make it more valuable.” 

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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Ryan is a Fintech specialist with a passion for cryptocurrencies and blockchain adoption. A keen trader and investor in the market since 2016, he enjoys keeping up to date with the latest developments within the industry while finding the next 100x altcoin.

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Source: https://beincrypto.com/saylor-compares-btc-to-early-apple-no-one-can-stop-and-few-understand/

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Bitcoin Price Showing Bearish Downtrend Despite On-chain Metrics Indicating Favorable Network Conditions

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The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has continued to drop as the premier cryptocurrency stays afloat a price well below its 7-day high of $41,295.27. At present, BTC is down 5.21% to $35,952.61 according to CoinMarketCap, a bearish positioning that negates the current favorable conditions of the Bitcoin blockchain. Since the price of Bitcoin began retracing from its All-Time High price above $64,000, the market trend has witnessed a more passive engagement from retail investors across the board.

This low activity rate is made more evident as Glassnode data showed that the cumulative or total fees paid on transactions in the network have attained their lowest level of 1.390 BTC in the past one year per a 7-Day Moving Average estimate. Based on a similar trend, the lower fees indicate a lack of congestion by users in the blockchain. 

This trend has its inherent impacts which are both negative and positive. On the negative end, the overall price of Bitcoin is kept low as inconsistent transactions and lack of buy-ups that stir a bullish run is absent. The positivity is best targeted at users as sending funds is now relatively cheaper, and more attractive.

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Investors Back US Traditional Markets: Impact on Bitcoin

Traditional market investors have pumped more than $756 billion in the daily reverse repurchase operation, a move that came after the Federal Reserve boosted interest rates for the traditional market offering. 

Following the meeting of the Financial Open Market Committee (FOMC) held last Wednesday, the interest rate for overnight repurchase agreement was adjusted to 0.05%, better than the 0% it has been, and the interest rate it pays banks on reserves held at the U.S. central bank was also boosted to 0.15%. These increments influenced the recorded inflows.

In tandem, the United States Dollar appreciated against other currencies on Friday, rising 92.70 against top fiat currencies. This may also account for the unrelenting sell-offs in the Bitcoin markets, as an appreciated Dollar is a cogent advantage for the market bears.

Economic policies from market watchdogs have an overbearing impact on Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency ecosystem as a whole. While many market proponents and bulls anticipate a resurgence in price amidst growing fundamentals, the current performance of Bitcoin does not discount the favorable nature of the network at present.

Disclaimer
The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
About Author
Benjamin Godfrey is a blockchain enthusiast and journalists who relish writing about the real life applications of blockchain technology and innovations to drive general acceptance and worldwide integration of the emerging technology. His desires to educate people about cryptocurrencies inspires his contributions to renowned blockchain based media and sites. Benjamin Godfrey is a lover of sports and agriculture. Follow him on Twitter, Linkedin

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