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What follows is a brief summary of where the blockchain industry has come from over the past 10 years, where (I think) it’s headed over the next 10 years — and a lens to help understand why. It’s lighter on the deep-history and heavier on the more recent and forward-looking perspective.
Where we’ve come from
Bitcoin Emerges (Jan ‘09)
Bitcoin launches in Jan 2009. Initially, awareness is limited to a small handful of people. Over the next 3 years, Bitcoin receives an increasing amount of media attention — but still very minor relative to what it receives today. 99% of people that hear of Bitcoin dismiss it — and not unjustly.
After all, in its infancy, Bitcoin is still a crazy, far-out idea with implications that are difficult to appreciate. Even most people cognizant of Bitcoin’s potential implications are skeptical — after all, there have been many prior attempts at creating digital, non-sovereign money.
Given the limited track records and limited economic value at stake, it’s easy (and not unreasonable) to dismiss Bitcoin at this point.
Bitcoin hits parity with the USD (Feb ’11) then rallies to $100 (Mar ’13), then $1K (Dec ’13)
The rapid price appreciation quickly shifted the narrative from ‘something that won’t work’ to a comparison to ‘tulips’. Suddenly, pundits were universally ‘reminded’ of an event in the Netherlands that happened 300 years before any of them were alive.
At this point, understanding and appreciation of Bitcoin’s decentralization and resiliency was severely lacking — most pundits simply stated that Bitcoin would clearly be “shut down”. Wrong.
Alongside the rise of Bitcoin was the rise of infamous darknet marketplace ‘The Silk Road’ which lent itself well to a new narrative that “Bitcoin will only be used by criminals”. Wrong again.
Bitcoin “crashes” from $1k to $200, “blockchain not bitcoin” emerges(2014–2016)
Bitcoin skeptics feel vindicated by the price decline: “See, tulips, I told you”, “now that Silk Road is gone, nobody will use Bitcoin”. Wrong again.
Importantly, this led to a major shift in the industry’s narrative to “blockchain not bitcoin”. The idea was to harness the power of the technology without dealing with the digital assets built atop these networks.
Again, not an unreasonable idea for a 101-level understanding — which, admittedly, is nearly everyone at this point in time, even industry insiders. Powerful new technology can be difficult to understand.
This led to a race to ‘blockchain’ all the industries from healthcare to energy.
Bitcoin re-emerges & broader “crypto” steps into limelight (2017)
After 2–3 years of ‘blockchain not bitcoin’ and hundreds of pilots and ‘PoCs’ (Proofs of Concept), ‘blockchain not bitcoin’ implementations failed to bear fruit.
There’s myriad reasons why these efforts failed to generate significant value but, most importantly, three main reasons:
1. Open networks are more powerful than closed networks — see intranets vs the internet
2. The digital assets native to these chains are the critical component that makes these chains functional and useful
3. ‘Private blockchains’ are really a re-hash of database architectures that existed long before Bitcoin — nothing new here
Meanwhile, Bitcoin re-emerges — really, it never went away — but it storms back into public awareness with more users, more transactions, better security, and more supporting infrastructure than ever.
The broader market and industry begins to acknowledge and accept that open networks beat closed networks over time — that public blockchains like Bitcoin that allow anyone to participate and anyone to build atop are the root and core of the blockchain opportunity. People begin to realize and accept that Bitcoin and “crypto” isn’t going away.
This led to a mainstream rush to find and launch a ‘better Bitcoin’. Surely if Bitcoin was the first iteration, we can do much better, right? Again, not an unreasonable idea.
Around this time and in the years following, there was a rush to create new public blockchains that made tradeoffs to optimize for one (or more) particular feature(s). In this period, we saw the launch of chains that optimized for various features such as speed / throughput, privacy, and expressiveness.
Adding fuel to the fire, many of these experiments were funded via ICO which exacerbated the interest in launching experimental chains with different tradeoffs and optimizations. While there were many well-intentioned efforts and a few that had genuinely interesting technical optimizations, most were ill-advised experiments with inferior tradeoffs relative to what already existed in the wild — and because this industry’s complexity demands specialization, it was difficult for most outsiders to separate the wheat from the chaff.
These were all experiments being launched and tested in the wild in an effort to see whether their optimizations would be sufficient to drive traction and, ultimately, surpass Bitcoin in terms of adoption and utility. Each of these chains optimized on one particular front at the expense of another — there is no free lunch here.
New chain tradeoffs / optimizations fail to sufficiently differentiate (2017–2019)
The launch of new chains with different tradeoffs and optimizations marked a battle to become the standard — the base blockchain for the future of programmable money. Too often, industry insiders and outsiders alike focused exclusively on the technical tradeoffs as the leading indicator of potential to be the foundation of programmable money.
Of course, this has proved to be an excessively narrow scope of evaluation — as history has proven repeatedly, standards are rarely determined by “best-tech”.
As it turns out and the market has subsequently validated, Bitcoin was the ‘0 to 1’ moment — the step-function leap in progress. Some newer chains offer minor improvements (going from ‘1 to 1.1’) but most really just make inferior tradeoffs relative to what Bitcoin offers (going from ‘1 to 0.5’).
Overall, in evaluating the probability of any of these chains or coins surpassing Bitcoin two thresholds must be met:
1. ‘Does your set of tradeoffs actually present an improvement over Bitcoin?’ The vast majority — if not all — don’t pass this first test.
2. “Is your ‘improvement’ sufficient to overcome Bitcoin’s network effects, brand, distribution, security and first-mover advantages?” Despite myriad optimization experiments, no chain has successfully offered a sufficiently compelling advantage to overcome Bitcoin’s established (and rapidly expanding) network effects, brand, distribution and security.
As a result, most of these new chains — many of which feature a shiny new “breakthrough” consensus algorithm — are the equivalent of Chinese ghost cities: Seemingly beautiful designs and construction that lack organic demand.
Where we’re going
From lateral competition to vertical construction
While the prior period marked a lateral battle to become the foundation underpinning the future of programmable money, the market will continue to coalesce around 1 (or, at most, a couple) winning protocol(s).
Overall, even inside industry participants drastically over-weighted the probability that a new chain would surpass Bitcoin.
In reality, it’s not an even race: Bitcoin has a massively disproportionate probability of taking the lion’s share of the market over the next 10 years. Nobody cares about the 2nd best email protocol after SMTP.
This is a winner takes most market and Bitcoin is the far and away leader — by any metric.
Why? Bitcoin has more users, more value at stake, more awareness, more onramps, the best supporting infrastructure and, arguably, the most prudent set of ‘tradeoffs’ in the public blockchain landscape (one that emphasizes security, long-term scalability, and perfectly predictable monetary policy).
To make matters even more challenging for competing chains, securities regulators in the US and elsewhere have made it clear that fundraising and launching a new chain/coin is a legally dubious proposition — giving Bitcoin somewhat of a (unnecessary) regulatory moat.
Bitcoin’s dominant position is reflected in the sampling of charts below — there’s many more that could be added that effectively all tell the same story. In a winner takes most market with first-mover advantages and network effects, it’s objectively difficult and far-fetched to imagine any of the competing chains surpassing Bitcoin at this point.
In short, Bitcoin has already come a long way from its humble beginnings: Only six years ago, few people had even heard of Bitcoin —and even those who had largely regarded the fledgling digital asset as a“tulip phenomenon”.
In contrast, as of Spring 2019, 89% of the American population has at least heard of Bitcoin and the younger generations are diving in head-first: Among those aged 18–34, 60% are familiar with Bitcoin, 59% see Bitcoin as ‘a positive innovation in financial technology’, 48% think it’s ‘very’ or ‘somewhat’ likely that ‘most people will be using Bitcoin in the next 10 years’,and 42% say they’re ‘very’ or ‘somewhat’ likely to buy Bitcoin in the next 5 years. (source: https://medium.com/blockchain-capital-blog/bitcoin-is-a-demographic-mega-trend-data-analysis-160d2f7731e5)
So where do we go from here?
From here, the building begins in earnest.
That’s not to denigrate the engineering efforts behind all of the new chains that have launched but to emphasize that this next phase of building will produce the layers, protocols, applications and services that will actually be used over the next decade — in contrast to the vast majority of chains which don’t see any meaningful economic traction (“ghost cities”).
Development and building activity will shift from launching insufficiently differentiated new chains to improving and building “up the stack” of the winning protocols.
In many ways, this phase is already well under-way: the Lightning network is a 2nd-layer/protocol built atop the Bitcoin network that facilitates fast, cheap, peer-to-peer Bitcoin transactions. Similarly, there’s several dozen (if not hundreds) of companies and developers that have built infrastructure, applications and services for Bitcoin.
As this vertical construction plays out we will continue to see more supporting infrastructure emerge as well as a lush and diverse ecosystem of applications and services emerge that facilitate a wide range of functionality for Bitcoin as programmable money. This industry began with a financial asset (Bitcoin) and financial infrastructure (the Bitcoin blockchain) and in the years ahead will continue to find the most utility in the realm of (non-sovereign) programmable money.
Importantly, this transition will take years to play out: We’re still in the onboarding phase of Bitcoin — which is why exchanges have been the most profitable crypto companies to-date, much like how ISPs were the most profitable internet companies in its early days.
Of course, these phases aren’t strictly sequential: While we’re only in the first or second-inning of the onboarding phase, the Bitcoin stack and the applications and services that it supports will emerge concurrently and accelerate the onboarding phase.
Bitcoin has and will continue to undergo many ‘phase transitions’ in the years ahead. Namely, Bitcoin will continue to transition from a volatile and speculative commodity — which is how it is (not unjustly) viewed today — to broader recognition as the empowering foundation of programmable money.
A new dynamic at play
There’s an important dynamic at play as the Bitcoin stack emerges: Changes to the base-layer are intentionally slow*, deliberate and careful — there’s no ‘playful tinkering’ when there’s $100B+ of value at stake. As such, changes to the Bitcoin protocol itself require network-wide consensus from (nearly) all key economic stakeholders.
In contrast, building up the Bitcoin stack has a different dynamic: developers can innovate and iterate quickly because these are opt-in protocols, layers, applications and services that don’t put the underlying network at risk and don’t require network-wide consensus. For example, the lightning network could suffer a catastrophic failure and the Bitcoin network would continue functioning as intended.
By design, Bitcoin itself is difficult to change but anyone can freely build and innovate atop the network. So while its intentionally challenging and tedious to make changes to the Bitcoin protocol itself, the pace and range of innovation up the stack will be considerably faster and more expansive.
The rough analogy here is that making changes to a jet engine mid-flight necessitates extreme caution — but there’s little risk in designing a new in-flight entertainment system. Indeed, once a base-level of flight safety is assured, an improved in-flight experience that’s more comfortable with better entertainment and fresh food increases the appeal of flying.
Similarly, as people get more comfortable with Bitcoin itself, augmented functionality up the stack will drive broader adoption.
Ultimately, as Bitcoin charges ahead, it offers fertile ground for vertical growth. As industry venture investors, we look forward to the next decade of investing in the infrastructure, applications and services that enable people to unlock the power of natively digital programmable money.
*“slow” here is relative to the pace of innovation that many have become accustomed to in software. In reality, given the stakes, Bitcoin’s development has been far from slow
The post The Past & Future of Blockchain: Where we’re going and why appeared first on BlockchainCapital.
Litecoin price prediction: Litecoin trades above $300, attempt to break below later?
TL;DR Breakdown LTC retests the $300 support overnight. Lower local low set at $320. Next support at $280. Today’s Litecoin price prediction is bearish as the market rejected further upside around $320 earlier today and currently moves lower to attempt to break below the $300 once again. The overall market trades in the red today. […]
- LTC retests the $300 support overnight.
- Lower local low set at $320.
- Next support at $280.
Today’s Litecoin price prediction is bearish as the market rejected further upside around $320 earlier today and currently moves lower to attempt to break below the $300 once again.
The overall market trades in the red today. Bitcoin has lost more than 2 percent and trades around $48.900. Meanwhile, Ethereum is among the worst performers with a loss of more than 5 percent. Alternatively, Stellar (XLM) is among the best performers, with a gain of 5 percent over the last 24 hours.
LTC/USD opened at $300.11 today after a bearish close yesterday that resulted in another retest of the $300 mark. Over the past hours, LTC/USD rejected further upside, indicating that we should see another push lower over the next 24 hours.
Litecoin price movement in the last 24 hours
The LTC/USD price moved in a range of $297.59 – $323.76$, indicating a moderate amount of volatility. 24 hour trading volume has dropped by 7.15 percent and totals $5.2 billion. The total market cap stands at $20.6 billion, ranking the cryptocurrency in 12th place overall.
LTC/USD 4-hour chart – LTC prepares to break below the $300 support again
On the 4-hour chart, we can see moving lower over the past hours as bears attempt to finally break below the $300 mark.
Overall, Litecoin price action momentum continues to be bearish as the market retraces after setting a new all-time high at $413 on the 10th of May. Previously, we saw Litecoin rally around 80 percent from the $220 major support area, indicating we could see a similar upswing over the following weeks.
First, Litecoin has to finish retracing from the current high. Support around the $300 mark was reached on Thursday. From there, Litecoin retested the $335 resistance and reversed to the $300 overnight.
Over the past hours, LTC/USD moved higher and established another lower high around the $320 mark. Therefore, we expect Litecoin to attempt to push below this support over the next 24 hours. Once the $300 support breaks, the next support is located around the $280 mark.
Since the $280 level previously acted as a very strong support, we should see the market price reverse back to the upside next week. From there, LTC/USD should move higher and try to establish another several-week upswing and set further all-time highs.
Litecoin Price Prediction: Conclusion
Litecoin price prediction is bearish as the market continues setting lower highs over the past few days. LTC/USD currently attempts to move lower once again to break the $300 support. Therefore, we expect further downside over the next 24 hours, with the next support target at the $280 mark.
Disclaimer. The information provided is not trading advice. Cryptopolitan.com holds no liability for any investments made based on the information provided on this page. We strongly recommend independent research and/or consultation with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.
Why Uniswap, Cardano, Solana, and Dogecoin Could Become Best-Performing Cryptos Of 2021
The year has been a good one so far for altcoins. There’s no denying Bitcoin’s pedigree and influence on the market as it is still the biggest cryptocurrency by far in the crypto space. Having said that, there are a lot of altcoins or relatively smaller and cheaper cryptocurrencies which have attracted investors and newbies looking to diversify their crypto portfolios. As crypto adoption continues to grow so has the interest in it which has been evident in the last few months. Institutional interest is at an all-time high as many traditional companies, firms and institutions are boarding the cryptocurrency bandwagon.
There are a lot of altcoins putting up impressive numbers guaranteed to give back good yields and this article sheds light on four of them.
Uniswap is one of the dApps based on the Ethereum blockchain. The project allows users to trade Ethereum tokens through liquidity pools. The DeFi coin boasts of being the first decentralized exchange with the option of a margin and leverage trading.
The UNI coin has two main services, thus delivering and utilizing liquidity. Although it is new in the crypto space as it was released into the market last year, its performance has made it one of the leading DeFi coins on the market.
Uniswap v3 was released days ago, an upgrade of its protocol and aims to provide better oracles, new fee tiers as well as give users more control over the liquidity they provide. Many analysts believe the coin is expected to blow and with its price at $36, it would be a steal compared to others.
Cardano has been one of the popular coins on the crypto market for some while. Its network has a smaller footprint which makes it flexible, more adaptable, and secure. Transactions are faster as it requires less energy, and have interoperability and scalability among its pros.
Cardano’s recent update has equipped it with the ability to build smart contracts which have attracted a lot of dApp developers, a sector that is blowing up this year. The coin is 4th on the crypto ladder with a trading price of $2.32 which has seen a 27.35% rise within the last seven days.
Another coin that is making a name for itself in the fast-growing DeFi ecosystem is Solana.
Launched in March 2020, the digital project has enjoyed a steady rise, making its way up the crypto ladder with impressive runs. Sol is currently at 16 on the crypto ladder with an impressive market valuation of $14 billion.
Its Proof-of-History algorithm has the highest speeds of a transaction and offers relatively cheaper transaction fees as compared to other coins such as Ethereum. The digital asset currently trades above $50.
DOGE has defied many odds to become one of the fastest-growing digital coins on the crypto market presently. Created as a meme coin back in 2013, it has seen a major resurgence taking its price from $0.0076 to an all-time high of $0.7 in less than 21 days led by Elon Musk’s never-ending endorsements.
Dogecoin has seen a surge of over 8000% so far this year and remains one of the cheapest coins to buy. It is currently trading at $0.5, and despite the many controversies surrounding DOGE, it does have what it takes to yield massive progress if adopted by Tesla for payments.
Litecoin mining software: all you need to know
You cannot talk about cryptocurrency history without mentioning Litecoin; it is one of the first altcoins after Bitcoin was created. It was released in October 2011 by Charlie Lee, who developed it as an open-source software project. He announced Litecoin as the ‘lite version of Bitcoin through a message he shared on the famous bitcoin […]
You cannot talk about cryptocurrency history without mentioning Litecoin; it is one of the first altcoins after Bitcoin was created. It was released in October 2011 by Charlie Lee, who developed it as an open-source software project. He announced Litecoin as the ‘lite version of Bitcoin through a message he shared on the famous bitcoin forum. Over the years, Litecoin now sits on the top as one of the world’s top digital currencies; it boasts a market capitalization of almost $3 billion and is expected to increase.
Since Litecoin’s creation, it was considered a reaction to Bitcoin, with its developers stating that their initial purpose is to create Litecoin as the “Silver” counterpart to Bitcoin “gold. Since Litecoin was a spinoff of Bitcoin, they share so many features. These include Bitcoin mining features. The only difference in the mining process is that while Bitcoin uses SHA-256, Litecoin uses a process called Scrypt mining.
Scrypt mining requires higher computing power, making it a lot more challenging to mine. This guide contains information on how to mine Litecoin.
What is Litecoin
Litecoin is a cryptocurrency that functions just like Bitcoin. It has some features which make it look very similar to Bitcoin. Transacting with Litecoin is far easier and faster. While Litecoin mining is a little more complicated than Bitcoin mining, they are both cloud mining and function similarly. They both use similar mining software, so a Litecoin miner will not find it difficult to use Bitcoin mining software and vise versa.
From a general perspective, Bitcoin and Litecoin can be considered decentralized cryptocurrencies which makes them different from how fiats like the U.S dollar are operated and governed.
Why should you care about Litecoin?
Litecoin is profitable; mining Litecoin has proven to be a profitable venture, especially if you go about it the right way, using mining hardware like the asic miner and the correct mining software. Cryptocurrency mining as a whole has made different miners rich the same way it has made them go broke. However, it all comes down to your ability to take risks.
What is mining?
Mining is how a miner uses both mining software and mining hardware to mine cryptocurrency either as a solo miner or through a mining pool. There are different Bitcoin mining software available for miners to chose from. This software makes cryptocurrency mining possible.
Before a miner can successfully mine, he also needs some specific mining hardware; for Litecoin, he needs at least a CPU or a GPU device. The device you choose will go a long way to determine how easy the cryptocurrency mining process would be. For LTC mining to be successful, you need a Litecoin mining rig (Bitcoin mining software and Bitcoin mining hardware) and a litecoin wallet.
Best Litecoin mining software
After getting the proper Litecoin mining hardware, the next step is to get mining software (this could either mean a CPUminer, GPU miner, or a mining app). Your mining software will also determine if you are doing solo mining or as part of a mining pool. Determining a mining device is easy, but getting the best cryptocurrency mining software is complex as many other factors contribute.
What is the best Litecoin miner?
There are numerous software available if you want to mine Litecoin. Some have different unique features like inbuilt wallets that serve as alternatives to the Bitcoin wallet. Here are some examples of mining softwares:
Easy miner is a free cryptocurrency software miner. Although it was initially designed to mine Bitcoin, it can also be used for Litecoin mining. It is open-source, which means you can customize the software to suit your mining needs. Easy miner has an inbuilt wallet and a moneymaker mode, allowing the mining of Litecoin on its stratum pool. EasyMiner is also available for Android users making it one of the most widely used cryptocurrency mining software among Litecoin miners.
This is regarded as one of the best cryptocurrency mining software out there. Although not as popular as the others on the list, it supports many devices, including Windows, Mac, and Linux. The best part is that it has automatic detection of network features. It also allows you to control and monitors a second MultiMiner mining rig simultaneously. It may not be as efficient as the others. However, it has some unique features that you will find interesting.
CGMiner Litecoin is not new; it has been around for a while. Over this period, it has provided different unique features and a large user base. It supports almost all Operating systems making it easy to adopt. It is also open-sourced, allowing users to customize it to suit their mining needs. Other features that it comes with include: complete monitoring, fan speed controls, and remote interface capabilities.
Awesome miner is a great choice, especially if you are trying to mine on multiple mining rigs simultaneously as it supports FGPA, ASIC. His software also supports 25 mining engines, including XMRig, SRBMiner, BFGMiner, and SGMiner. However, it is not free; you will have to pay a fee of $4 monthly and $36 annually. The fee is worth the price because it comes with several other features like the status and temperature of all ASIC and FPGA miners and an inbuilt Litecoin mining calculator.
GUIMiner Scrypt is also a good mining software, but in reality, it is a GUIMiner fork. What makes it a better version is its user-friendly features. It was initially forked to allow new users. However, it was designed just for windows devices with a graphics processing unit (GPU) and computer processing unit (CPU). It allows Scrypt mining that makes Litecoin more seamless.
Litecoin mining pool
Mining cryptocurrency as part of a pool is better because it makes mining operation easier and improves your hash rate. This, in turn, means a better block reward. Litecoin cloud mining has a more complex mining program because of its use of the scrypt algorithm, making the pool mining option a better choice.
Litecoin has various Litecoin mining pools for miners to chose from. These pools have their pros and cons. Here are five pools I feel you should put into consideration when looking for a pool to join.
Litecoin mining software FAQs
Is Litecoin mining still profitable?
Many people now doubt the profitability of mining cryptocurrencies primarily because of the competition involved. Today miners now compete with bigger mining establishments, making it impossible for solo miners to profit. However, as a Litecoin miner, you can consistently profit if you go about it the right way.
Litecoin mining is a task that you have to be prepared for; you need to be fully committed to it and tackle its risk. With this, you will be able to profit despite the considerable cost.
How long does it take to mine 1 Litecoin?
The time it would take to mine a Litecoin cannot be explicitly stated since it is primarily influenced by mining speed and the complexity of the computers you are using, the amount of time you spend mining, and the current difficulty factor. If you are mining with a computer CPU, you are bound to spend a long time mining a single LTC.
GPU mining is just a little better than CPU mining, no thanks to the competition on the ground. However, with the high-end ASIC mining, it won’t take you up to an hour to kine your first LTC. It is also way better if you are mining as part of a mining pool.
Profiting from Litecoin is influenced by different factors. This means it is uncertain whether or not you are going to profit. However, it is still worth your time and resources full time. The best way to profit from Litecoin is to invest full-time in mining rigs and other equipment. If you decide to mine solo with just a CPU, you will still profit but not as much.
Crypto mining involves risk-taking. However, you cannot escape taking a risk if you want to make a profit. A Bitcoin miner who is mining Bitcoin takes a similar risk with an estate manager.
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