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Recent Bitcoin Top Shares Key Similarities With Black Thursday Plummet

Bitcoin’s recent $2,000 crash sent chills down the spines of crypto investors, turning market sentiment from extreme greed to fear in less than 48 hours flat. The sharp drop brought back all too fresh memories of the mid-March Black Thursday market collapse. But before that crash turned into total collapse, there was a pause before the panic fully kicked in. A comparison showing current Bitcoin price action has made rounds around the web, prompting investors […]

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Bitcoin’s recent $2,000 crash sent chills down the spines of crypto investors, turning market sentiment from extreme greed to fear in less than 48 hours flat.

The sharp drop brought back all too fresh memories of the mid-March Black Thursday market collapse.

But before that crash turned into total collapse, there was a pause before the panic fully kicked in. A comparison showing current Bitcoin price action has made rounds around the web, prompting investors to fear the worst day in finance could soon repeat.

Let’s take a look at the recent comparisons, as well as some other shocking similarities found on higher timeframe charts.

Is a Repeat Of Black Thursday Just Days Away? Remembering The Shocking Day

February 2020 saw new highs in the stock market and a retest of $10,000 in Bitcoin. Weeks later, an over 30% fall in the stock market, and over 50% collapse or more took place all across crypto.

Nothing was safe from the madness – even relatively stable precious metals and forex currencies were crushed under the enormous panic-selling into the dollar.

After that, however, the weakest phase in the dollar’s recent history let these same markets recover to new 2020 highs. The recovery has been one for the record books, shocking analysts at just how inflated the stock market bubble has begun to get.

RELATED READING | HOW THE GREENBACK TURNED BITCOIN AND CRYPTO INTO A SEA OF RED

With the bubble just unwilling to burst under any circumstances, after such an enormous stretch of recovery, equities and Bitcoin have experienced their first significant pullback since the fateful day now dubbed Black Thursday.

The recent crash has shown some strange similarities between the two, prompting an image to make its way to the top of the Reddit r/cryptocurrency community. An image showing the below comparison highlights just how well the first fall before the Black Thursday plummet matches up with the current price action.

btcusd black thursday

BTCUSD Daily Black Thursday Fractal | Source: TradingView

Ominous Bitcoin Fractal Could Lead To Violent, 54% Selloff

But that’s not the only similarity between now and then. The above chart depicts daily timeframes, but zoomed out to weekly price charts below, there is more to compare.

btcusd black thursday2

BTCUSD Weekly Black Thursday Fractal | Source: TradingView

The weekly “top” Japanese candle structure almost exactly matches the candle structure of the recent crash. After an extended uptrend, at the peak, there is a red and a green doji-like close, signaling indecision in the market about if it wants to carry along higher or retest below.

Both times, the market decided in a retest. Black Thursday, clearly didn’t hold at support. This time around, Bitcoin spent a full three months building a base at which it broke through $10,000 – could this have been enough to build support that holds through even pandemic-related panic that’s still prevalent today? And can it also hold strong even with the risk of the upcoming election?

RELATED READING | WHY THE UPCOMING US ELECTION IS BITCOIN’S BIGGEST RISK

Hopefully, that continues to remain the case, as another, similar drop would be deadly for Bitcoin. The last fall from the weekly candle close that started the violent collapse, dropped a full 54%. If price action continues to trace along, after last night’s weekly close, the cryptocurrency will fall sharply over the next two weeks to around $4,700.

btcusd black thursday3

BTCUSD Weekly Black Thursday Fractal Repeat Target | Source: TradingView

A collapse from $12,400 to $4,700 when crypto investors were expecting a breakout of the triangle would be brutal on the market. However, could such a move shake out any remaining “moon boy” mentality from the space, finally allowing the asset class to grow healthily and sustainably?

Featured image from Deposit Photos.
Charts from TradingView.

Source: https://bitcoinist.com/recent-bitcoin-top-shares-key-similarities-with-black-thursday-plummet/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=recent-bitcoin-top-shares-key-similarities-with-black-thursday-plummet

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How did Bitcoin lending become so popular?

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The rising valuation of Bitcoin witnessed the growth of several sectors involved with the digital asset. The crypto lending market has exhibited extraordinary growth as institutions-focused Genesis registered a 245% growth in their outstanding loans in 2020.

While the BTC lending market is young, its swift adoption has created a billion-dollar industry, which is one of the benchmarks of development for the current Bitcoin ecosystem.

Total Bitcoin collateral grew by 1170%

Source: Arcane Research

According to Arcane Research’s recent Banking on Bitcoin report, the total active collateral in the BTC lending market has increased to ~$25 billion from $2 billion in 12 months. It was estimated that the number of Bitcoin used for collateral at the moment is around 420,000 BTC, however, this estimation is based on a modest evaluation that only 50% of the active loans are backed by Bitcoin collateral, whereas various industry experts believe it could be close to 70-80%.

While there are various Bitcoin lending companies in the current market, the impact of the institutional lending organization such as BlockFI and Genesis have been vital.

As mentioned earlier, Genesis’ active loans outstanding improved from $649 million in Q1 2020 to a whopping $3,821 million in Q4 2020. From Q3 to Q4, the growth was roughly 80%.

BlockFi registered similar impressive numbers, with a 50x increase in retail loans BTC collateral from Q4 2018 to Q4 2020; from $10 million to $500 million.

Bitcoin lending’s popularity grows

There are multiple factors that played into the expansion of the BTC collateral market. Over the past 12 months, the asset has received significant recognition after recovering at a rapid rate following the March 2020 crash. However, some of the most common reasons include leveraging on an existing position, arbitrage plays, and covering operation costs without selling any crypto holdings.

Source: Arcane Research

Some of its innate properties have improved over the few months. Bitcoin’s market has a 24/7 availability, which can be traded all year round and it is easily updated. Other assets such as Gold are only trading during the working days of the week, which is close to 30% less than Bitcoin.

Its store-of-value credentials have also improved drastically, with 75% of Bitcoin remaining in profit throughout its history.

However, one of the major reasons involves the ease at which BTC loans can be processed. Traditional loan methods require a certain amount of credit score, a tediously long process, and a lot of paperwork.

With Bitcoin, users do not need to establish a relationship with their banks to get a loan and they can easily lend from the emerging borderless Bitcoin lending market.


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Source: https://ambcrypto.com/how-did-bitcoin-lending-become-so-popular

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OLB Group enables crypto payments for thousands of US merchants

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OLB Group (OLB), a New York-based e-commerce merchant service provider, is making it easier for businesses to accept cryptocurrency payments.

OLB’s more than 8,500 merchants are now able to accept Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), USDC and DAI at the point-of-sale through the company’s OmniSoft business management platform. Customers wishing to pay with cryptocurrency in-store or through their mobile phones can simply elect to do so with their cryptocurrency wallets. All payments are processed through SecurePay, a payment gateway that authenticates the transaction, converts the cryptocurrency to U.S. dollars and approves the final sale.

The decision to integrate cryptocurrency payments was partly driven by the growth of contactless and online orders during the Covid-19 pandemic. With the OmniSoft platform already providing merchants with several options to facilitate payments, cryptocurrencies were the next logical step. 

Ronny Yakov, OLB Group’s CEO, says the payment gateway and point-of-sale architecture are “familiar territory for merchants,” which makes integrating cryptocurrencies through such channels easy.

On the topic of cryptocurrency payments – a promising but underutilized use case for the industry – Yakov believes we are still in the very early stages of adoption.

“It’s very early in crypto-as-a-payment adoption, but we see increasing interest from merchants exploring this payment option as a means to meet their customers however and wherever they prefer,” Yakov tells Cointelegraph.

He also believes certain industries are more likely to adopt crypto payments before others:

“We anticipate that adoption will happen more quickly in higher-ticket transactions such as jewelry, B2B billing and real estate because the transaction fees for cryptocurrency processing are lower – often half of typical credit card fees.”

Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin have struggled to become a viable medium of exchange, inviting criticism about their utility. Charlie Munger, the billionaire investor and Berkshire Hathaway vice chairman, recently criticizedBitcoin for being “too volatile to serve well as a medium of exchange.”

With development work on scaling and sidechains still in progress, it remains to be seen whether cryptoassets will ever function efficiently as payment systems. In the meantime, assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum are valued for their store-of-value and development capabilities, respectively.

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/olb-group-enables-crypto-payments-for-thousands-of-us-merchants

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Litecoin, Monero, Dash Price Analysis: 28 February

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Litecoin witnessed a downwards breakout from a parallel channel and moved to its support at $156.75. Monero was projected to move sideways as trading volumes and buying activity was suppressed. Lastly, a descending triangle emerged on Dash’s chart but a breakout largely depended on the direction of the broader market.

Litecoin [LTC]

Source: LTC/USD, TradingView

On the hourly timeframe, Litecoin broke below its parallel channel and moved to another region of support at $157.5. The On Balance Volume dipped as the price broke below the bottom trendline, but the index was recovering at the time of writing. A bullish crossover in the Stochastic RSI added some more optimism as LTC picked up from the $157 support line.

However, it was hard to overlook LTC’s bear market and stronger cues could be needed to back a move above the immediate overhead resistance. A spike in the 24-hour trading volumes could be one such signal that could project an upwards breakout on the charts.

Monero [XMR]

Source: XMR/USD, TradingView

The 24-hour trading volumes on Monero were muted as the cryptocurrency failed to break out from the $224.5 and $196.3 range. The  Bollinger Bands showed that volatility remained on the lower side as the bands were compressed. This also meant that massive movements were unlikely and XMR could continue to trade within its current channel over the next few sessions.

A bullish twin peak setup on the Awesome Oscillator was negated as momentum tilted in the favor of the sellers at the time of writing.

Dash [DASH]

Source: DASH/USD, TradingView

Dash formed a descending triangle on its 4-hour chart as the price formed lower highs since snapping a local high at over $330. The On Balance Volume also steadily declined as the sell-off was heightened by a correction in the broader market. The Stochastic RSI continued its southbound trajectory after reversing from the overbought region.

Further weakness in market leaders BTC and ETH could continue to have a negative impact on Dash, and support levels at $166.8 and $135.3 could be tested in the event of a downwards breakout. On the flip side, Dash’s pattern could be invalidated if the price moves north on the back of a broader market rally.


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Source: https://ambcrypto.com/litecoin-monero-dash-price-analysis-28-february

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