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Price analysis 2/26: BTC, ETH, ADA, BNB, DOT, XRP, LTC, LINK, BCH, XLM

Republished by Plato

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Every bull market witnesses periodic pullbacks, where the weaker hands sell anticipating a top and the stronger hands accumulate for the long term. Data from Coinbase Pro shows two large Bitcoin (BTC) outflows this week, suggesting that institutions are likely continueing to buy the current dip.

Comparing historical data, on-chain analytics resource Whalemap, recently said that previous macro tops in Bitcoin in 2017 and 2019 coincided with thousands of large Bitcoin transactions worth $5-7 million. However, the researchers believe there is “no such FOMO in sight for BTC.”

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

JPMorgan strategists Joyce Chang and Amy Ho recently endorsed a 1% allocation to Bitcoin in multi-asset portfolios “to achieve any efficiency gain in the overall risk-adjusted returns of the portfolio.”

With gold and the S&P500 both seeing a downturn in the short term, investors looking to hedge their portfolios may look for alternatives such as cryptocurrencie, which may limit the downside for Bitcoin.

While data suggests that the downside is limited, let’s analyze the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to determine where buyers may step in.

BTC/USD

There is a tug of war currently going on between the bulls and the bears. The bulls attempted to resume the up-move on Feb. 25, but could not sustain the higher levels. Bitcoin reversed direction and broke below the 20-day exponential moving average ($48,159), which shows selling by the bears at higher levels.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, the long tail on today’s candlestick shows that bears are not able to sustain the price below the 20-day EMA. This suggests traders are buying on dips.

The flat 20-day EMA and the relative strength index (RSI) near the midpoint suggest a possible consolidation in the near term. The support of the said range could be at $41,959.63, which is just above the 50-day simple moving average ($40,914).

If bears can sink the price below the 50-day SMA, the selling could intensify and the pair could even drop to $28,850.

Conversely, if the bulls can propel the price above $52,040.95, a retest of $58,341.03 may be on the cards.

ETH/USD

Ether (ETH) could not rise above the 20-day EMA ($1,686) on Feb. 24, which suggests the bears are defending this level. The biggest altcoin turned south on Feb. 25 and fell to the 50-day SMA ($1,498).

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Although the price dipped below the 50-day SMA today, the bears could not break the Feb. 23 intraday low at $1,350. This shows a lack of selling pressure at lower levels.

The bulls have pushed the price back above the 50-day SMA. If they can sustain the momentum and propel the ETH/USD pair above the 20-day EMA, it could enhance the prospects of retesting $2,000.

On the other hand, if the price again turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest a change in sentiment from buying the dips to selling the rallies. If the bears break the $1,350 support, the pair may drop to $1,000.

ADA/USD

Cardano (ADA) is in a strong uptrend and has broken into the top-three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization for the first time. The bulls attempted to push the price above $1.20 on Feb. 25 but failed. However, the bulls successfully flipped $0.9817712 to support today, which suggests aggressive buying on every minor dip.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buyers have driven the price above the $1.20 overhead resistance, indicating the resumption of the uptrend. The altcoin could now rally to the next target objective at $1.25.

Both moving averages are sloping up and the RSI in the overbought territory, suggesting that bulls are in control.

This bullish view will be invalidated if the ADA/USD pair fails to sustain the breakout and sharply reverses direction, breaking below the 20-day EMA ($0.92).

BNB/USD

The failure of the bulls to push Binance Coin (BNB) above the downtrend line on Feb. 24 may have attracted another bout of profit-booking by traders. The altcoin has pared most of the gains made on Feb. 19.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the current rebound sustains, the bulls will make one more attempt to push the price above the downtrend line. If they succeed, it will suggest that the short-term correction could be over. The BNB/USD pair may then rise to $300 and then to $348.6969.

The upsloping 20-day EMA ($192) and the RSI in the positive zone suggest bulls have the upper hand. Falling below the downtrend line and the 20-day EMA would invalidate this bullish scenario. Such a move could pull the price down to $118.

DOT/USD

Polkadot’s (DOT) sharp recovery on Feb. 23 faltered on Feb. 24 as the bulls could not push and sustain the price above the resistance line of the ascending channel. This may have attracted profit-booking from the dipbuyers.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buyers are currently attempting to defend the 20-day EMA ($30.30). If they manage to sustain the bounce, the DOT/USD pair will again try to break out of the resistance line of the channel and retest the all-time high at $42.2848.

Conversely, if the pair again goes down below the resistance line of the channel, the bears will try to sink the price under the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the pair may drop to the support line of the channel.

The 20-day EMA is gradually sloping up and the RSI is above 61, indicating a minor advantage to the bulls.

XRP/USD

The long tail on the Feb. 23 candlestick shows buying on dips, but the bulls could not keep up the momentum and push XRP price above the 20-day EMA ($0.048) on Feb. 24. This showed that demand dried up at higher levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price has again dipped back to the 50-day SMA ($0.40). A lack of a strong rebound could attract further selling and the XRP/USD pair may drop to $0.359. A break below this support could clear the path for a fall toward $0.25.

Contrary to this assumption, if the pair sustains the current bounce, the bulls will make one more attempt to push the price above the $0.50 overhead resistance. If they succeed, the pair may consolidate between $0.65 and $0.359 for a few days.

LTC/USD

Litecoin (LTC) rallied above the 20-day EMA ($192) on Feb. 25, but the bulls failed to sustain the higher levels as seen from the long wick on the day’s candlestick. This suggests that traders are booking profits at higher levels.

LTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, the long tail on today’s candlestick suggests that bulls are buying the dips to the 50-day SMA ($166). If the bulls can push the price above the 20-day EMA and the $205.186 overhead resistance zone, the LINK/USD pair may rise to $230.

Contrary to this assumption, if the bulls fail to sustain the current rebound, the pair may U-turn and drop below the 50-day SMA and the uptrend line. If that happens, the pair may slide to $120.

LINK/USD

Chainlink (LINK) could not climb back into the ascending channel on Feb. 24, attracting profit-booking from the aggressive bulls who may have purchased the dip on Feb. 23. The altcoin turned down on Feb. 25 and dipped back to the 50-day SMA ($24.70) today.

LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The downsloping 20-day EMA ($28.80) and the RSI in the negative zone suggest bears have the upper hand. If the price slips below the 50-day SMA, the decline could extend to the critical support at $20.111.

Contrary to this assumption, if the current rebound off the 50-day SMA sustains, the bulls will make one more attempt to push the price above the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the LINK/USD pair may begin a new uptrend.

BCH/USD

The relief rally in Bitcoin Cash (BCH) could not even rise to the 20-day EMA ($578) on Feb. 24 and 25, indicating a lack of urgency among the bulls to buy at these levels. The price turned down on Feb. 25 and dropped to the uptrend line.

BCH/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

The downsloping 20-day EMA and the RSI in the negative zone suggest bears are in control. If the sellers sink the price below the uptrend line, the BCH/USD could start a deeper correction to $370.

On the contrary, if the bulls can build up on the current rebound off the uptrend line, the pair may rise to the 20-day EMA. A breakout of this resistance could push BCH price to $631.71.

XLM/USD

Stellar Lumens (XLM) could not rise above the 20-day EMA ($0.430) on Feb. 24 and 25, which shows the bears are selling on rallies to this resistance. The altcoin pulled back on Feb. 25 and fell to the critical support level at $0.35.

XLM/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The downsloping 20-day EMA and the RSI in the negative territory suggest advantage to the bears. If the sellers can sink the price below the support line of the descending channel, the XLM/USD pair may decline to $0.23.

Conversely, if the bulls can sustain the current rebound off $0.35, the pair may rise to the 20-day EMA. A breakout of this resistance will suggest the bulls are back in the game. The pair could then rally to the resistance line of the channel.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/price-analysis-2-26-btc-eth-ada-bnb-dot-xrp-ltc-link-bch-xlm

Blockchain

Mike Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital Filed for Bitcoin ETF With the SEC

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The number of companies filing to receive approval to launch a Bitcoin ETF in the US continues to increase with the addition of Mike Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital. If approved, the Galaxy Bitcoin ETF will trade on the NYSE Arca exchange. 

  • Based in New York, Galaxy Digital is a diversified financial services firm dedicated to the cryptocurrency and blockchain industry. The company has made another pro-crypto step by filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission to launch its own Bitcoin exchange-traded fund. 
  • The document reads that if the Commission approves the application, the Galaxy Bitcoin ETF will issue common shares of beneficial interest that trade on NYSE Arca.  
  • The value of the shares will follow the performance of the Bloomberg Galaxy Bitcoin index, which includes multiple pricing sources. 
  • “In seeking to achieve its investment objective, the Trust will hold bitcoin and will value its Shares daily based on the value of the Index, which is calculated based on data from bitcoin pricing sources selected by Bloomberg Index Services Limited.” 

  • With Galaxy Digital’s application, the number of US-based companies striving to launch a Bitcoin ETF continues growing. However, the SEC has yet to approve the first such product. VanEck’s filing seems to be a step ahead as the Commission put its Bitcoin ETF proposal for discussion in March. 
  • At the same time, Canada has led the way with several operational BTC ETFs. In fact, Galaxy Digital already has a functioning one in North America. Novogratz’s firm partnered with CI Global Asset Management, and the CI Galaxy Bitcoin ETF launched on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) on March 9th.  
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Source: https://cryptopotato.com/mike-novogratzs-galaxy-digital-filed-for-bitcoin-etf-with-the-sec/

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Where fiat holders lose out, Bitcoiners can gain from inflation

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Currency instability and hyperinflation seemed unreal until a global pandemic struck, sending many nations into economic turmoil. Most economists began to wonder if the end of the pandemic would mean the birth of another Venezuela, which faced a 438% (hyper) inflation rate. However, like several other Bitcoin enthusiasts like Max Keiser thinks that inflation and the price of Bitcoin are correlated.

The aforementioned data is the long-term compounding of past, present, & possibly future base money, since 1970.

In a recent interview Matthew Mežinskis spoke about the inflation rate of the global monetary base, weighted averaged by each base money’s equivalent in USD. What’s important to note here is, it matched the overall 12.8% CAGR (6-year doubling time) we already saw above.

Source: https://platoblockchain.net/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/where-fiat-holders-lose-out-bitcoiners-can-gain-from-inflation.jpg

For all of 2019, central banks were actually on track to deflate their currencies. This would have been a first in the modern fiat era. So interestingly, no matter what one argues for money printing, 2019  ended with positive inflation, weighted at 1.5%.

Furthermore, he touched upon the role of monetary metals like gold. Gold’s rate of growth had, in fact, been around 1.8% per annum for the last 170 years.

Source: https://platoblockchain.net/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/where-fiat-holders-lose-out-bitcoiners-can-gain-from-inflation.png

Almost similar with silver – it’s almost as politicized as its “bigger brother of gold”. Lastly, he shed some light on Bitcoin. He added:

“Remember why the overall compound growth, thus far, is so high, and why it will never be that high again. And now is about the time for a clarification note on the Bitcoin system’s compound annual growth rate, specifically.”

Bitcoin’s finite supply, which may overcome inflation risks is what comforts many. However, this narrative keeps evolving as well.

Source: https://platoblockchain.net/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/where-fiat-holders-lose-out-bitcoiners-can-gain-from-inflation-1.jpg

What’s interesting to note here is, the phrase “supply issuance” for Bitcoin’s chart titles, and not “inflation.” Bitcoin’s “inflation,” economically, was already baked in. As already demonstrated, its growth rate is known until 2141, per the protocol. So when it comes to bitcoins, “inflation” is not the best term.

Even though the price of Bitcoin may indeed surge, its path to the target could be volatile. In the past, the asset’s price has appreciated and even collapsed several times. But some stated that even as Bitcoin increased in price, the rate of inflation, and forecasts for inflation, “remained stable.” Some provide a contrary opinion that economies need a bit more inflation, not less. At the same time, they do not expect hyperinflation to occur again, after the last great recession.


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Source: https://ambcrypto.com/where-fiat-holders-lose-out-bitcoiners-can-gain-from-inflation

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Holdefi: A Unique Decentralized Lending Platform Shaping the Future of DeFi

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The DeFi industry offering an alternative to traditional financial services is evolving at a rapid pace. There are few platforms that are using the latest advances in the blockchain space to create DeFi solutions that could not only outperform their peers but also capable of adapting to new developments in the blockchain technology itself.

Holdefi is one such open-source, non-custodial decentralized lending platform that offers an attractive passive income stream to investors while enabling the masses to borrow at attractive interest rates. Like its counterparts, Holdefi allows users to instantly secure credit against crypto collateral. The platform does not require the borrowers to provide their KYC or prove their creditworthiness before borrowing. All they have to do is to deposit their crypto assets as collateral to secure a loan in any of the supported cryptocurrencies including stablecoins like USDC, DAI, USDT and BUSD. Users can deposit collateral in one or more types of crypto assets. Similarly, they can borrow different cryptocurrencies using single collateral as long as the value meets the platform requirements.

Attractive Interest Rates and Better ROI

Holdefi uses a mechanism that calculates interest rates for borrowing based on the market and competitive conditions. By doing so, it will balance the demand and liquidity to provide an attractive interest rate to borrowers. Meanwhile, lenders providing liquidity to the supply pool will receive a portion of the interest payments in proportion to the invested amount.

Lenders on Holdefi will get a bigger share of interest payouts in comparison to those on other DeFi platforms as borrowers do not receive any reward or interest on their collateral deposits. So, the lenders end up receiving a proportional share from the overall interest received by the platform from its borrowers.

What Makes Holdefi Stand Apart from the Rest?

Holdefi is an advanced DeFi solution based on the Ethereum protocol. Powered by a native ERC20 standard HLD token, the project is designed to work flawlessly on Ethereum’s existing PoW protocol while being future-ready to operate on ETH’s upcoming PoS upgrade.

The platform witnesses significant upgrades that impart certain qualities of CeFi platforms without affecting decentralization. One such sought-after feature of CeFi is the availability of collateral insurance. While such an option is not available with other DeFi projects, Holdefi solves the issue by separating the collateral deposits from borrowers and liquidity provided by investors into different pools. That way, the collateral won’t be utilized, and borrowers can withdraw it at any time, thus eliminating the need for insurance.

The separation of liquidity and collateral pool will also have a positive effect on Holdefi when ETH 2.0 is implemented as it will speed up the process while keeping transaction costs at a minimum.

Using HLD

HLD is a native ERC20 utility token of the Holdefi ecosystem. Apart from being a mode of value exchange within the ecosystem, it also acts as a governance token imparting voting rights to tokenholders. It can also be used for liquidity mining, staking, and revenue sharing between the participants.

The project has set the maximum supply cap for HLD at 100 million of which 13 million was offered to investors through private and public sales. Recently, Holdefi successfully concluded its private and public sale.

The public sale, a 2-day event starting March 31 was completely sold out within hours of launch. Meanwhile, those who didn’t participate in the token sale can purchase HLD on Uniswap and PancakeSwap

Buy HLD and HODL?

Holdefi is one of the few platforms that has made significant improvements to DeFi lending. It offers a lot of flexibility to users while maintaining strong security features. The future-proof design of Holdefi ecosystem is an added advantage that will make it popular with the crypto community.

While there is no definitive forecast on whether HLD will be an asset due to the volatile nature of crypto markets, Holdefi is an innovative project that is playing a major role in shaping DeFi platforms of the future.

Learn more about Holdefi at – https://holdefi.com/

Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://www.newsbtc.com/news/company/holdefi-a-unique-decentralized-lending-platform-shaping-the-future-of-defi/

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