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Market Insights Podcast – Currency war risk, US PCE, AU monthly CPI on the watch – MarketPulse

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OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong joins Jonny Hart to discuss this week’s key economic data and events. A relatively quieter week versus last week’s  major central banks’ galore as we head into the Easter holiday with several key events and economic data to take note.

Firstly, risk of currency war is lingering around the horizon after China central bank, PBoC’s move to weaken the onshore Chinese yuan daily fixing on last Friday, 22 March that led the offshore yuan (CNH) to tumble by -0.8% against the US dollar to hit a two-week low. This move seems to be a deliberate attempt to maintain some form of exports’ competitiveness for China after the surprise rate cut from SNB ahead of the Fed, and ECB that has occurred on Thursday, 21 March that triggered a bout of US dollar strength resurgence. A further weakening of the yuan may spark the revival of currency war vibes as major exporters such as South Korea, and Singapore join in the bandwagon to weaken their domestic currencies against the US dollar which in turn increases the odds of a global risk off episode.

Lastly, we have the release of Australia’s monthly CPI data for February on Wednesday, 27 March, and the all important closely watch US PCE inflation data out on Friday, 29 March.

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Kelvin Wong

Based in Singapore, Kelvin Wong is a well-established senior global macro strategist with over 15 years of experience trading and providing market research on foreign exchange, stock markets, and commodities.

Passionate about connecting the dots in the financial markets and sharing perspectives around trading and investment, Kelvin Wong is an expert in using a unique combination of fundamental and technical analyses, specializing in Elliott Wave and fund flow positioning, to pinpoint key reversal levels in the financial markets.

In addition, over the last ten years, Kelvin has conducted numerous market outlook and trading-related seminars, as well as technical analysis training courses, for thousands of retail traders.

Kelvin Wong

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