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If Bitcoin follows the path it set during the 2016 halving, it’ll reach $286,000 by October

Bitcoin has exploded over 100 percent higher over the past four weeks, moving from $20,000 to highs around $42,000.

The post If Bitcoin follows the path it set during the 2016 halving, it’ll reach $286,000 by October appeared first on CryptoSlate.

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Bitcoin has exploded over 100 percent higher over the past four weeks, moving from $20,000 to highs around $42,000.

While the cryptocurrency is facing an ongoing retracement, analysts are confident that it is still on a path of growth on a macro scale.

According to Ecoinometrics, a cryptocurrency data outlet, Bitcoin is likely to rally hundreds of percent if it follows the same path it set after the previous halving.

Bitcoin has room to grow

While many argued after the May 2020 block reward halving that it would have no effect on Bitcoin’s price action, it is quickly becoming clear that this is not the case.

The halving caused a decrease in the amount of BTC that hits the market every day, meaning that an increase in demand should have a relatively outsized effect on the price action than it had before the halving.

According to an analysis by Ecoinometrics, if Bitcoin’s price follows the trajectory it took after previous halvings, it is likely to reach approximately $286,000 in October. $286,000 is over 600 percent above the current market price of $39,000.

Wall Street agrees

While $286,000 may sound like an outlandish price target for crypto investors that experienced the crushing crash in early 2020, there are Wall Street investors that agree with the expectations of prices above $100,000.

Guggenheim Investments CIO Scott Minerd told Bloomberg in December that given Bitcoin’s scarcity and the debasement of the U.S. dollar, BTC could trade as high as $400,000. Guggenheim Investments is a renowned Wall Street investment firm that began to allocate some capital to Bitcoin due to the ongoing macroeconomic trends.

As CryptoSlate reported earlier this year, Minerd basically dictated a Bitcoin bull case earlier this year, explaining that the world’s monetary state is in an extremely precarious place right now.

Other prominent investors that agree with this lofty sentiment include SkyBridge Capital.

SkyBridge Capital, which owns over $300 million worth of BTC at current, explained in a recent slide deck that Bitcoin has the potential to pass $500,000 due to it being a much better store of value and payment mechanism than gold.

Similarly, former Goldman Sachs head of hedge fund sales Raoul Pal has said that if the cryptocurrency is to truly become the core of the next financial system, he could easily see it passing $1,000,000 per coin.

Posted In: Bitcoin, Analysis

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Source: https://cryptoslate.com/if-bitcoin-follows-the-path-it-set-during-the-2016-halving-itll-reach-286000-by-october/

Blockchain

2020 Crypto-In-Review: The Year of The ₿ull

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Prices are soaring, innovation is breaking ground, opportunities are flourishing and cryptocurrency adoption is relentless. As we begin a new year with unbridled enthusiasm, Kraken examines the
past year — one that won’t be soon forgotten. 

The year 2020 will be remembered for economic and humanitarian catastrophe. It will also be recognized by the crypto community as the beginning of a new bull market. 

The COVID-19 pandemic sent shockwaves through the financial markets and cryptocurrencies were not spared from the carnage. The “Black Thursday” market selloff was one of the worst days for bitcoin as price dropped 41% – the second worst intraday loss in its history. 

Since the $3,911 low on March 13, 2020, bitcoin has produced over 700% returns and institutional demand for the premier cryptocurrency has surged as those companies seek a store of value. Favorable legislative action such as Wyoming establishing a path for digital asset banks and institutional adoption from major companies such as Square, PayPal, MicroStrategy, MassMutual, and others have set the stage for a promising future in the cryptocurrency industry. 

Kraken Intelligence has compiled a comprehensive report exploring all of the fundamental factors that have influenced the cryptocurrency industry in 2020. Our team provides insight on developments like the DeFi markets, institutional adoption, legislative and regulatory changes, industry innovation, price action and so much more to help market participants for the year ahead.

By downloading this report, we anticipate you will have a greater understanding of where the growth opportunities are emerging in cryptocurrencies, which projects you should consider and an understanding of market dynamics.

We cover:

  • What’s Influencing Adoption – Institutional buying has surged as nearly 6% of the total bitcoin supply is now held in corporate treasury. Wallets holding over 100 BTC grew significantly since the beginning of March and wallets with less than 1 BTC saw double digit growth in that same time period. 2020 is the year when we witnessed a groundbreaking uptick in institutional investor interest. 
  • The Halving – Provable scarcity is one of the main appeals of bitcoin. The hard-coded event to reduce the block reward subsidy and further enforce the disinflationary trend of bitcoin’s supply growth has often foreshadowed each new bull cycle. On May 11, 2020, the latest halving event occurred and by the end of the year, nearly 90% of all of bitcoin’s 21 million supply had been mined. With demand rising for a limited supply, price has once again shown to be on the rise. 
  • Yield Farming – The emergence of Decentralized Finance has not only helped growth in stablecoins, but has created a new opportunity for crypto investors – a yield curve. DeFi has provided crypto holders yield in exchange for offering their coins into liquidity pools. The emergence of yield in cryptocurrency is another step in the direction towards challenging the existing financial infrastructure as it provides an opportunity to earn for those holding long term.
  • Stablecoin Growth – Stablecoin adoption exploded in 2020 with the rise in  Decentralized Finance as traders began utilizing them for yield farming. The total market supply for stablecoins rose nearly 400% to $27.7 billion by end-of-year. As Visa announced that it will connect their global payment network to USDC, it appears this may just be the beginning of a stablecoin paradigm shift. Stablecoins are proving to be an on-ramp for individuals that may have difficulty accessing traditional financial products as well as safe havens in periods of volatility, thus increasing their appeal in a growing industry.

Download Our Full Report

Source: https://blog.kraken.com/post/7496/2020-crypto-in-review-the-year-of-the-%e2%82%bfull/

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Blockchain

Chinese Investors Fight Over Crypto as They Look for Safe Haven

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Chinese Investor

Customary institutional speculators once thought about cryptographic forms of money as a venture for the strong or the dumb: a specialty market with a terrible standing and high unpredictability. In 2017, J.P. Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon considered Bitcoin a fake. 

In 2020, J.P. Morgan began offering banking administrations for digital forms of money and its experts anticipated Bitcoin price could hit $146,000 in the long haul. Bitcoin’s value flooded to $20,000 a year ago, entering the standard. On Jan. 9, 2021, it momentarily hit $41,000. As of the hour of composing, one Bitcoin costs $36,500. 

Throughout the most recent year, well-to-do Chinese have rushed to blockchain-based advanced resources as a venture—and a more secure spot to stash their cash—industry insiders told. There are no hard figures on the amount Chinese speculators are placing into the generally untraceable universe of crypto.

Chinese investors have generally favored stopping their resources in US markets through interests in stocks, reserves, land, and the sky’s the limit from there. The US is an mature and fluid market, with generally close authority over corporate structures and low expenses on capital increases, making it a famous objective for the world’s riches. 

Major league salary Chinese are currently viewing cryptographic forms of money as a place of refuge for their resources, said Flex Yang, CEO and fellow benefactor of Babel Finance, a Hong Kong-based Chinese digital money resource the executives organization. 

About $50 billion in digital currencies was moved from East Asia to abroad records in the year finishing off with June 2020.

“China is a large part of this activity in East Asia,” a representative from Chainalysis told, however it has not yet examined nation level information. In light of their own meetings with specialists, Chainalysis said that probably a portion of this $50 billion speaks to capital flight.

Get the latest in Asian Bitcoin news here at Coin News Asia.

Source: http://www.coinnewsasia.com/chinese-investors-fight-over-crypto-as-they-look-for-safe-haven/

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Why This Bull Market Is Different

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This isn’t the first crypto bull run. This is the fourth market cycle since the Bitcoin Genesis Block in January 2009; each preceding one, without fail, has led to unprecedented growth and development in terms of market capitalization, infrastructure, and most importantly of all, new participants. 

In that sense, this bull cycle is no different from the last. The rush of new investors has led prices to hit new all-time highs that seemed utter fantasy months ago. In 2017, the parabolic price action that attracted so much media attention was fueled by retail traders and crypto-focused funds. The real big fish – the blue-chips and the billion-dollar hedge funds – sat on the sidelines, unsure over whether bitcoin really could be an investable asset.

Fast forward to today and those same big fish are the ones now ploughing billions of dollars into the crypto market. Investors like Stanley Druckenmiller, Paul Tudor Jones and Christopher Wood have added bitcoin to their portfolios. Square, MicroStrategy and MassMutual have each allocated millions into bitcoin while CME group will soon introduce ETH futures built on CF Benchmarks crypto indices. PayPal has made bitcoin available to their hundreds of millions of users worldwide; BlackRock, Citibank and JP Morgan, institutions with trillions of dollars on their balance sheets, have expressed interest in doing the same. 

What’s most fascinating about this run is how Kraken volumes have reached new all-time highs but, according to Google Analytics, public interest in bitcoin is nearly half of what it was at the previous high. To this point, it appears this run is mostly being driven by institutions and that individual investors are playing catch up. 

Google Analytics of Bitcoin Search Trends
Courtesy Google Analytics

“This time is different” is a market cliche proven wrong on countless occasions. But following 2020, a year of pandemics, unprecedented monetary policy and fiscal stimulus, this time really is different. 

With its fixed supply, many believe bitcoin is digital gold. An allocation into bitcoin can protect the value of households and businesses’ hard-earned savings, as well as a hedge against the possibility of out of control inflation. Since March 2020, nearly 4 trillion U.S. dollars have entered circulation, increasing total money supply by more than 20%. 

Thanks to the hard work entities such as Kraken have devoted to educating investors, more people than ever are now using cryptocurrencies to help navigate through these trying and unpredictable times. Access has improved remarkably, compared to three years ago. Kraken’s new retail app — available in over 100 European countries and launching soon in the U.S. — provides anyone with the ability to buy cryptocurrency in just a few clicks from their phones. 

The stage is set for cryptocurrencies to become an investable asset complete with a valid value proposition underpinning it. This is the time to invest in your future. Whether it is diversification of assets, holding custody over your money or hedging against uncertainty, the time is now.

Source: https://blog.kraken.com/post/7470/this-bull-market-is-different/

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