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Here’s Why Ethereum Is Primed to Hit $290 After 12% Bounce

Ethereum has bounced after a punishing drop over the past two days. After falling as low as $290 on Saturday, the leading cryptocurrency has recently bounced as high as $355-360. This marks a 12-14% move from the local lows, which is actually an outperformance of Bitcoin. Some are optimistic that ETH runs back to $390, citing the technical supports it managed to hold above yesterday. Not everyone is convinced. A number of traders are still […]

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  • Ethereum has bounced after a punishing drop over the past two days.
  • After falling as low as $290 on Saturday, the leading cryptocurrency has recently bounced as high as $355-360.
  • This marks a 12-14% move from the local lows, which is actually an outperformance of Bitcoin.
  • Some are optimistic that ETH runs back to $390, citing the technical supports it managed to hold above yesterday.
  • Not everyone is convinced. A number of traders are still convinced Ethereum hits $290 in the near future.
  • Ethereum dropping to $290 from current levels would entail another 18% move lower.

Ethereum Is Primed to Hit $290 in the Near Future: Analysts

A trader is convinced Ethereum hits $290 in the near future after it printed a clear rejection at the $360 resistance level.

He shared the chart below on Sunday morning, showing that the failure to surmount that level is likely setting the cryptocurrency up for a decline to $290, maybe even to $250.

For Ethereum to hit $290 from current levels, it will need to drop 12%. For ETH to hit $250 from current levels, it will need to drop 19%.

Chart of ETH's price action over the past few months with analysis by crypto trader Byzantine General (@Byzgeneral on Twitter). Chart from TradingView.com

The trader above isn’t the first to have eyed the $290 level as a region ETH could near in the short term. One explained that $295 is a macro resistance level, making it likely that Ethereum could test it and bounce off it:

“Truth of the matter is that our region around $295 is the strongest level of support we have on weekly plus timeframes, this would be a major buying region… Personally I have added here at $350, this was my first buy fill in the past few months, next bid $320!”

Image

Chart of ETH's price action over the past year with analysis by crypto trader "CryptoCactus" (@thecryptocactus on Twitter). Chart from TradingView.com

Futures Suggest Relief Is Coming

Futures market trends suggest that relief is coming.

Over the past day, leading Ethereum futures markets on BitMEX, OKEx, and other exchanges have had their funding rates flip negative. The funding rate is the rate that long pays shorts to neutralize the price of the future to the price of the underlying cryptocurrency.

The negative funding rate seen yesterday indicated that sellers were so aggressive that the future was trading below the price of ETH.

Such negative funding rates are often seen before an asset undergoes a bounce. When shorts are paying longs, they are incentivized to close their positions.

Featured Image from Shutterstock
Price tags: xbtusd, btcusd, btcusdt
Charts from TradingView.com
Here's Why Bitcoin Is Primed to Hit $290 After 12% Bounce

Source: https://bitcoinist.com/heres-why-ethereum-is-primed-to-hit-290-after-12-bounce/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=heres-why-ethereum-is-primed-to-hit-290-after-12-bounce

Blockchain

TA: Ethereum Steadies Above $1,280, Why ETH Could Restart Its Rally

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Ethereum corrected lower and tested the $1,250 support zone against the US Dollar. ETH price is consolidating above $1,280 and it looks set for a fresh increase in the near term.

  • Ethereum is holding gains above the $1,250 and $1,280 support levels.
  • The price is currently correcting lower from $1,385, but it is above the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a crucial contracting triangle forming with support near $1,275 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could correct again, but it is likely to remain well bid above the $1,250 and $1,275 support levels.

Ethereum Price is Holding Key Support

Yesterday, we saw a downside correction in Ethereum below the $1,350 and $1,300 support levels. ETH price even spiked below the $1,280 support level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

It tested the $1,250 support zone and recovered steadily above $1,300. There was a break above the $1,350 resistance and a close above the 100 hourly simple moving average. However, ether price failed to surpass the $1,400 resistance zone.

A high was formed near $1,388 and the price is currently correcting lower. It is testing the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $1,251 swing low to $1,388 high. There is also a crucial contracting triangle forming with support near $1,275 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

Ethereum Price

Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The triangle support is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $1,251 swing low to $1,388 high. On the upside, the triangle resistance is near the $1,360 and $1,365 levels.

The main resistance is near the $1,385 and $1,400 levels. A successful close above the $1,400 resistance could open the doors for a fresh surge towards the $1,450 and $1,480 levels.

Dips Supported in ETH?

If ethereum struggles to remains stable above $1,300, it could correct further. An initial support on the downside is near the $1,280 level and the triangle trend line.

The main support is now forming near the $1,250 level. If ether fails to stay above the $1,250 support, it could decline further towards the $1,180 and $1,165 support levels.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is slowly moving in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is currently close to the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $1,280

Major Resistance Level – $1,380

Source: https://www.newsbtc.com/analysis/eth/ethereum-steadies-above-1280/

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Blockchain

Kraken Daily Market Report for January 20 2021

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Overview


  • Total spot trading volume at $1.68 billion, 8% higher than the 30-day average of $1.55 billion.
  • Total futures notional at $750.6 million.
  • The top 5 traded coins were, respectively, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tether, Polkadot, and Cardano.
  • Strong returns today from Curve Dao (+17%) and Mana (+8.9%).

January 20, 2021 
 $1684.5M traded across all markets today
 Crypto, EUR, USD, JPY, CAD, GBP, CHF, AUD 
XBT 
$34827. 
↓2.8% 
$693.8M
ETH 
$1320.9 
↓3.3% 
$547.8M
USDT 
$1.0004 
↓0.01% 
$168.2M
DOT 
$17.561 
↑7.3% 
$98.1M
ADA 
$0.3645 
↓0.6% 
$37.9M
XRP 
$0.2925 
↓0.7% 
$30.6M
LINK 
$21.131 
↑2.8% 
$30.5M
USDC 
$0.9999 
↑0.0% 
$24.9M
LTC 
$147.10 
↓3.0% 
$23.5M
XLM 
$0.2894 
↓2.8% 
$11.8M
BCH 
$493.17 
↓2.5% 
$11.0M
XTZ 
$2.8637 
↓0.24% 
$6.62M
ATOM 
$8.6476 
↓2.4% 
$5.85M
GRT 
$0.5118 
↓4.9% 
$5.32M
REP 
$23.266 
↑5.5% 
$5.13M
DAI 
$0.9998 
↓0.02% 
$4.99M
FIL 
$22.405 
↓1.2% 
$4.5M
UNI 
$8.7212 
↑1.8% 
$4.4M
YFI 
$33270. 
↓3.3% 
$4.4M
KSM 
$106.22 
↑4.3% 
$4.38M
XMR 
$151.54 
↓3.6% 
$3.86M
AAVE 
$189.44 
↑1.6% 
$3.78M
WAVES 
$7.0911 
↑0.08% 
$3.46M
CRV 
$1.5485 
↑17% 
$3.39M
EOS 
$2.7554 
↓1.1% 
$3.25M
DASH 
$120.02 
↓3.4% 
$3.11M
ALGO 
$0.5353 
↑2.8% 
$2.49M
ZEC 
$98.494 
↓3.6% 
$2.29M
NANO 
$3.3128 
↓5.5% 
$2.28M
OMG 
$3.7666 
↓2.3% 
$2.21M
SNX 
$15.334 
↑1.2% 
$1.92M
TRX 
$0.0302 
↓1.3% 
$1.89M
KAVA 
$2.1977 
↓1.1% 
$1.54M
QTUM 
$3.1710 
↑0.12% 
$1.25M
ICX 
$0.7395 
↑6.3% 
$1.13M
COMP 
$208.88 
↓1.3% 
$1.11M
BAT 
$0.2737 
↑1.8% 
$1.11M
XDG 
$0.0089 
↓0.8% 
$1.07M
MANA 
$0.1321 
↑8.9% 
$1.02M
KEEP 
$0.3149 
↓2.9% 
$863K
SC 
$0.0050 
↑1.5% 
$812K
ETC 
$7.7530 
↓0.4% 
$695K
KNC 
$1.2653 
↑0.16% 
$684K
MLN 
$40.959 
↓4.8% 
$649K
LSK 
$1.4740 
↑6.9% 
$536K
REPV2 
$21.115 
↓2.8% 
$521K
OXT 
$0.2914 
↓0.23% 
$483K
PAXG 
$1880.9 
↑1.6% 
$406K
BAL 
$21.470 
↓2.7% 
$244K
GNO 
$115.89 
↓4.0% 
$223K
ANT 
$3.9536 
↓1.3% 
$217K
STORJ 
$0.3956 
↓3.5% 
$191K
TBTC 
$36825. 
↑1.6% 
$76.9K



#####################. Trading Volume by Asset. ##########################################

Trading Volume by Asset


The figures below break down the trading volume of the largest, mid-size, and smallest assets. Cryptos are in purple, fiats are in blue. For each asset, the chart contains the daily trading volume in USD, and the percentage of the total trading volume. The percentages for fiats and cryptos are treated separately, so that they both add up to 100%.

Figure 1: Largest trading assets: trading volume (measured in USD) and its percentage of the total trading volume (January 20 2021)



Figure 2: Mid-size trading assets: (measured in USD) (January 20 2021)



Figure 3: Smallest trading assets: (measured in USD) (January 20 2021)



#####################. Spread %. ##########################################

Spread %


Spread percentage is the width of the bid/ask spread divided by the bid/ask midpoint. The values are generated by taking the median spread percentage over each minute, then the average of the medians over the day.

Figure 4: Average spread % by pair (January 20 2021)



.


#########. Returns and Volume ############################################

Returns and Volume


Figure 5: Returns of the four highest volume pairs (January 20 2021)


Figure 6: Volume of the major currencies and an average line that fits the data to a sinusoidal curve to show the daily volume highs and lows (January 20 2021)



###########. Daily Returns. #################################################

Daily Returns %


Figure 7: Returns over USD and XBT. Relative volume and return size is indicated by the size of the font. (January 20 2021)



###########. Disclaimer #################################################

The values generated in this report are from public market data distributed from Kraken WebSockets api. The total volumes and returns are calculated over the reporting day using UTC time.

Source: https://blog.kraken.com/post/7516/kraken-daily-market-report-for-january-20-2021/

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Blockchain

83% of cryptocurrencies that peaked in 2018 are still down by 90%

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Data published by crypto market data aggregator Messari shows that 83% of crypto assets that tagged all-time highs in January 2018 are still down by at least 90%.

The data was spotted by CMT Digital analyst Matt Casto, who tweeted data showing the average return-on-investment, or ROI, of crypto assets sorted by the year in which they posted record price highs.

The data set included 410 assets that posted record prices during 2017 or later, with 2018’s 157 star coins performing the worst with an average of -90.71% since the previous ATH. 

2017’s top crypto’s have since crashed by 82% on average, while 2019’s crop is down 72%, and 2020’s standouts have shed 53%.

The data may help support the ‘great repricing’ concept, that the capital that once flowed into the “ghost-chain” layer-one blockchains that dominated the sector in 2017 and 2018 is now being redirected towards the nascent DeFi sector.

The concept is even a trading strategy for some, with dHedge pool manager Wangarian describing his strategy as longing “tokens that obtain direct value accrual (DeFi)” while shorting “dogs**t L1s that have no value accrual whatsoever.”

However, despite the poor performances of many altcoins from yesteryear when compared to their record highs, many older altcoins have still produced enormous percentage gains since bottoming out.

Since finding local lows during the “Black Thursday” crash of March 2020, Cardano (ADA) has increased nearly 1,700%, Zilliqa (ZIL) is up 2,670%, and Decred (DCR) has gained 14,130% from their respective price floors.

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/83-of-cryptocurrencies-that-peaked-in-2018-are-still-down-by-90

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