From the COVID-19 pandemic to mass-scale money printing and social unrest, 2020 was a wild year. Alongside a barrage of newsworthy events, Bitcoin (BTC) also turned in a standout year in the price category, ultimately rising from $3,600 to past $41,950, besting its 2017 all-time high of $19,892.
A number of events, both crypto-specific and mainstream, appeared as catalysts for Bitcoin’s price action. Several crypto industry players weighed in on the events they believe affected BTC’s price action the most in 2020.
Morgan Creek Digital co-founder Anthony Pompliano labeled Bitcoin’s halving as the event with the greatest effect on the asset’s price action, according to his comments to Cointelegraph. “The incoming daily supply decreased and demand has increased significantly, which has led to an increase in the USD price,” Pompliano said.
Bitcoin’s halving occurred on May 11, 2020. The third such event since the asset’s launch in 2009, BTC’s halving resulted in miners receiving 6.25 BTC for block rewards instead of 12.5 BTC. Previous Bitcoin halvings brought price declines followed by sideways price action, although tremendous upswings eventually occurred after each halving.
The event in 2020 was no exception, as Bitcoin soared past record highs several months after the May event. The Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow model from analyst Plan B serves as a popular forecasting tool in the crypto space. The model predicts increasing future BTC prices based on halvings decreasing the asset’s incoming supply.
Pierce Crosby, general manager for crypto asset charting platform TradingView, told Cointelegraph about three developments that he believes impacted the value of Bitcoin the most in 2020. The first aspect he noted: “Consumer continued adoption, apparent in Coinbase’s planned IPO.”
Major United States-based crypto exchange Coinbase recently filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for approval to conduct an initial public offering. The move would take the company public, resulting in tradable company shares on the mainstream U.S. stock market. The news actually coincided with moderately downward BTC price action on the day of the development, although Crosby’s comment appears to indicate the IPO as simply a result of underlying and ongoing demand.
The “institutional adoption, seen in MicroStrategy’s treasury re-allocation to Bitcoin” was another rousing event on BTC’s price in 2020 according to Crosby. A slew of large mainstream companies unveiled large Bitcoin positions in 2020. It all began as billionaire hedge funder Paul Tudor Jones revealed his Bitcoin position in May 2020.
In the latter half of the year, business intelligence firm MicroStrategy picked up hundreds of millions of dollars in Bitcoin. Other firms, such as Jack Dorsey’s Square and MassMutual, also publicized BTC purchases as part of a buying trend for big players.
Crosby also said, “the boom of DeFi and the corresponding leveraged products that were built by this space” affected BTC’s price in 2020. Last year, a bevy of DeFi solutions entered the crypto industry, giving participants new ways of leveraging their capital.
Resembling 2017’s ICO bubble at times, decentralized finance moved significant money around in 2020. Related assets saw dramatic price swings, while shady projects also surfaced during the boom. Meanwhile, in line with the hype, Bitcoin rode an upward price trend toward record levels after recovering from its COVID-19-related price drop in March.
Speaking of the pandemic, Cheds, a crypto trader and analyst on Twitter, said COVID-19 steered Bitcoin’s price significantly last year.
“COVID by far had the biggest impact on $BTC #Bitcoin price in 2020, taking it down from 8K down to around 3K briefly.”
In March 2020, amid rapidly rising COVID-19 concerns and prevention measures, mainstream markets and crypto assets fell sharply in price. Bitcoin, however, rebounded more quickly than traditional financial assets. “Without a doubt, it sped up the process of finding a bottom, and since then, we have ripped back up to all-time highs, helped along by news of institutional investment,” Cheds said of the pandemic.
“Events like the public purchases of MicroStrategy and the addition of $BTC to PayPal’s arsenal have added a veneer of legitimacy that was missing, and help pave the way for even more of these types of investments in 2021,” Cheds added. PayPal unveiled the addition of multiple crypto assets to its platform back in October.
2021’s rally is driven by fundamentals, not FOMO
When asked what events had the least effect on Bitcoin’s price, Pompliano said, “most people’s opinion on Twitter,” with a smile. Meanwhile, Crosby pointed toward a detachment of Bitcoin from the political arena. “Very little impact came from politics this year, which is a substantial difference versus previous years,” he said. “We expect the impact of governments to be more visible with Bitcoin in 2021.”
Rounding out the year, the U.S. government proposed a ruling to monitor self-custodied crypto-asset wallets, for which the short comment period recently ended. The SEC also filed a movement against Ripple and its XRP asset in late-December. Both events could signal the beginning of increased government involvement.
Pompliano has often called Bitcoin a non-correlated asset when it comes to other financial instruments. An October 2020 report from Fidelity lends validity to such a view, concluding that Bitcoin holds virtually zero correlation to the price action seen across other markets.
Over the course of 2020, the world gave Bitcoin’s price plenty of headlines to react to. Some news events seemed impactful, while others did not, although definitively proving any direct correlation may be impossible.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.
For Big Investors, the Recent Bitcoin Drop Presents More Buying Opportunities
Bitcoin has fallen deeply into a state of oblivion. Once trading for well over $64,000, the world’s number one digital currency by market cap has lost nearly $20,000 in value since last month and is presently trading for just over $47,000.
Bitcoin Is Still Being Bought Up
Among many analysts is an attitude of gloom and doom. Some consider the end of bitcoin to be near, while other largescale investors – such as Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy fame – think that this is the perfect opportunity to add more bitcoin to their private and company stashes and buy up.
Saylor has recently come out and admitted that not long after Elon Musk announced his company would not be accepting BTC payments for goods and services, his company purchased another $15 million worth of the digital asset. The recent dip can likely be attributed to Musk’s sudden dismissal of BTC payments, which a lot of people in the crypto space were relying on.
This was going to be a major push forward in the world of BTC. It would be seen as a legitimate and mainstream method of payment considering such a huge, billion-dollar company would allow its usage alongside fiat and credit cards.
Sadly, it does not look like this is going to pass, and bitcoin has suffered as a result, but for people like Saylor, the present conditions offer more opportunities to take advantage of. In a tweet, Saylor announced his company’s recent purchase:
MicroStrategy has purchased an additional 271 bitcoins for $15 million in cash at an average price of about $55,387 per bitcoin.
Thus far, the company has accumulated nearly $2.5 billion in BTC over the past nine months according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). MicroStrategy was one of the first major institutions to pledge public support to bitcoin and initially began buying the asset in August of last year.
While Saylor looks at the recent situation as something positive for men like himself, others are expressing disdain with Elon Musk and the fact that he is constantly saying things that have large effects on bitcoin and its competing altcoin cousins.
Maybe It’s Time to Think Before You Talk
Dennis Kelleher – CEO of Better Markets in Washington – explained to reporters:
The problem here is that a loose cannon CEO continues to shoot his mouth off about any number of potential market-moving events. It is clearly grossly irresponsible, but it may not be illegal.
For the most part, there is no evidence supporting the idea that Musk does what he does or says what he says on purpose. It could be that he just simply does not realize his power within the industry yet. However, perhaps it is time he takes a breather and really thinks about his next steps regarding crypto, as it clearly has an effect on the rest of us.
Litecoin Price Prediction: LTC/USD Goes Bearish on a Correctional Note
LTC Price Prediction – May 17
Currently, a downward correctional move is ongoing at a higher pressure in the LTC/USD market activities. The US currency forces its worth on the crypto since May 10 while the base instrument hit resistance around a high value of $400. With about a 10.07% reduction presently in the crypto market, price now trades at around the level of $266.
Resistance levels: $320, $360, $400
Support levels: $240, $220, $200
LTC/USD – Daily Chart
The LTC/USD daily chart showcases a heavy downward price correctional movement as most of the vital support trading levels breached to the downside. An intense bearish candlestick is being formed in the space between the SMAs. That has led to the breaking down of the bullish trend-line and the 14-day SMA trend-line to the south. The 50-day SMA indicator is being approached by current falling pressure at the immediate support value of $240. The Stochastic Oscillators are now in the oversold region slightly pointing to the south within it. That still calls for placing position with cautiousness as there may soon be a change of trend in no time.
Will the LTC/USD current fall-off reach for support of $240?
Going by the current pace at which the LTC/USD market operations as regards the downward correctional moves, it is most likely that bulls will await price to either closely average or briefly touch past the immediate support level of $240 before considering launching a pull-up. That said, a bullish candlestick formation is needed to back up a reliable return of an upward move at that trading zone.
On the account of contradiction, as regards the market’s upside, bears would now have to consolidate their stance in the market to forcefully break down the $240 support level in a continuation southward pushes to see through some lower support trading lines. The smaller SMA indicator may not play along with the furtherance of downswing at the first instance of heightening pressure.
LTC/BTC Price Analysis
As of writing, the comparison trading capacity outlook between LTC and BTC as shown on the chart depicts that the counter instrument has only been able to hold back the base tool in a convergent trading cycle at higher zones. Yet, the trend is having it to favor of LTC as placed with BTC. The 14-day SMA trend-line and the bullish trend-line are over the 50-day SMA. And, they are all underneath the cryptos’ trading point. The Stochastic Oscillators have slantingly moved into the oversold region with a brief-pointing posture to the south. That indicates that the possibility that the base instrument may soon begin a push further to the north.
Iranian government to penalize crypto miners using household power
The Iranian government has now warned of hefty fines for those who will be caught mining cryptocurrencies using power intended for domestic use.
This after authorities registered a significant spike in electricity consumption for digital currency mining, further straining the already stressed hydropower generation caused by insufficient rainfall in the country this year.
The government said the illegal mining operations for virtual currencies that rely on electricity intended for households cause transformers to be overloaded, damaging the power grid. According to Tehran Times, Iranian Ministry of Energy spokesperson Mostafa Rajabi Mashhadi said unauthorized miners “will be fined when identified and held responsible for the damages they cause to the electricity network.”
Mining rapidly expanding in Iran
Back in 2019, the Iranian government legalized cryptocurrency mining, classifying it as an industrial activity.
In 2020, over 1,000 mining licenses were issued by the Ministry of Industry, Mining, and Trade, and power companies were provided with an avenue to increase their profits through meeting the industry’s power demands.
Selling electricity to cryptocurrency miners was seen as an option to fill the gap between revenues and expenditures in the electricity industry. However, with the current energy crisis being faced by the country, this move is now also being questioned.
Power consumption through the roof
Per the latest available data, the cryptocurrency mining sector in Iran consumes up to 1,500 megawatts of electricity each day. Back in December, this figure only sat at 300 megawatts. Authorities revealed that only around 200 megawatts of the current average daily consumption are legal.
Chinese companies have taken advantage of low and subsidized electricity prices in Iran to establish mining operations in the country’s Special Economic Zones.
The Ministry of Industry, Mines, and Trade estimates around $660 million worth of cryptocurrency is mined annually by unlicensed facilities in Iran.
Image courtesy of Cointelegraph News/YouTube
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