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Five Signs That The Bitcoin Bottom Is In

Republished by Plato

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Bitcoin price was slashed in half during the month of May, leaving today as the last day for bulls to make a stand and undo the worst monthly on record.

Even if the blood stain is left behind on the price chart for good, that doesn’t mean bulls still can’t pull off an upset and push prices higher. Here are five signs that Bitcoin price has bottomed out, or will be soon.

The Signals Showing The Bitcoin Bottom Is Near

Just as extreme bullish sentiment and exuberance around mid-April was the local top of the 2021 rally so far, the current level could also act as the bottom now that sentiment has shift to the polar opposite.

A hidden bull div has formed on daily support | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Contrarian investors and traders suggest buying the fear or blood in the streets, but that’s still not the reason to think the bottom is in.

Related Reading | Building The Case That The Bitcoin Bottom Is In

Rather, technicals on nearly all timeframes point to a reversal in the making. The first ever cryptocurrency is forming a bullish divergence (above) while at daily support. The bounce happened once the Relative Strength Index hit oversold levels.

The logarithmic MACD shows momentum is turning upward | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The daily LMACD is also turning upward, showing that bulls are attempting to regain momentum on daily timeframes after a month of mayhem.

Moving up to a higher timeframe, Bitcoin price has also bounced at a rising trendline of RSI support on the three-day chart (below).

Bitcoin bounced off a high timeframe RSI support trend line | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

But Wait, There’s More Reasons To Be Bullish On BTC

If that’s not enough to believe there’s a low-timeframe reversal in the making, on higher timeframes there’s still many more reasons to be bullish.

Related Reading | Don’t Have A Cow: Bart Simpson Is Back In Bitcoin

The rarely-looked-at two-week timeframe shows that Bitcoin fell to the middle-SMA on the Bollinger Bands. During the last bull market, the line was never lost. In fact, touching it resulted in the finally impulse upward.

The two-week middle-BB was retested only once during the last bull run | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The recent push down also caused Bitcoin’s most profitable buy signal to indicate “capitulation” in BTC miners. Past bull markets saw more than 8,000% and 3,500% after the last buy signal appeared per cycle.

The most profitable buy signal in crypto is about to trigger | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Nearly every time the signal appears, more upside is on the way. So why would this time be any different?

With so many signals stacking up, chances that the cryptocurrency is near the bottom are becoming more likely. Drawdowns post buy signal are still common, however, the potential reward has historically always outweighed the risk in terms of ROI versus loss.

Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com

Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://www.newsbtc.com/analysis/btc/five-signs-bitcoin-bottom-bullish/

Blockchain

Cardano: Can this cushion the mounting bearish pressure?

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Cardano has garnered much attention from the crypto community due to constant network upgrades over the past few months. After the successful Mary hard fork, Cardano now aims at bringing smart contract to its system via the highly anticipated Alonzo upgrade. Its first-ever smart contract written in Plutus went live on the Alonzo Testnet a week ago.

While these developments were certainly immune and separate from a bearish broader market, its native cryptocurrency, ADA, was not.

Weekly losses piled up to over 30% as sellers ramped up pressure in the ADA market. The cryptocurrency suffered a sharper decline once a breakout above $1.61 was rejected during the last week of trade.

Cardano Daily Chart

Source: ADA/USD, TradingView

Since the broader market crash, ADA has been unable to rise above its upper ceiling of $1.88. Bullish momentum fizzled out as ADA failed to breach this resistance and sellers have dictated market movement since. Its latest attempt at a revival came via a breakout attempt above $1.61 but the 20-SMA acted as a resistance mark and denied further upside. With prices nosediving further over the last 24 hours, focus now shifted to its 19 May swing low of $0.95.

Reasoning

ADA was on a tight rope as it approached a defensive mark of $0.95. This region not only formed a support mark ranging all the way to early Feb, but was also bolstered by the presence of the 200 Simple Moving Average line. The Relative Strength Index moved in the oversold region and a reversal was expected over the coming days. Stochastic RSI even showed a bullish crossover and suggested that the trend could shift in favor of buyers.

If a reversal is triggered at $0.95, ADA could witness an ascent back towards $1.15. Visible Range’s point of control lay within this area and an extended rise was unlikely. However, traders must also be wary of breakdown as well. Failing to cut losses at $0.95 could result in a further 30% decline towards $0.673. According to Awesome Oscillator’s red bars, such a move was not within the realms of possibility.

Conclusion 

With losses accumulating in the market, ADA now resorted to its defensive line of $0.95. The 200-SMA moved within this zone and strengthened its defensive capabilities. A temporary pickup towards $1.15 can be expected once buyers return to the broader market but the threat of an extended sell-off cannot be discounted as well.


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Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://ambcrypto.com/cardano-can-this-cushion-the-mounting-bearish-pressure

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Karura (KAR) Wins First Kusama (KSM) Parachain Auction

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The Kusama team has announced via Twitter on June 22, 2021, that Karura (KAR) has emerged as the winner of the first-ever Kusama (KSM) parachain auction. The team says over 15,000 participants locked up their KSM tokens in favor of Karura.

Karura (KAR) Becomes First Kusama Parachain

The months of hard work and dedication of the Karura team have finally paid off, as the project has now won a parachain slot on Kusama, laying a solid foundation for its product launch on the network.

Karura tweeted:

Though the team has not talked about the immediate next steps of Kurara, the announcement has attracted positive reactions from Kusama faithful on crypto Twitter nonetheless and the team has hinted that key members of the Kurara project, will be live on #TwitterSpace on June 23, 2021, to answer questions and shed more light on the way forward.

Karura Aiming to Revolutionize DeFi

For those who are unaware, Kurara (KAR) was created by the Acala Foundation and it’s aiming to develop a robust decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem in Kusama. When Kurara finally launches, members of its ecosystem will enjoy a plethora of DeFi offerings, including superfast and cost-efficient token swaps, staking, liquidity mining, and more.

At a time when “rug pull” incidents are increasing at an alarming rate in the DeFi space, Karura will definitely provide investors with a reliable platform through which they would enjoy the goodies of decentralized finance, as the platform is backed by highly reputed entities including Coinbase Ventures.

Notably, investors’ confidence in the Karura project is very solid at the moment as evidenced by the overwhelming support Karura got from members of the cryptoverse during its crowd loan event.

Specifically, on June 10, 2021, the team announced that it had successfully raised more than 200,000 $KSM tokens ($100m at the time) from over 8,500 contributors that took part in its crowd loan event via its portal.

According to Karura, contributors will get 12+ KAR tokens for every 1 KSM contributed, early birds will earn an extra 10 percent bonus and on top of that, there’s a five percent referral bonus for eligible participants.

At press time, the price of KSM is hovering around $175.40, with a market cap of $1.51 billion, as seen on CoinMarketCap.

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Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://btcmanager.com/karura-kar-kusama-ksm-parachain-auction/

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Extreme Fear In Crypto Market, Is It Time To Buy The Blood In Bitcoin?

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The past week has been a brutal one for bitcoin and crypto in general. The market has taken hit after hit. So much so that it’s starting to seem like there is no end in sight. Coins have been falling at high percentages. It brings back a popular saying in the financial markets; “there’s blood in the streets.”

Investors have been reacting to this negatively. The Arcane Research Fear & Greed Index has moved back into extreme fear. Going down to the lowest it has ever been this year.

Fear & Greed Index from Arcane Research

Fear & Greed Index down to 10 into extreme fear | Source: Fear & Greed Index on Arcane Research

The Index currently sits at 10 in extreme fear. This means that investors are scared to put their money in the market. With no more money going into the market, the prices will go down. And we will see even redder charts.

Time To Buy The Blood?

“Buy the dip” is a popular saying in the crypto space. People are encouraged to buy coins when there has been a massive downturn in the price. Quoting this as being the best time to get into the market. But what happens when a dip goes past just being a dip into full-blown bleeding?

With red charts and downward-facing arrows, the market looks like it is bleeding. With massive liquidations going on and not as much faith in the digital assets anymore, the crypto market valuation is down.

Related Reading | Will A Large Spike In Bullish Sentiment Translate To A Bitcoin Rally?

It is always best to buy assets when there is “blood in the streets.” People are wary of the market. Weak hands are pulling out, dragging the price down. And that is when the long-term hodlers come out to play.

There is never any definite way to tell where exactly the market will bottom out. But a good indication is when assets are down so much that people are scared to buy back in. A time where it seems like the coins will never recover and that is the best time to buy.

Is There A Market Recovery On The Horizon?

A trend in the market has usually been massive dips are followed by good recoveries. People buy assets that are down a significant amount in hopes that they will make a profit when it recovers.

Total crypto market capitalization from TradingView.com

Total market capitalization less than 50% ATH | Source: Total Market Cap on TradingView.com

With institutional investors still holding on to their bitcoins, it looks that they still have hope in the market.

MicroStrategy recently bought an additional $500 million worth of bitcoins to add to its growing portfolio. Goldman Sachs had ramped up its bitcoin trading activities by partnering up with Galaxy Capital. All good-faith moves in the market.

But with the hash rate hitting record lows and the number of bitcoin mined in a day dropping, it could be that the market is headed for a » Read more

” href=”https://www.newsbtc.com/dictionary/bear/” data-wpel-link=”internal”>bear market.

In that case, investors might be headed for a long waiting period. As the crypto » Read more

” href=”https://www.newsbtc.com/dictionary/bear/” data-wpel-link=”internal”>bear markets are notorious for being painfully long. Lasting years at a time.

But there is just as much of a chance for recovery as there is for a total » Read more

” href=”https://www.newsbtc.com/dictionary/bear/” data-wpel-link=”internal”>bear market.

Related Reading | More Than $1 Billion In Crypto Positions Liquidated In Overnight Bloodbath

It will not be the first time that the market has pulled ahead after massive downturns. A lot of investors see the falling prices as a chance to buy back in. And more money goes back into the market, so does more faith return. Increasing the valuation of the assets.

Bitcoin has fallen below $30k. Less than half its all-time high. A crucial hold point for the asset.

Ethereum has fallen below $2k.

The total market valuation now sits at $1.21 trillion. Less than 50% from its highest market valuation of $2.4 trillion.

Featured image from Cointelegraph, Fear & Greed Index from Arcane Research, crypto chart from TradingView.com

Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://www.newsbtc.com/analysis/btc/extreme-fear-in-crypto-markett/

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