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Ethereum Returns to the Pre-Defi Price

Ethereum price, Sep 7 2020Defi givth, Defi takth away. Just as the beginning of yield farming unleashed much bullishness in eth, so too now it has unleashed a bit of coolness with defi probably…

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Defi givth, Defi takth away. Just as the beginning of yield farming unleashed much bullishness in eth, so too now it has unleashed a bit of coolness with defi probably still hot, but not burning hot.

The days of crazy growth with assets under management doubling by the week are probably over, at least for now.

The network just can’t handle it and without new liquidity, the game of chairs of tokens on top of tokens all the way down presumably at some point has to pause to leave someone without a chair.

At fees of $20 per transaction or $500 for dapp devs to call some function, you can still play with big sums but big sums don’t usually take risky bets. That’s the fish, or the sushis.

So, is this it? For now, probably, at least where as it was is concerned. Many people have seen now just what are these things and as you’d expect the hype was far ahead of the ground.

You get free sushis yes, but if you don’t make some mistake. You can automate defi sure, but if you can avoid becoming a target:

“Pretty safe.” Millions of dai have gone into that and ‘bots’ have taken them for cheap with some Curve vote to end in a week before a fix.

A week in this space is decades as we all know, with code of course having many benefits but also hiccups especially if it is brand new.

So gas putting some breaks here can only be good for eth because with current amounts it’s about manageable, but really arguably it isn’t time for hype and fomo and all that as many of these new projects are unproven.

They need some time to be strengthened and be refined and be made safer as well as to be audited by the only auditors that matter, all them smart Nakamotos across the world.

Making this 2016 with the first ICOs that were kind of prudent and constrained and ‘ours,’ as in by very knowledgable and ‘refined’ people.

So too generally it looks like currently all these dapps are by people that kind of know what they doing, but in a very new space and in a very ruthless space where one mistake can cost billions.

Meaning you’d think they’d all be of the view that is probably best to kind of cool down a bit as ethereum has stolen Silicon Valley’s mantra of move fast and break things, but fast here means turtle speed instead of bitcoin’s snail speed, and break things is meant in the same tongue in cheek as “I Test in Prod.”

This space can’t move too fast. Not just shouldn’t, but can’t because of the capacity limitations which may well turn out to be for the better.

That doesn’t mean it can’t move at all or that eth is done now or that defi is a was. To the contrary, defi has just began. What may be in the past is the daily new hypecoin which may well have some proper ground but gas has put a ceiling to actionable hype.

That’s of course what we thought in 2016. The DAO had grown too fast. Security is paramount. You have to cap raises to $20 million. You need to provide disclosure. We should set up some rating/audit eth NGO. And then 2017 came and said f you bro, we gone do what we wants.

In the immortal battle between good in the medium-long term and good in the short term, it is futile to consider should for man can’t be controlled except by what we’ll very metaphorically say the ‘pen’ to want to mean that inherent objective conclusion of ‘good.’

So as this space moves, gradually you’d think standards would become laxer not out of choice but because what feels good in the present can make one forget its potential cost for the desire for it to continue to feel good for as long as possible.

And so what we’re trying to say is the defi party has not ended, but a certain welcoming music where everybody was somewhat all cheery being greeted with their presents, has now given way to the bit where people sit down and talk about sushi and to keep decorum or pretenses of ‘no no no no drink, I’m good boy,’ are still generally within their senses but in a nice friendly environment.

Otherwise said, it’s 7PM not 3AM. Maybe even earlier. Maybe even 5PM. Time here being decades, it should be months before the craziness of 3AM when most refined barristers or the best of coders have dropped any and all pretenses for forever young.

To think one can read the inevitability of matters is of course foolish, yet to think that we are not subject to certain matters is also foolish.

The aim must be to please the present while also maintaining it in check to continue that pleasure for as long as possible. Pleasure being emotions, the in-check part being objectivity as we call it, or less informingly, rational thinking of cause and effect.

As such, defi will probably continue to please, but less ecstatically so compared to the summer months, and then at some point presumably the pleasure will be too much to care about much else with nature taking over until it rebalances to more ground level.

Without a low there can’t be a hi, and vice versa. If we look at the flat line in social media innovation for example, it is that flat line itself which is now enraging and people are trying to kick it from below and above so that it moves or maybe even throw it in the bin completely because without a high there is no low and there is no middle, there is instead conceptual nothing.

Therefore, in this unintended philosophical treaties, our suggestion is not to eradicate emotions, but to balance them so that they don’t come prematurely and instead are objectively enjoyed for longer, including in that 3AM, because without those swings there is nothing and if we manage to keep those swings at the very least just below the very extreme, then why on earth shouldn’t we party.

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Blockchain

Kraken Daily Market Report for April 12 2021

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Overview


  • Total spot trading volume at $1.74 billion, up from the 30-day average of $1.34 billion.
  • Total futures notional at $555.7 million.
  • The top five traded coins were, respectively, Bitcoin, Tether, Ethereum, Ripple, and Cardano.
  • Strong returns from Uniswap (+25%) and Flow (+11%).

April 12, 2021 
 $1.74B traded across all markets today
 Crypto, EUR, USD, JPY, CAD, GBP, CHF, AUD 
XBT 
$59918. 
↓0.3% 
$641.7M
USDT 
$0.9994 
↑0.03% 
$317.0M
ETH 
$2135.2 
↓0.9% 
$216.1M
XRP 
$1.3753 
↑1.9% 
$126.6M
ADA 
$1.2994 
↑2.6% 
$84.1M
USDC 
$0.9999 
↑0.0% 
$46.7M
DOT 
$40.310 
↓2.6% 
$39.1M
LTC 
$245.33 
↓2.9% 
$34.7M
TRX 
$0.1331 
↑8.9% 
$33.3M
FLOW 
$37.468 
↑11% 
$30.6M
UNI 
$37.402 
↑25% 
$23.6M
FIL 
$166.62 
↓7.0% 
$18.9M
XLM 
$0.5751 
↓1.0% 
$18.6M
XDG 
$0.0712 
↓3.4% 
$17.9M
XMR 
$321.10 
↓2.8% 
$17.9M
LINK 
$32.707 
↓3.9% 
$12.3M
MANA 
$1.0822 
↑1.0% 
$11.5M
BCH 
$669.88 
↓3.0% 
$11.0M
SC 
$0.0266 
↓3.5% 
$9.87M
ALGO 
$1.4637 
↓4.1% 
$9.85M
GRT 
$2.0962 
↑9.6% 
$9.61M
AAVE 
$403.67 
↑8.4% 
$9.51M
ATOM 
$22.173 
↓5.6% 
$9.42M
KSM 
$428.66 
↓2.4% 
$9.33M
EOS 
$6.4521 
↓4.5% 
$7.34M
XTZ 
$6.2194 
↓3.5% 
$6.97M
ZEC 
$218.94 
↓1.5% 
$5.36M
DASH 
$277.71 
↓3.4% 
$4.59M
STORJ 
$2.4142 
↓0.7% 
$4.51M
DAI 
$0.9994 
↓0.03% 
$4.08M
COMP 
$446.04 
↓3.0% 
$3.75M
SNX 
$19.596 
↑3.0% 
$3.13M
ICX 
$2.6855 
↑4.2% 
$3.06M
OMG 
$9.6585 
↑0.3% 
$2.8M
BAT 
$1.4119 
↓2.1% 
$2.57M
KAVA 
$6.5938 
↓5.9% 
$2.53M
OCEAN 
$1.6560 
↓3.6% 
$2.42M
QTUM 
$14.663 
↓1.9% 
$2.27M
CRV 
$3.0164 
↓3.2% 
$2.18M
ANT 
$10.697 
↓4.6% 
$1.93M
NANO 
$5.6921 
↑1.4% 
$1.91M
KNC 
$3.5034 
↓4.6% 
$1.86M
YFI 
$42840. 
↓5.2% 
$1.68M
ETC 
$19.193 
↓5.8% 
$1.44M
OXT 
$0.7723 
↓3.9% 
$1.43M
WAVES 
$15.288 
↓2.2% 
$1.35M
REP 
$47.281 
↓4.1% 
$1.27M
LSK 
$6.4095 
↓6.1% 
$1.09M
KEEP 
$0.7189 
↓4.0% 
$1.07M
EWT 
$16.354 
↓4.3% 
$768K
MLN 
$85.518 
↓4.3% 
$674K
PAXG 
$1741.0 
↓1.0% 
$663K
BAL 
$51.182 
↓1.2% 
$600K
REPV2 
$46.957 
↓4.2% 
$367K
GNO 
$172.93 
↓0.03% 
$292K
TBTC 
$60697. 
↓0.8% 
$50.2K



#####################. Trading Volume by Asset. ##########################################

Trading Volume by Asset


The figures below break down the trading volume of the largest, mid-size, and smallest assets. Cryptos are in purple, fiats are in blue. For each asset, the chart contains the daily trading volume in USD, and the percentage of the total trading volume. The percentages for fiats and cryptos are treated separately, so that they both add up to 100%.

Figure 1: Largest trading assets: trading volume (measured in USD) and its percentage of the total trading volume (April 12 2021)



Figure 2: Mid-size trading assets: (measured in USD) (April 12 2021)



Figure 3: Smallest trading assets: (measured in USD) (April 12 2021)



#####################. Spread %. ##########################################

Spread %


Spread percentage is the width of the bid/ask spread divided by the bid/ask midpoint. The values are generated by taking the median spread percentage over each minute, then the average of the medians over the day.

Figure 4: Average spread % by pair (April 12 2021)



.


#########. Returns and Volume ############################################

Returns and Volume


Figure 5: Returns of the four highest volume pairs (April 12 2021)


Figure 6: Volume of the major currencies and an average line that fits the data to a sinusoidal curve to show the daily volume highs and lows (April 12 2021)



###########. Daily Returns. #################################################

Daily Returns %


Figure 7: Returns over USD and XBT. Relative volume and return size is indicated by the size of the font. (April 12 2021)



###########. Disclaimer #################################################

The values generated in this report are from public market data distributed from Kraken WebSockets api. The total volumes and returns are calculated over the reporting day using UTC time.

Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://blog.kraken.com/post/8612/kraken-daily-market-report-for-april-12-2021/

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Blockchain

Bitcoin Prepares For its Next Move: Where is the 100 SMA, the Key BTC Level?

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Bitcoin price is consolidating above the $59,500 support zone against the US Dollar. BTC is now showing a few positive signs, but it must clear $61,200 for a fresh rally in the near term.

  • Bitcoin is holding gains above the $60,000 and $59,500 support levels.
  • The price is now trading well above the $59,500 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $59,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair is likely to start a sharp upward move once it clears the $60,800 and $61,200 levels.

Bitcoin Price is Showing Positive Signs

Bitcoin remained in a range above the $59,000 level and it is showing a few positive signs. Recently, BTC made another attempt to clear the $61,200 resistance, but it failed.

It corrected lower and retested the $59,500 support level. A low is formed near $59,432 and the price is now moving higher. It is also trading well above the $59,500 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

There was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $61,212 high to $59,432 low. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $59,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Bitcoin is now trading above $60,400, but it is facing resistance near $60,800. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $61,212 high to $59,432 low.

A successful break above the $60,800 level could open the doors for a move above $61,200. If the bulls succeed in clearing $61,200, the price could rally in the coming sessions.

Dips Limited in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to climb above $60,800 and $61,200, there could be a short-term downside correction. An initial support on the downside is near the $60,000 level.

The main support is now forming near the trend line, $59,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the bulls fail to protect the 100 hourly SMA, there could be a major decline. In this case, the price might decline towards the $58,000 level.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $59,500, followed by $59,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $60,800, $61,200 and $62,000.

Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://www.newsbtc.com/analysis/btc/bitcoin-prepares-for-next-move-61k/

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USDT, USDC, and BUSD represent 93% of stablecoin market cap

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Research from on-chain analytics provider Glassnode has revealed that the top three stablecoins represent more than 90% of the sector’s entire market cap.

Glassnode’s April 13 “Week On-chain” report found that the top three stablecoins — Tether (USDT), USD Coin (USDC), and Binance USD (BUSD) — have seen significant growth over the past six months to represent a combined capitalization of more than $60 billion, equal to 92.75% of the stablecoin market.

By contrast, six months ago the combined stablecoin capitalization for those three was less than one-third of its current levels at $19.2 billion. This time last year, stablecoins were worth just $7 billion combined.

The analysis compared the growth of stablecoins with Bitcoin’s market cap, identifying a clear correlation between the two. The report also found that USDT’s supply has continued to increase during recent weeks despite BTC trending sideways, whereas growth for USDC and BUSD has slowed.

BTC market cap vs stablecoin supply: Glassnode

The report notes historic lows for its Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) metric, which measures Bitcoin’s market cap relative to the total stablecoin supply to estimate the global “buying power” of the stablecoin sector.

When BTC prices are low, the supply of stablecoins can buy a larger portion of it to push prices up. Conversely, as prices increase the available stablecoins can purchase less which reduces the influence on prices. Glassnode concluded:

“The growth of stablecoin supplies throughout 2020-21 has held the SSR metric near historical lows suggesting a relatively high buying power of digitally native dollars. The demand for digital dollars appears to be keeping pace with demand for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies as a whole.”

Tether’s market cap has over doubled since the beginning of 2021 to currently sit at a record $45.6 billion, according to the Tether transparency report. Circle’s website reported an all-time high of $11.5 billion USDC on April 9, while Goingecko estimated BUSD’s supply to be $5.1 billion on April 13.

On April 7, Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire predicted its USDC stablecoin could soon surpass PayPal by settlement value.

Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/usdt-usdc-and-busd-represent-93-of-stablecoin-market-cap

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