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DeFi Project Spotlight: Degenerative Finance and uGas Ethereum Futures

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DeFi Project Spotlight: Degenerative Finance and uGas Ethereum Futures | Crypto Briefing


















Betting on the price of Ethereum’s gas just got a bit easier.


Key Takeaways

  • Degenerative Finance has launched an experimental design space that explores different derivative products and synthetic assets.
  • The project’s first project is uGas, synthetic gas futures for Ethereum.
  • Depending on a user’s profile, uGas can be a helpful tool to hedge and speculate on the rise or fall of gas prices on the number two network.

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uGas is the first project launched by Degenerative Finance, itself a partnership between last summer’s popular DeFi platform, YAM Finance, and UMA Protocol.

The uGas offering will be the focus of this week’s Project Spotlight feature. 

uGas offers decentralized gas futures for users within the Ethereum ecosystem. For the uninitiated, every transaction on Ethereum costs gas. Sometimes the network can be so congested that the cost to transact can make even simple operations prohibitively expensive

There have been many examples of such limiting conditions. Each example has also been used to promote alternative blockchains and speed up development for various Layer-2 solutions.

The CryptoKitties boom in 2017 is perhaps the first severe case of extremely high gas fees, but the meteoric rise of DeFi in 2020 has proven to be as notable. 

Ethereum average gas fees in 2020. Source: Etherscan
Ethereum average gas fees in 2020. Source: Etherscan

This is becoming a growing issue for the number two network and may limit the asset’s potential if not solved. Speculators are not the only demographic affected, however. Developers, users, and those looking to build companies on top of Ethereum must consider the high cost of operating. 

Naturally, Ethereum developers have been hard at work to dissolve this pain point. The launch of Ethereum 2.0’s Beacon Chain last year and the “soft” launch of Optism’s Layer-2 solution have given the community hope. 

These solutions, however, may take much longer than anticipated. 

Instead of rebuilding Ethereum’s technical components, many emerging projects attempt to solve the scaling issue through economics. Archer DAO is one example of this; instead of eliminating Ethereum’s “Dark Forest” of predatorial arbitrage bots, the project illuminates the network’s mempool and rewards those who help identify attractive arbitrage opportunities. 

More information on Archer DAO and its value proposition can be found here

This approach accepts the limits of the network and the environments they create as inevitable. From this point, they build accordingly. uGas is not dissimilar. 

Instead of solving high gas fees, they create a futures market for crypto’s hottest commodity: Ethereum gas.

This allows users, builders, and speculators to properly hedge for inevitably high gas costs. 

What Are Futures?

Readers who are already aware of futures, how they work, and what they are used for, should skip this section. A deep dive into uGas and how it works follow below. 

Futures allow holders to lock in the price of an asset for a specific moment in the future. They are also different, albeit only slightly, from options

Comparison between futures contracts and options. Source: The Balance
Comparison between futures contracts and options. Source: The Balance

There are futures markets for commodities like wheat and frozen orange juice and markets for currencies. Each futures contract comes with an expiration date, at which point the contract is settled via the physical delivery of the underlying asset or settled in cash. Futures contract holders can buy and sell contracts all the way up until the expiration date. 

Naturally, this market attracts speculators, but it can also be an important hedging tool for those interacting directly with the underlying asset. To better understand how futures work in action, it will be useful to unpack a specific example and examine the various relevant agents. 

The easiest futures market to understand is that of water futures in California. 

Despite its abysmal reality, that of betting on the scarcity of resources necessary for life, California officially opened water futures trading in December 2020. Interestingly, Michael Burry, the market savant that predicted the sub-prime mortgage crisis in 2008, also predicted the arrival of such products in 2010.

Because water is critical for just about every industry, there is a much wider range of market participants beyond speculators. 

Almond farmers in California, for instance, will likely be key players in the water futures market. That’s because almonds demand an exorbitant amount of water to grow. This fact, plus the state’s water scarcity concerns and the global popularity for California almonds, make agriculturalists a prime agent in the water futures market.

Thus, with so many almond farmers concentrated in an area with historically limited access to water, water futures offer a means of softening financial downside. 

If, for instance, a farmer suspects that the 2021 summer will be an arid season, they may buy water futures contracts that expire in June. Because water is more abundant during the cooler winter months, the cost of water is slightly cheaper. A farmer can thus “lock-in” the cost of water now so that when prices inevitably skyrocket, they can continue to pay winter prices. 

The above offers a broad definition of how one specific futures market works. Though agriculturalists are the largest party in this market, they are not alone.  

Market agents and their respective trading volumes of water futures. Source: Nasdaq
Market agents and their respective trading volumes of water futures. Source: Nasdaq

The Nasdaq Veles California Water Index futures (NQH20) are traded on the world’s largest derivatives exchange, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). They are settled financially rather than via the physical delivery of water. 

For more details about NQH20, readers are encouraged to visit CME’s explainer.

With the above example in mind, it’s not difficult to extend futures markets to other assets besides commodities. Jack Tao, the CEO of derivatives exchange Phemex, told Crypto Briefing: 

“What started as a practice centered around agricultural producers to hedge the price of their goods against unfavorable conditions, has now transformed into a vital component of financial markets.” 

He explained how futures could assist in risk transfer and price discovery for well-established markets like currencies and stocks, too. Ultimately, Tao said that: 

“Hedging or price discovery goals can be achieved in a much cheaper, faster, and efficient way through futures. It is simply much easier for a user to perform sell transactions as they do not need to possess the underlying asset first.“ 

Instead of holding physical bars of gold, bundles of euros, or buckets of water, futures allow interested parties to quickly buy and sell these commodities with ease. Futures contracts also open up leverage tools for margin trading. 

Needless to say, these tools and markets also apply to cryptocurrencies, concludes Tao. 

Instead of holding Bitcoin, CME traders can buy and sell Bitcoin futures on a fully-regulated derivatives exchange. The exchange has also announced the launch of Ethereum futures in February 2021. 

These products are only the tip of the crypto finance iceberg, however. 

Introducing Degenerative Finance

Like Nasdaq’s water futures, uGas offers futures on Ethereum gas. And for an industry rife with pure-play speculation, gas futures offer real utility for those building and working within the Ethereum network. 

uGas is the first product of an alleged suite of crypto products created and managed by a partnership between YAM Finance and UMA Protocol. 

UMA is one of the first crypto protocols to allow users to mint synthetic assets backed by any mixture of other crypto assets. Examples of their work include the launch of a so-called “yield dollar” and a synthetic asset that lets holders short the price of Compound’s COMP token. 

The partnership between YAM and UMA is called Degenerative Finance. It is essentially an experimental design space for novel derivatives products. Documentation on the tie-up reads

“We hope to fill a market need that allows for new forms of speculation and hedging in DeFi that can cater to individual and institutional investors alike.”

uGas is the first example of the partnership’s ambitions. UMA first created it before YAM took over the project’s maintenance. The latter will oversee the uGas interface, branding, and manage risk bound in the uGas product. 

Unpacking uGas, Ethereum’s Gas Futures

uGas are synthetic tokens backed by Ethereum. One uGas token represents one million gas. “Gas” in this context does not refer to an actual Gas token, though many tokens on the market take the same name. The term is simply a moniker.

There are currently only three varieties of uGAS tokens: uGas-JAN21, uGas-FEB21, and uGAS-MAR21.

Each variety comes with a corresponding month and year, not unlike traditional futures. These indicators let holders know when the token will expire and settle. They are settled in ETH on the first day of the month following expiration. A uGAS-JAN21 token will thus settle on Feb. 1, 2021. 

The amount settled is determined by the median gas price for all Ethereum transactions 30 days before expiry. 

If the median gas price for the 30 days before the Feb. 1 settlement is 80 Gwei, then 1 uGAS-JAN21 token will settle at 0.08 ETH, roughly $97 at today’s price. Users can buy uGas tokens on Uniswap or mint the token directly on the uGas platform. 

Minters must also be aware of the protocol’s liquidation level, or Global Collateralization Ratio (GCR). Like many DeFi protocols, uGas assets must be overcollateralized. What’s more, the GCR can change and follows this equation: Total collateral per contract divided by the total number of outstanding synthetic tokens. 

This is why the GCR is different for each of the three varieties of uGas tokens. At the time of press, the lowest ratio is for the uGAS-MAR21 token. It is 2.2917.

If the collateral price falls below this level and isn’t quickly replenished, a user’s position will be liquidated. 

Due to the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies, keeping this in mind is critical for any risk management strategy.

How to Use uGas

The uGas token allows users to short and long the price of Ethereum’s gas. This is attractive for traders but also yield farmers and ETH miners too. Like water futures, uGas offers a new tool to help anyone interacting with Ethereum to hedge their position or business. 

To understand how one can hedge their position using uGas, it’s useful to examine how an active DeFi user might leverage this token. 

At the time of press, one uGas-FEB21 token costs ~0.057 ETH. At the same time, this past weekend has seen various popular DeFi tokens rise double-digit percentages. 

Gas prices remain low for now, but once the buying spree ends, many new entrants will likely want to put their DeFi tokens to use via yield farming or a lending protocol like Aave. This means that gas prices will likely rise. 

Price chart for uGas-FEB21. Source: uGas
Price chart for uGas-FEB21. Source: uGas

One way to bet on this thesis and lock in current gas prices would be to determine roughly how much gas one typically uses in a month to manage a portfolio. 

For the sake of simplicity, this trader spends .5 ETH per month on gas. 

The trader also assumes that the price of gas is going to increase. Thus to cover her gas costs for February 2021 and bet on gas prices increasing, she will need to purchase ~8.77 uGas-FEB21 tokens. 

As she trades and interacts within the DeFi space, an unexpected airdrop and a hugely popular yield farm also emerge, skyrocketing gas prices. This results in the trader’s gas fees for the month to also increase. Fortunately, she continues to hold her ~8.77 uGas-FEB21 tokens. And because the median gas price for the past 30 days has increased, so too has the value of her uGas tokens. 

Upon expiry, the median gas price settles at .1 ETH per token, netting her a profit of .877 ETH. 

For more elaborate examples of how one can use the uGas token, it is recommended to visit the Degenerative Finance documents page.

Risks, Competitors, and Pitfalls of uGas

The risks of using uGas boil down to its experimental nature. Warnings of this nature are found throughout the uGas platform and on Uniswap when purchasing this token.

One must also keep in mind the issues that brought YAM Finance to a grinding halt in August 2020. 

Though Open Zeppelin, a household name in the crypto auditing community, has verified the relevant smart contracts, the Degenerative team warns:

“The application of this contract on a volatile price identifier such as Ethereum gas prices is novel and unpredictable in a live market.“

In terms of competition, Oiler Network is perhaps the only similar offering at the time of press. Oiler Network isn’t futures either, but they let users bet on different changes to Ethereum via options. 

Source: Oiler Network
Source: Oiler Network

The final consideration is that of scaling solutions. Though unlikely, mass migration to any Layer-2 solution would render gas-specific economic protocols obsolete. 

But based on how long it took for Ethereum’s Beacon Chain to launch, these solutions don’t pose any major risks for uGas in the near-term.

Final Thoughts on uGas

Futures contracts are a critical part of all financial markets, and bringing them to the world of crypto is a no-brainer. 

Though many forms already exist, uGas offers a necessary tool for safely interacting with Ethereum. Like the Almond farmers of California, DeFi’s yield farmers also need ways to hedge against exorbitantly priced commodities.

uGas is also a relatively advanced product and demands a clear understanding of gas prices and how they may affect a portfolio’s management. Thus, a user that doesn’t spend much in gas fees in a given month may not find real use with this product (outside of pure speculative interests). 

For more active users that leverage larger sums of money, the risk lies in the underlying code. Due to uGas’ novelty, the underlying smart contract could break down one way or another. This is a risk for any DeFi protocol. 

If anything, uGas reminds users of the potential for experimentation in the DeFi space.

Though the protocol may be vulnerable to code malfunctions, it earns points for creativity. Capitalizing on volatile gas prices is a hugely untapped market. 

Whether uGas emerges as the dominant custodian of this market remains to be seen.

Disclosure: At the time of press, this author held ETH. Phemex is a sponsor of Crypto Briefing.

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Source: https://cryptobriefing.com/defi-project-spotlight-degenerative-finance-ugas-futures/

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Ethereum Classic (ETC) Price Poised for a Surge to $100

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  • Ethereum Classic (ETC) looks poised for a surge
  • Technical indicators show that ETC could go up to $105
  • Also, one reason that could help the altcoin surge is its upcoming ECIP-1103 upgrade

Ethereum Classic price poised for a surge. The altcoin has been outperforming the market recently but can it bounce back over the $100 resistance level?

The crypto market has been experiencing a rough ride. Many altcoins have sunk to less than half their value in less than a month. However, Ethereum Classic managed to rebound faster than most of the market. In addition, the altcoin has managed to hold its ground against the bearish market.

In fact, looking at Ethereum Classic price charts, the asset looks poised for a surge.

Ethereum Classic price charts

At the time of writing, ETC is trading at $55.01, down 67% from its May 8 all-time high of $167.09. However, looking at the crypto’s Fibonacci levels, ETC could go up to ranging from $74 to $105. The price rise depends on whether ETC manages to breach the $60 resistance level. Looking at RSI, ETC is just above 40 and is thus in the safe zone.

On the other hand, ETC price could fall to $9 if the market turns on the crypto.

Possible reasons why ETC has been outperforming the market could be the crypto’s recently announced new upgrade scheduled for July 21. The upgrade will implement ECIP-1103 and include ETH’s Berlin Upgrade.

Also, perhaps investors deem the altcoin a good asset to diversify into and hedge against Bitcoin and ETH volatility. ETC has a limited coin supply of 210 million. In comparison, sister blockchain ETH has an unlimited supply. As such, ETC’s token value is likely to appreciate once the blockchain reaches its maximum token supply.

In addition, the underway ETH 2.0 upgrade will help further differentiate ETC from its more popular sister ETH. In this case, ETC could prove to be a good way for investors to diversify their portfolios.

Finally, ETC holds sentimental value for those who wish to see what ETH would look like if the platform followed its initial roadmap.

Source: https://coinquora.com/ethereum-classic-etc-price-poised-for-a-surge-to-100/

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Shiba Inu Drops Hard Below Critical Support Level

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  • Shiba Inu’s price hit below its critical support level of $0.000007.
  • Its price is now is going for new lows of $0.00000630.
  • SHIB needs to reach above $0.000007 to change the momentum and go up.

Notwithstanding a recent drop in the crypto market, Shiba Inu (SHIB), the meme-based coin named as “Dogecoin killer” has not disappeared. However, there are still some struggles that SHIB has to face.

As of writing, SHIB’s price hit below its critical support level of $0.000007 and is headed for new lows of $0.00000630. Meanwhile, If Shiba Inu breaks through the $0.00000630 support level, it will go to the $0.00000440 support level.

Now, to acquire momentum and make it go up, SHIB needs to reach above $0.000007. Otherwise, if SHIB is able to break through this resistance, it will go on to the next level of resistance at $0.000008.

Numerous individuals think that the SHIB’s rise recently is merely because of the community. In any case, there are different conditions that help the crypto gain investor’s interest. Respectively, SHIB announced its listing in Binance last month.

Furthermore, Shiba Inu will establish its own exchange soon called ShibaSwap. With this,   another decentralized exchange (DEX) like UniSwap or PancakeSwap will be available in the market. Of note, the platform has been operational for a while, but it is still undergoing some tests for security and transparency development.

On another note, many experts and analysts have shared their predictions for SHIB. Market experts even outlined a strategy for Shiba Inu to hit the $1. To reach $1, SHIB needs to increase around12,000,000%.

Consequently, the coin has increased by around 2,000,000 percent monthly since January. Moreover, according to Market Realist, if SHIB  continues to expand at this rate, it might touch $1 by the end of 2021.

Lastly, based on Wallet Investor, Shiba Inu’s price is expected to hit $0.000030 by June 2021 and could rise to $0.000048 at the end of the year.

Source: https://coinquora.com/shiba-inu-drops-hard-below-critical-support-level/

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US Financial Giants Tread Carefully Into Crypto Trend

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  • A large number of financial players continue to move into the crypto space.
  • Its volatility may be holding it back from reaching its potential value.
  • The future of crypto seems uncertain as both community interest and risks stay high.

Even as the pressure around entering the crypto space has cooled down, a large number of big players continue to move in. Many US finance giants are treading forward, cautiously.

Jamie Dimon, Chief Executive at JPMorgan and Chase, said recently, “My own personal advice to people: Stay away from it.” He added, however, “That does not mean the clients don’t want it.” The biggest US bank in terms of assets, JPMorgan is currently assessing how it can help its clients transact in crypto.

Early 2021 saw the financial industry brimming with excitement and possibilities for cryptocurrency. Part of this was due to Bitcoin’s unprecedented jump in value from late 2020 to early 2021. Some of the most recent players attracted by crypto’s novelty are:

  • Online trading firm Interactive Brokers, who promised that it will establish online trading of crypto on its platform by summer end. At this moment, it doesn’t offer crypto payments. Still, it gives its clients the option to invest in assets that include crypto or Bitcoin futures.
  • ForUsAll, a platform managing retirement accounts for small businesses, has also stepped in. It announced on Monday its decision to work with Coinbase for clients to invest up to 5 percent of their balances in crypto.
  • Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, have both recently targeted crypto enthusiasts within their clients. The former stated that it would allow its richer clients to invest in Bitcoin funds, while the latter opened its doors to crypto trading with a newly assigned team.
  • Brokerage firm Fidelity Investments also filed papers with US securities regulators for a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). Previously, it created a digital assets division in 2018 to trade crypto for hedge funds.

Despite the steady, yet cautious increase in digital asset investors, concerns remain high. This has also to do with high volatility in the market, especially reflected in Bitcoin’s most recent bull run. BTC went from $63,000 in mid-April 2021 to half its value, $34,000 in June.

Ian Gendler from Value Line, a research firm, sheds light on the influx of investors saying, “Speculators and those suffering from FOMO (the ‘fear of missing out’) will surely continue to flock to cryptos in the hopes of achieving huge returns.”

He, however, directs clients to avoid crypto investments due to high risks and the lack of tangible assets. He also noted, Bitcoin and other digital money is not backed by governments.

Cryptocurrencies are only worth what the next investor is willing to pay.

It seems likely that crypto’s lack of a steady trend may be holding the currency back and blocking possible investments. Be that as it may, but investor interest in the digital asset is far from going down. We’ll just have to keep waiting to see what the future holds for cryptocurrency.

Source: https://coinquora.com/us-financial-giants-tread-carefully-into-crypto-trend/

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