Bitcoin bulls are still struggling to push the price to a new high but the positive sign is that BTC has not corrected sharply in the past few days and the top-ranked cryptocurrency has held a market capitalization above $1 trillion since March 26.
While many are wondering what Bitcoin’s next move will be, a Bloomberg Intelligence report by senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone projects that BTC will rally to $80,000 in the second quarter rather than slump to the $40,000 level.
Bitcoin’s consolidation has not held back altcoins, which have continued their march higher over the past few weeks. Cointelegraph recently reported that the number of cryptocurrencies commanding a $1 billion market capitalization has doubled in the past two months to hit the 100 mark.
Decentralized finance assets have also rallied significantly as the total value locked in DeFi reached $100 billion on April 6 according to data from DeFi Llama. At the start of the year, the TVL metric was only $20.74 billion, which shows there has been a massive amount of growth in the space.
Keeping the focus on altcoins, let’s analyze the fundamentals of three tokens that have done well in the past few days.
Celer Network’s CELR token was featured on Cointelegraph on March 16 when the price was at $0.059. Since then the token has continued its uptrend and hit a new all-time high at $0.103 on March 28, a further 74% rally in a short time.
The DeFi space has been in focus in the past few months for its mouth-watering yields. However, surging Ethereum network fees have limited these benefits to larger players and retail-sized investors with less capital have missed out on many great investing opportunities.
To address this problem, Celer announced the launch of Layer2.finance on Feb. 18, which claims to tremendously cut the cost of accessing DeFi. According to the team, the project is in its final stages of an audit and is expected to launch soon. If this succeeds, Celer could address one of the main problems that may is limiting the rise of DeFi.
CELR has been in a correction since topping out at $0.103 on March 28. The pullback has reached the 20-day exponential moving average ($0.071) but the bulls are struggling to defend this level.
This suggests that the bullish sentiment has weakened and traders are not rushing to buy the dips. The flattening 20-day EMA and the relative strength index (RSI) below 54 points to a possible range-bound action in the short term.
If the buyers defend the $0.065 support, the CELR/USDT pair could attempt to resume the up-move but it is likely to meet stiff resistance at $0.087 and then $0.095. However, if the bulls propel the price above $0.103, the pair could rally to $0.122 and then $0.155.
On the downside, if the bears sink the price below $0.065, the decline could extend to the next support at the 50-day simple moving average ($0.047). Such a deep correction usually delays the start of the next leg of the uptrend.
Cartesi (CTSI) aims to take the traditional tools used by the developer community and merge them with decentralized tools. This could attract several developers to decentralization who are currently held back due to the different programming languages being used for blockchain. Additionally, the team believes that their technology could increase the computational power of certain applications by 10,000%.
In the past couple of months, Cartesi has announced partnerships with Injective, Travala, IOTA, Polygon, Elrond, and Avalanche. Over the next few weeks and months, the crypto community will keenly watch Cartesi’s layer-2 technology to see if it can enhance computational throughput and implement processing-intensive applications without compromising security.
CTSI has been in an uptrend for the past few weeks. It rallied from an intraday low at $0.077 on Feb. 8 to an intraday high at $0.896 on April 4, a 1,063% rally within two months.
However, after the sharp rally of the past few days, the CTSI/USDT pair is currently witnessing profit-booking. The bears have pulled the price below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.583 and the next support is the 50% retracement level at $0.486.
If the pair rebounds off the $0.486 level, it will be a bullish sign as it will show that the previous resistance of $0.466 has flipped to support. The bulls will then try to resume the uptrend but are likely to be met with heavy selling near $0.65.
If the price turns down from this resistance, the pair could remain range-bound for a few days. A breakout and close above $0.65 will be the first indication that the bulls are attempting a comeback. On the other hand, a break below $0.466 could signal a possible change in trend.
Compound (COMP) continues to grow stronger despite setbacks in the DeFi sector. On Feb. 21, the protocol reported a total supply of $10 billion, which has since then surged to over $15 billion on April 3. The protocol continues to lead the DeFi rankings with a total value locked at $9.53 billion.
On March 1, Compound announced the launch of Gateway, a Substrate blockchain, which the team believes will eventually evolve into the backbone of a global interest rate market that is capable of supporting any asset.
on March 26 Compound Labs founder and CEO Robert Leshner tweeted that he had given a DeFi presentation to Federal Reserve staff. This is a major first step as it shows that the leading central bank in the world is interested to know m about DeFi.
On April 3, Compound received 629,000 Ether ($1.3 billion) from an anonymous whale and many suspect that this is proof that major institutions are jumping into DeFi.
COMP rallied from an intraday low at $330 on March 25 to an intraday high at $562.85 on April 4, a 70% rally within a short time. The bears are aggressively defending the overhead resistance zone between $558 and $573.
The COMP/USDT pair is stuck inside a large range between $320 and $558. The current pullback could find support at the 20-day EMA ($444), which has started to turn up. If the pair rebounds off this level, the bulls will once again try to push the price above the overhead zone.
If the bulls succeed, the pair could start the next leg of the uptrend which has a target objective at $796.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price slips below the moving averages, it could extend the decline and reach the support at $320. A break below this critical support could intensify selling and pull the price down to $200.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.
AgeUSD to Launch as First Stablecoin on Cardano Network
Multinational blockchain technology company Emurgo initially announced the AgeUSD stablecoin in January 2021. The firm has since announced a partnership between the Ergo Foundation, Emurgo, and Charles Hoskinson’s Input-Output Global, the parent company of IOHK.
The AgeUSD stablecoin will be available on Cardano as soon as smart contract capabilities are launched on the blockchain, it revealed.
Do We Need Another Stablecoin?
Emurgo is aiming to prevent events like MakerDAO’s Black Thursday which emerged through vulnerabilities in its Dai collateralization mechanism. A mass liquidation of the vast majority of Maker vaults resulted in around $4 million in Dai being under-collateralized at the time in March 2020.
AgeUSD’s so-called “Staticoin” protocol-inspired design does not rely on collateralized debt positions (CDPs).
“Thanks to its design, the scenario that happened on Black Thursday is not possible for the AgeUSD protocol. Without CDPs, we do not have liquidation events nor the requirement for users to perform transactions to ensure that the liquidations actually work properly,”
The stablecoin runs on the Ergo blockchain aiming to automate as much as possible within the mathematics of the protocol itself. Reserve providers pay Ergo’s native currency (ERG) to mint reserve coins which represent the underlying collateral. Users of the stablecoin can also deposit ERG into the reserves in order to mint AgeUSD, it explained. This is only allowed by the protocol if there are enough reserves above its reserve ratio. Banks use a similar method to loan out funds.
The Cardano partnership will also enable its native token, ADA, to be used as collateral to mint reserves. However, the potential downside is that the stablecoin is only backed by these two assets whereas Dai is backed by multiple cryptocurrencies.
AgeUSD will launch on Cardano when it rolls out the Alonzo update that ushers in Plutus powered smart contracts. This is expected in the latter half of this year according to the roadmap.
Cardano ADA Price Update
As the long-awaited update nears, ADA prices have been cranking to new highs, the most recent ATH being $1.55 on April 14. At the time of writing, ADA was trading up 2% on the day at $1.45 according to Coingecko.
It is the sixth largest cryptocurrency by market cap which currently stands at $46 billion and there are 32 billion tokens in circulation. The token was briefly flipped by Dogecoin but has regained its position in the charts, just below Tether.
How sustainable is YFI’s current price run?
The past week saw a lot of growth across the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin and Ethereum seeing their values pushed towards new all-time highs. However, it is safe to say that the digital assets market is no longer just about the top two cryptos in the market, with DeFi coins such as YFI registering significant gains on the charts.
Over the past 6 months, YFI has seen its price hike by over 520 percent. Now, while this looks extremely promising for the alt, the truth seems to be in yet another shade of grey. The price hike from over $11k in November 2020 to its press time valuation of $48,415 has been less than straightforward.
Akin to many other altcoins in the market, YFI too has endured extended periods of the price going back and forth. However, given the current market scenario, how sustainable is YFI’s current price or is history going to repeat itself in the form of yet another short-term price correction?
Interestingly, data provided by Santiment highlighted that despite the bullish nature of the YFI market, there may be a bit of FUD finally creeping into the market as the price continues to remain close to the $50k-level. In such a scenario, what YFI really needs is a strong level of support for the price if bearishness is to soon hit the market.
Taking a look at a few of the key fundamentals can provide more clarity on where the price is likely to head in the coming weeks. According to data provided by Santiment, YFI’s supply on exchanges has been stagnant for a while and hasn’t been increasing. While fewer coins in exchanges are normally a good sign of hodling, in the case of YFI, if one were to take a look at past precedents, the price decline began as soon as the supply hit a stalemate.
Additionally, the analytics platform also pointed out that the current price rally began with low on-chain activity for the coin. However, over the past few weeks, a trend reversal has emerged, with on-chain activity noting a surge and the price continuing to be inversely relational to it.
With the price inching closer to its ATH, there is always the question of price discovery. YFI seemed to be lacking in this regard, at press time. The coin’s MVRV, as per Santiment’s data, placed it in the danger zone and prime for a new trend reversal, one that can induce a short-term price correction.
In the coming days, if the price correction does set in, YFI’s $44k-price level may end up being a key support level for the coin. However, if this level is flipped to resistance in the coming weeks, a lot of the upward momentum and price surge YFI saw over the past few months might be undone.
This, once again, will result in YFI’s price continuing its current trend by which the coin will be subject to strong ‘push and pulls’ at regular intervals.
EOS, Synthetix, Maker Price Analysis: 16 April
EOS can be expected to find strong support around the $6.8-zone. If Bitcoin stabilizes above the $60.5k-area, altcoins could have a chance of recovery in the coming days. Otherwise, it would be further selling pressure across the market. Synthetix and Maker posted gains over the past few days, but were likely to retrace a significant portion of their value.
EOS was trading within a rising channel, and the past few hours saw the price test the upper boundary of the channel before falling lower.
The mid-point of the channel was ceded to bearish pressure. A region of demand lay just above the $6.8-mark. The confluence with the channel’s lower boundaries could serve as strong support for EOS.
The RSI was back at neutral 50 and would drop lower to signal a shift in momentum to bearish over the next day or two, especially if EOS closes a session under $6.8. This could see EOS fall further to find support at $5.6.
Synthetix ascended past the $21. 4-level of resistance, but its retest of the same level on the back of strong selling forced the price to drop to $20.7 and could drop further. On the 4-hour, the Supertrend indicator continued to give a buy signal that would only be flipped to sell on a session close under the $19.5-level.
The 20 EMA and 50 EMA (white and yellow respectively) highlighted the bullish momentum behind SNX in recent days, with the price not sinking under these moving averages yet.
The OBV was on an uptrend and suggested that the recent spate of selling was reactionary fear, rather than sustained selling.
Two sets of Fibonacci retracement levels were plotted to highlight some levels of importance for MKR. $2,400 is a level that MKR had been stuck under from late February till the past week. The surge past this level in recent days has been rapid, and the price did not stop at many areas to mark it as support or resistance.
As such, the move back down could be almost as rapid, and some of the Fib levels laid out possible areas of support for MKR.
The MACD was correcting lower after the MACD line rose high above the Signal line to indicate overbought market conditions.
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