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Bitcoin whales on the defense, this is how BTC could climb to new highs

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After spending weeks moving sideways, BTC price seemed to be close to a new high. However, the cryptocurrency seems to be stuck just below the resistance level at $60,000.

Analyst Ben Lilly has published a report in which he determines what has caused the stalemate and how BTC has a “bullish combination” for the following weeks. The analyst has registered large sell walls near current levels. This, he claims, is part of a whale of a strategy to “attract” liquidity.

They do this by stalling prices near a breakout. Then after releasing the valve a bit, they can liquidate those built up as well as the newly added positions.

The key to an exit of the stock from the current price is the “unlocking” of a large amount of BTC from Grayscale’s fund could give bullish momentum. These unlockings will begin to occur in late April, the analyst says:

To me this continued sideways scenario makes the most sense given how quickly we have climbed since last week… But when it comes to bitcoin, if those walls get lifted and the fake out/liquidity grab maneuver does not take place… then we’re off to the races.

BTC is trading at $58,858 with 1.2% gains in the 24-hour chart and 5.6% in the weekly chart.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
BTC with small gains during the last day. Source: BTCUSD Tradingview

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust’ conversion to an ETF

Looking at the bigger picture, Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) has lost its monopoly as the only investment vehicle for institutions seeking exposure to Bitcoin. The emergence of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in Canada has absorbed a lot of institutional interest. Investment firm Grayscale acknowledges as much.

In a recent publication, the firm has revealed that they are “committed” to converting GBTC into an ETF. Having tried unsuccessfully in 2016 through 2017, Grayscale believes the industry has matured. The investment firm stated:

Today, we remain committed to converting GBTC into an ETF although the timing will be driven by the regulatory environment. When GBTC converts to an ETF, shareholders of publicly-traded GBTC shares will not need to take action and the management fee will be reduced accordingly.

As such, they do not offer a specific date for the possible approval or conversion of its GBTC. The firm says it is “focused” on the long term. A few hours after this announcement, GBTC’s premium increased by 5% after trading negative for the entire month of March.

Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin-whales-on-the-defense-this-is-how-btc-could-climb-to-new-highs/

Blockchain

Bitcoin: Should retail traders expect a price hike?

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Bitcoin’s large wallet inflows signal a bullish trend reversal in the following week. The price is currently around the $60000 level, however, with the increasing trade volume across spot exchanges, an increase of nearly 15% in less than 24 hours, there may be a bullish trend emerging in the asset’s price.

Why this metric signals the upcoming Bitcoin price trend reversal

Bitcoin Large Wallet Inflows || Source: Twitter

Based on the above chart, Bitcoin is in price discovery mode above $60045. There is strong support at the $57000 level and this is also a psychologically important level for Bitcoin. The current bullish price trend is further supported by the demand across exchanges. Buying bitcoin and selling June futures currently offers a 30% annualized USD denominated “risk free” return. A 3-month US Treasury bill yields 0.02%, which is 1500x less.

When Bitcoin’s price ended March with a 30% increase, it marked the sixth consecutive month of double-digit positive returns for traders. Historically the second quarter is considered a positive yielding quarter for Bitcoin. Bitcoin returns over 250% in the second quarter, based on the price chart. The current price is following this trend and the recovery from the drop below $60000, which was partly attributed to HODLers and partly to large wallet inflows is signaling a bullish trend. There is a spike in funding rates as the price nears the ATH. This is another sign of the bullish price action in Bitcoin.

Why this metric signals the upcoming Bitcoin price trend reversal

Bitcoin’s perpetual swap funding rates || Source: Skew

Based on the above chart, the increase in perpetual swap funding has corresponded with previous ATH as well. The current spike in perpetual swap funding can be considered to be an indicator of the next ATH and the bullish price trend. Traders can expect price discovery beyond the new ATH if the momentum and volatility increase consistently over the week.

Another metric that signals this trend is Bitcoin’s miner revenue. It just reached an ATH of $6.1 Million. The previous ATH was hit less than 10 days ago, on April 1, 2021. For retail traders, looking forward to long Bitcoin it is becoming cheaper to hedge the risk. The cost of hedging against a price drop using options is dropping. A large basis spread has opened up between CME Bitcoin Futures and the offshore market. This means compared to traders on other platforms, traders on CME don’t see much upside in Bitcoin, going forward. These traders are institutions, however, retail traders are relatively more bullish on Bitcoin.


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Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://ambcrypto.com/bitcoin-should-retail-traders-expect-a-price-hike

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Cardano, Bitcoin SV, Compound Price Analysis: 11 April

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Cardano saw a trend of falling trade volume that showed a market possibly in a phase of distribution. However, in this bull market, another leg upward can not be discounted. Bitcoin SV formed a bearish divergence and Compound saw demand rise at the $440 area.

Source: CoinStats

At the time of writing Bitcoin was trading at $59,656 with a marginal drop of over 1.5 percent in the past day’s time.

Cardano [ADA]

Cardano, Bitcoin SV, Compound Price Analysis: 11 April

Source: ADA/USDT on TradingView

Cardano showed a lack of movement in price on the charts over the past few weeks. The range from $1 to $1.47 has its 50% mark at $1.21, and that is a strong level of resistance for the price. ADA has bounced between the $1.17 and $1.21 levels, and buyers and sellers are in equilibrium, according to the OBV.

There is an upper and lower boundary on the OBV that needs to be broken to confirm a move above $1.34, or below $1, in the weeks to come. However, this will take time to develop, and the $1.2-$1.3 area is likely to be a supply till the OBV starts ticking higher to show increased demand.

Bitcoin SV [BSV]

Cardano, Bitcoin SV, Compound Price Analysis: 11 April

Source: BSV/USDT on TradingView

Bitcoin SV showed a bearish divergence between price and momentum. This was not an immediate sell signal, but it showed an overextended move and a pullback to the $260 area can be seen. The Stochastic RSI was also in the overbought area.

While individually neither indicator can be taken to show a sell signal, taken together and with the fact that trading volume is trending lower even as price reaches higher, the conclusion can only be that BSV is due for a pullback.

Compound [COMP]

Cardano, Bitcoin SV, Compound Price Analysis: 11 April

Source: COMP/USDT on TradingView

COMP formed a descending triangle pattern in the past month and broke out strongly to climb to the peak of the pattern at $520. COMP was able to touch $550 before selling pressure forced it to trade at $451 at the time of writing.

In the past few days, COMP has formed equal lows at $443 even as the Awesome Oscillator began to move back toward the zero line. This showed that bearish momentum was slowing down. The Chaikin Money Flow also climbed back above the +0.05 mark to indicate capital flow into the market was on the rise, a sign of demand for COMP.


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Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://ambcrypto.com/cardano-bitcoin-sv-compound-price-analysis-11-april

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Where are these altcoins headed ETH, DOT, ADA, UNI?

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Based on price action in March and the first 10 days of April, a trend has emerged on the price charts of ETH, DOT, ADA, UNI. Among others, these altcoins have witnessed a fair share of price rallies and consolidation over the past month. In the case of ETH, after outperforming Bitcoin consistently throughout March, by +36%, ETH’s price failed to cross the psychologically important price level of $2000.

After Feb 2021, the price crossed $2000 in April, and this was critical to ETH’s price rally. Leading alts to a bullish week, ETH hit a new ATH of $2197 earlier on April 10, 2021, with over 12% dominance. The rally is clearly in price discovery mode and sentiment continues to remain bullish. The relationship between ETH’s volume and volatility and its impact on price becomes clear from the following chart.

Where are these altcoins headed ETH, DOT,ADA, UNI

ETH volatility vs trade volume || Source: Kraken Report

Based on the above chart, the volatility has a direct correlation with the trade volume and the price of ETH. The volatility is currently at the 2020 average level, and the trade volume is above that level. In the case of DOT, the first week of April was bullish when compared to March, and the prices remained largely below the $45 level in March.

With the launch of Parachain auctions and crowd loans, DOT’s price climbed to the $45 level. For DOT, the 1-month return was nearly 10%, 3-month at 300%, and the annualized trade volume has hit 95%. DOT’s current price level and the trade volume signal that DOT may remain largely rangebound for the following weeks.

ADA’s price rally could not be sustained, the correction in March 2021 led to a price drop of over 10%. ADA’s volatility and trade volume share a similar relationship with Ethereum, and it has an impact on the asset’s price in the short and long term. After over three rounds of alt rallies in the current market cycle, ADA may have slowed down, to consolidate before the price climbs higher.

Where are these altcoins headed ETH, DOT,ADA, UNI

ADA Volatility vs Trade Volume || Source: Kraken Report

UNI with a market capitalization above $14 billion ranks in the top crypto assets, Uniswap V3, and the upcoming mainnet launch were key events that had an impact on UNI’s price. UNI ranks as the fourth largest DeFi app with a high TVL. UNI is likely to rally now, with steadily increasing trade volume. Among top DeFi tokens that made a comeback after ETH’s price crossed $2000 earlier this month, UNI made an impact by hitting $32, which is close to its ATH of $36 from March 2021, based on data from CoinMarketCap. The current on-chain metrics and UNI’s trade volume signals a bearish trend in the asset’s price.


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Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://ambcrypto.com/where-are-these-altcoins-headed-eth-dotada-uni

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