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Bitcoin Miners Aren’t Responsible for Recent Price Dips, Data Shows

Republished by Plato

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“Miners are selling” is a popular trope used to explain bitcoin’s occasional downward price action. But on-chain data doesn’t support this narrative, according to analysts and mining pools themselves.

After bitcoin’s correction earlier this week to the tune of nearly 30%, miners were a popular scapegoat. But miners have been extremely consistent in their selling habits for months, according to network data collected by Glassnode and analyzed by CoinDesk.

For the past six months, weekly bitcoin flows from mining wallets to exchanges have been steady despite the cryptocurrency’s more than 330% gains over the same period. The only anomalous activity seen among mining wallets happened well before bitcoin’s correction. 

Since July 2020, miners have sent an average of 2,100 coins per week to exchanges, per CoinDesk Research. Miners are currently on track to finish another extremely average week with only 1,200 coins transferred so far from their wallets for cryptocurrency exchanges.

Total bitcoin transfers from mining wallets to exchange addresses.
Source: Glassnode, CoinDesk Research

Confirming this observation, Coin Metrics senior analyst Karim Helmy told CoinDesk there isn’t any on-chain data supporting increased miner selling.

“BTC-denominated gross inflows and outflows out of mining wallets have both remained stable, as have net flows,” Helmy said in a direct message.

The timing is off

An unusually large reduction in mining wallet supply, however, did occur over a recent four-day period from Dec. 26 to 30. During this period, the aggregate balance of mining wallets dropped by 21,000 BTC, a 1% decrease. 

But instead of possibly causing a correction, these transfers happened while bitcoin was climbing from $26,000 to $29,000. Over the next nine days, moreover, bitcoin’s price gained another 43% before temporarily topping out just below $42,000 and falling nearly 30% into Monday morning.

These coins don’t appear to have ever been sent to exchanges, per Glassnode data. Over the four-day period, exchange addresses received a total of less than 2,400 coins from mining wallets, an amount far less than the 21,000 withdrawn from mining wallets.

Total BTC balance of bitcoin miner addresses
Source: Glassnode, Coin Metrics, CoinDesk Research

Even if every coin sent by miners exchanges were instantly sold at market, however, their order would represent a tiny percentage of daily trading volume. 

Miners sent 1,890 BTC to exchanges on Dec. 26, 2020, worth roughly $48 million at the time and the largest single-day transfer in the past year. That same day, Binance – currently the largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume – reported over 148,000 BTC in volume on its BTC/USDT pair, the exchange’s largest bitcoin market. 

Assuming miners sold all their coins on one market at one exchange, they would represent 1.3% of its daily volume. 

Pools are stacking, not selling.

Leading mining pools are in fact increasing their bitcoin holdings, not liquidating them, with the balances belonging to miners at F2Pool and Lubian – the two largest mining pools by their individual holdings – steadily increasing for the past eight months, per Glassnode. 

“I’m not sure what addresses they’re watching,” said Poolin CEO Kevin Pan, calling anything showing a significant increase in miner selling “maybe fake data.” 

Read more: Bitcoin Plummets as Miners Sell Inventory, Spot Markets Panic

Even though Slush Pool doesn’t closely track what their miners do with their bitcoin payouts, engineer and technical writer Daniel Frumkin told CoinDesk, “We know that many of our miners are long BTC and only sell the portion of their revenue that’s needed to cover costs and manage risk.”

Thus, when the price drastically increases, Frumkin explains, miners are able to and in fact do sell fewer bitcoins, not more since the price appreciation boosts their profit margins per coin mined. 

So, who is selling?

More than likely, recent price dips are primarily caused by U.S. investors realizing some profits.

Read more: Guggenheim CIO Says Bitcoin ‘Should Be Worth’ $400,000

For example, Guggenheim CIO Scott Minerd took to Twitter Sunday saying it’s “time to take some money off the table,” referring to bitcoin, after telling CNBC a month ago that bitcoin “should be worth” $400,000. Significant selling activity on Coinbase over the weekend and Monday also signaled profit taking from U.S. investors. 

Regardless of what catalyzed it though, bitcoin’s latest correction wasn’t from miners selling their bitcoins. In fact, they’re accumulating more. 

Disclosure

Source: https://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-miners-selling-myth-price-drop

Blockchain

This Bitcoin HODLer Metric Has Just Flipped Green For The First Time In 8 Months – Here’s What This Means

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This Bitcoin HODLer Metric Has Just Flipped Green For The First Time In 8 Months - Here's What This Means

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The long wait is over, or so it appears as Bitcoin holders prepare to set foot into a green zone after seven months of red hot drought.

The earliest signs of a bullish rebound for Bitcoin were sighted on Glassnode’s on-chain metrics this week. Bitcoin users joyfully watched as the index flipped an unprofitable red-run that had gripped hodlers of the apex crypto-currency since mid-November.

Popular crypto expert, Will Clemente noted this latest bitcoin development as a sequel to last month’s net holders position outlook which showed a large sales of Bitcoin coming from the camp of inpatient short-term holders.

Image

What Does This Imply?

The biggest take from this new index is that patient bitcoin holders may now finally see positive returns on their long-term investments.

It also may show that the market has fully corrected holding positions as was seen last month, where Bitcoin’s dip below the $35,000 resistance frightened many new entrants, including young whales (who held large amounts of bitcoin for less than three months), leading to a massive liquidation drive that transferred coins from young holders to old and experienced holders.

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BTCUSD Chart By TradingView

Who are the catalysts?

It is unclear what exactly may have spruced the ground for a much-needed leap up, but one cannot underestimate the impact of Bitcoin’s recent acceptance by the government of El-Salvador. Having emerged as the first of its kind to tear through the government’s veil of financial legitimacy, the scale of its operation and use may now become more expanded than ever before. This is most likely to spur more citizens and governments of other countries to innovate their financial system around the digital currency with growing national acceptance. 

Others may attribute part of its recent success to Elon Musk’s turncoat claims about Tesla returning to Bitcoin, after ditching the currency in a precarious moment.

But one thing inevitably clear, in the world of crypto influencers is the role of Michael Saylor to keep the masts of bitcoin sailing amidst the troubled waters of last month. From a conference to address energy concerns to an additional injection of $1 billion into bitcoin, the CEO of MicroStrategy has done a lot to build resistance for the apex currency.

Going Forward

As Will Clemente spots the early symptoms of progress, it is expected that many investors who remained skeptical about buying and waiting through the dip, would want to cast in their lots before the entry price soars to the point of eroding leverage.

This means more activity for Bitcoin, more health value upshot, and more reward for those who took Robert Kiyosaki’s advice to ‘buy the dip.’

Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://zycrypto.com/this-bitcoin-hodler-metric-has-just-flipped-green-for-the-first-time-in-8-months-heres-what-this-means/

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Blockchain

Paraguayan Official Confirms: In July We Legislate Bitcoin

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Paraguay’s Deputy of the Nation, Carlos Antonio Rejala Helman, has confirmed that new legislation in regards to Bitcoin will arrive in July. This comes amid growing adoption in Latin America led by El Salvador, which could be followed by Panama as well.

  • CryptoPotato reported last week when Rejala Helman said his country planned to start working on an “important project” that included Bitcoin and PayPal
  • Although he provided little-to-no information at the time about the precise nature of the project, the official confirmed it’s coming in a more recent tweet.
  • Commenting on news indicating that one of Paraguay’s largest entertainment organizations has started to accept various digital assets, Rejala Helman emphatically asserted, “This is Paraguay. July we legislate! #Bitcoin.”
  • This comes shortly after Gabriel Silva, a Panamanian congressman, laid out plans to present a bill on cryptocurrency adoption as a legal tender as well.
  • He believes Panama should not trail other nations from the region that have already taken steps to legalize Bitcoin.
  • Naturally, he meant El Salvador. The small country located in Central America has been the leader in terms of BTC adoption.
  • As reported recently, the nation officially voted in favor of a new rule making Bitcoin a legal tender within its borders. El Salvador’s President, Nayib Bukele, further outlined his support for the asset and even urged miners to mine BTC with the thermal energy of the country’s volcanoes.
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Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://cryptopotato.com/paraguayan-official-confirms-in-july-we-legislate-bitcoin/

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The End of NFTs? NFT Sale Transaction Volume Down 95% Since Early May

The NFT price crash that started in May is continuing. What does this mean for non-fungible tokens?

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The drop in non-fungible token sales that began in early May seems to be continuing into June.

Finance Magnates previously reported that according to data from NonFungible.com, the week-long period surrounding the NFT market peak at the beginning of May saw $170 million in transaction volume. By the end of the month, that figure had collapsed to just $19.4 million in NFT sales, a decrease of roughly 90%.

According to a new report from CNBC, the drop has continued. On June 15th, the seven-day average NFT transaction volume had fallen to oust $8.7 million. Compared to the market’s peak in early May, the new number represents a drop of nearly 95 per cent.

Is this the end of non-fungible tokens?

via Protos

The Boom and Bust of Non-Fungible Tokens in 2021: A History in Brief

While this may not be the end of NFTs, it’s certainly the end of an era. Riding on the tailwinds of the biggest crypto bull market in history, non-fungible tokens made a serious splash when they entered the mainstream in March of 2021. By that point, NFTs had already been around for several years.

However, they had never previously captured the public imagination in such a big way. Investors and speculators saw a new opportunity to try and win big in a rather novel financial market; artists and creators saw a new opportunity to monetize their work in the digital world.

For some, the opportunity paid off–big time. Graphic designer Mike Winkelmann, also known as “Beeple,” sold an NFT for a record $69 million at a Christie’s auction in March. Around the same time, Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey, sold a tokenized version of his first tweet for $2.9 million the same month. Grimes, Eminem, 3LAU, Lindsay Lohan, and many other celebrities also cashed in on the trend.

However, it wasn’t long before the cracks in the walls of the NFT space started to show. Critics of non-fungible tokens decried the practice of minting them, pointing to the possibility of heavy carbon footprints. Many smaller creators who were entering the space for the first time quickly discovered that someone else had already stolen and tokenized their work, much to the chagrin of the collectors who had purchased the fraudulent tokens.

Additionally, reports of “vanishing” non-fungible tokens began to hit headlines as questions about what it really means to own a non-fungible token went unanswered. Because the material that an NFT is associated with is not stored in a Web 3 environment, it is subject to the same kinds of problems that all centralized media is: if an NFT-tied photo disappears from the web, well, tough luck.

Now That the Hype is Over, What’s Next?

At first, the criticisms of non-fungible tokens didn’t seem to significantly affect the space. However, when cryptocurrency markets were hit with bearish forces in mid-May, non-fungible token markets were decimated. Analysts who operate outside of the cryptocurrency space have written the whole saga off as another crypto fad–novel, exciting, and perhaps interesting, but essentially vapid and hype-driven.

However, Gauthier Zuppinger, the chief operating officer of Nonfungible, told CNBC that the NFT market movements of the last several weeks are closely related to one another: “The thing is that, each time you’ll notice such a quick increase on any trend, you’ll see a relative decrease, which basically stands for a market stabilization,” he told CNBC.

via CNBC

And indeed, data from Nonfungible.com show that after this 95% decrease from the NFT market peak in early May, NFT sales are basically continuing along the trend of slow and steady growth that has been trending over the past several years.

“High-profile NFTs selling for millions of dollars was a sure sign that the market was treating them as speculative assets,” said Nadya Ivanova, chief operating officer of L’Atelier, speaking to CNBC. “And by definition, markets for speculative assets are unstable and liable to dry up.”

“The bigger question for NFTs is their long-term value, which we believe is likely significant,” she continued.

In other words, now that the hype is over, non-fungible tokens can continue along their path of technological discovery.

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NFTs in Virtual Reality and Beyond

While the most commonly known use-cases of non-fungible token technology surround the concepts related to digital authenticity and ownership on the internet as we know it, some innovators are exploring an entirely new environment for NFTs: virtual reality.

Forbes recently reported that Space Force partnered with digital artist companies WorldwideXR and VueXR to release their own NFTs with augmented reality features. According to the report, the NFTs are accessible to their owners through the VueXR app, which is available on both iOS and Android.

“As augmented and virtual reality technology matures, normal people are going to spend more and more of their time — and therefore money — in virtual environments,” Nadya Ivanova told CNBC.

Non-fungible tokens have already made a splash in the gaming world as technology that could make decentralized ownership of in-game assets into a reality. However, as gaming moves increasingly toward virtual reality, NFTs could take digital ownership to the next level.

“World-builders in VR are looking at ways to make world building a lot more profitable, but there are few companies that are willing to put down money for a virtual world,” said Dale Deacon, who is an expert on developing immersive storytelling in VR & AR. He was speaking to VRScout.

NFTs could provide a path toward real-world monetization in virtual economies. “Monetizing the job of being a VR world builder, will be a part of monetizing the role of a world builder.”

Now that the hype is being washed out of the non-fungible token space, it’s possible that VR innovators could explore their use cases in a more serious way. “I’m interested in AR and VR spaces as NFTs [because] they have a practical value,” said Dale, adding that “the hype around NFTs” made them a bit “myopic.”

While NFTs may not be the end-all, be-all for VR world builders and other creative economies, they could be part of an important shift that allows creators to have access to new kinds of economic tools.

“The shiny thing that NFTs are at the moment, is not the end goal of this whole decentralized finance – where standard banks have proper competition for once,” Deacon explained.

Now that the Hype is Over, True Innovation Continues

Beyond virtual reality, non-fungible tokens are also finding new use cases in the music world. Others

“We have only seen the tiniest part of where this is going,” said Geoff Osler, CEO and co-founder of NFT app S!NG, to CNBC. “Cryptocurrency is here to stay — and NFTs mean there is now something to buy. It’s the other side of the equation. And this is going to go a long way past digital art. We think music is next.”

Other use cases for non-fungible tokens have been identified in identity, travel, live entertainment, medicine, supply chain, and many more industry verticals. Still, quite a lot of innovation will likely need to take place before the technology can take hold in any industry in a meaningful way.

Now that the NFT hype seems to be over, companies and innovators that have been working to improve non-fungible token technology will continue to build for the future. Watch this space.

Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://www.financemagnates.com/cryptocurrency/news/the-end-of-nfts-nft-sale-transaction-volume-down-95-since-early-may/

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