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Bitcoin & Cryptocurrency Risk Warning – Please Read

Last updated: 21st January 2020 While Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are unregulated at present, it’s ability to be spent on goods and services like money, and be traded like a commodity makes it a curious thing. From personal experience with a small amount of bitcoin, it is very easy to make as well as lose your bitcoin in an instant, whether through a misunderstanding of how wallets work, sending bitcoin to the wrong address, losing it with a third party, or bad bad trading choices. So as is best practice around the advertising and promotion of financial products, Please read

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3. risk warning

Last updated: 21st January 2020

While Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are unregulated at present, it’s ability to be spent on goods and services like money, and be traded like a commodity makes it a curious thing. From personal experience with a small amount of bitcoin, it is very easy to make as well as lose your bitcoin in an instant, whether through a misunderstanding of how wallets work, sending bitcoin to the wrong address, losing it with a third party, or bad bad trading choices. So as is best practice around the advertising and promotion of financial products, Please read this this plain English risk warning.

Before you start, read the official consumer warning from the European Central Bank about Bitcoin (from 2013).

Risk warning for normal bitcoin users/consumers
Bitcoin is a relatively anonymous electronic currency-like thingie which is bedding into the internet as a way to send an equivalent value of money, anywhere in the world to another bitcoin user, without going through the financial system. If you have bitcoin, the euro equivalent (fiat) value will fluctuate all over the place. When purchasing through a website, it will usually “lock down” a price and give you some time to send a transaction. While the transaction flashes across the internet quickly, the bitcoin network will need to confirm it several times before the payment at the other end is released to the merchant. So unlike money, there is a bit of a time lag, but this is normal enough. It can vary from less than an hour to several hours, depending on how quickly blocks are being mined. While most companies offering bitcoin are normal trading companies, and their goods and services covered by normal consumer law, it is a wild west out there on the internet, so remember Caveat Emptor and use your head. If it seems dodgy and feels dodgy, it probably is. So a little research about any product or service you choose is essential before spending for reviews can help you. Do they have contact details or are they completely anonymous? Are they offering ridiculous things to you, in return for you sending them some of your hard earned bitcoin? But once informed and armed with your bitcoins, you can shop at an increasing number of online stores, with no sign of it slowing down.

Risk warning for bitcoin gamblers
There are many unregulated or unlicensed bitcoin gambling operations online, based in far flung places. If you do choose to gamble, only gamble what you can afford to lose completely. Remember the house always wins, and while many sites are or claim to be “provably fair”, you’ll still probably lose it to the house. Bitcoin’s anonymous nature also can be a way to hide a gambling problem showing up on a credit card, so if you feel like you are having a problem, please pause, ask yourself if it’s getting out of hand, or visit http://gambleaware.ie/ to find out how to deal with problem gambling. Any credible operator should honour a request asking them to close your account if it is in relation to this. Bitcoin gambling is a bit of fun, but it’s still monopoly money, not real cash in the Irish law, and you can’t buy a pint of milk with it, and it’s definitely not worth losing your house, job or relationship over.

Risk warning for bitcoin sellers
If you are selling bitcoins to a third party or exchange, be very careful about what payment methods you accept. Any transaction done with paypal, credit cards, debit cards or other reversible payment systems carry huge risk, unless you trust the person and/or they are personally known to you. There are many cases of people who have entered into an agreement to sell bitcoin to someone online, who has sent the payment by paypal first, receive the bitcoins, and then chargeback the payment. This can leave you out of pocket of your bitcoins and money. So do your homework when selling, and don’t leave yourself open to this. Also do your own research on any exchanges or trading software you choose to use.

Risk warning for bitcoin investors
The exact same risk with any regulated financial instrument such as shares or derivatives. Bitcoin trading comes with highrisk of losing your invested capital, up to and including a total loss. Bitcoin values can fluctuate all over the place, and it’s not uncommon for the value to swing by 25% in response to macro-economic factors. You have none of the fallback options that other products have, so trade carefully with a fund that you can afford to lose completely, if all goes to hell. Bitcoins are not suitable for all investors. Make sure that you fully understand the risks, capital gains tax liabilities and other concerns about working with Bitcoin. Also, unlike other things which have can fluctuate in some sort of coherent pattern, previous history has completely no impact on what’s going to happen next. A huge amount of bots and humans are making decisions across the world, and a price fluctuation to one exchange can rapidly cause others to follow suit. Arbitrage is also difficult unless you have money on several exchanges, as the network transmission speed can mean lodging funds into or out of exchanges can let you miss the boat. Finally, security around your bitcoin keys is very important. Be wary of online services, and with wallets that don’t let you control your keys. We recommend using a suitable hardware, physical or paper wallet backup, and if doing a paper backup make sure to laminate it to ensure that it stands the test of time.

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Source: https://bitcoinsinireland.com/bitcoin-risk-warning-please-read/

Blockchain

Kraken Daily Market Report for April 12 2021

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Overview


  • Total spot trading volume at $1.74 billion, up from the 30-day average of $1.34 billion.
  • Total futures notional at $555.7 million.
  • The top five traded coins were, respectively, Bitcoin, Tether, Ethereum, Ripple, and Cardano.
  • Strong returns from Uniswap (+25%) and Flow (+11%).

April 12, 2021 
 $1.74B traded across all markets today
 Crypto, EUR, USD, JPY, CAD, GBP, CHF, AUD 
XBT 
$59918. 
↓0.3% 
$641.7M
USDT 
$0.9994 
↑0.03% 
$317.0M
ETH 
$2135.2 
↓0.9% 
$216.1M
XRP 
$1.3753 
↑1.9% 
$126.6M
ADA 
$1.2994 
↑2.6% 
$84.1M
USDC 
$0.9999 
↑0.0% 
$46.7M
DOT 
$40.310 
↓2.6% 
$39.1M
LTC 
$245.33 
↓2.9% 
$34.7M
TRX 
$0.1331 
↑8.9% 
$33.3M
FLOW 
$37.468 
↑11% 
$30.6M
UNI 
$37.402 
↑25% 
$23.6M
FIL 
$166.62 
↓7.0% 
$18.9M
XLM 
$0.5751 
↓1.0% 
$18.6M
XDG 
$0.0712 
↓3.4% 
$17.9M
XMR 
$321.10 
↓2.8% 
$17.9M
LINK 
$32.707 
↓3.9% 
$12.3M
MANA 
$1.0822 
↑1.0% 
$11.5M
BCH 
$669.88 
↓3.0% 
$11.0M
SC 
$0.0266 
↓3.5% 
$9.87M
ALGO 
$1.4637 
↓4.1% 
$9.85M
GRT 
$2.0962 
↑9.6% 
$9.61M
AAVE 
$403.67 
↑8.4% 
$9.51M
ATOM 
$22.173 
↓5.6% 
$9.42M
KSM 
$428.66 
↓2.4% 
$9.33M
EOS 
$6.4521 
↓4.5% 
$7.34M
XTZ 
$6.2194 
↓3.5% 
$6.97M
ZEC 
$218.94 
↓1.5% 
$5.36M
DASH 
$277.71 
↓3.4% 
$4.59M
STORJ 
$2.4142 
↓0.7% 
$4.51M
DAI 
$0.9994 
↓0.03% 
$4.08M
COMP 
$446.04 
↓3.0% 
$3.75M
SNX 
$19.596 
↑3.0% 
$3.13M
ICX 
$2.6855 
↑4.2% 
$3.06M
OMG 
$9.6585 
↑0.3% 
$2.8M
BAT 
$1.4119 
↓2.1% 
$2.57M
KAVA 
$6.5938 
↓5.9% 
$2.53M
OCEAN 
$1.6560 
↓3.6% 
$2.42M
QTUM 
$14.663 
↓1.9% 
$2.27M
CRV 
$3.0164 
↓3.2% 
$2.18M
ANT 
$10.697 
↓4.6% 
$1.93M
NANO 
$5.6921 
↑1.4% 
$1.91M
KNC 
$3.5034 
↓4.6% 
$1.86M
YFI 
$42840. 
↓5.2% 
$1.68M
ETC 
$19.193 
↓5.8% 
$1.44M
OXT 
$0.7723 
↓3.9% 
$1.43M
WAVES 
$15.288 
↓2.2% 
$1.35M
REP 
$47.281 
↓4.1% 
$1.27M
LSK 
$6.4095 
↓6.1% 
$1.09M
KEEP 
$0.7189 
↓4.0% 
$1.07M
EWT 
$16.354 
↓4.3% 
$768K
MLN 
$85.518 
↓4.3% 
$674K
PAXG 
$1741.0 
↓1.0% 
$663K
BAL 
$51.182 
↓1.2% 
$600K
REPV2 
$46.957 
↓4.2% 
$367K
GNO 
$172.93 
↓0.03% 
$292K
TBTC 
$60697. 
↓0.8% 
$50.2K



#####################. Trading Volume by Asset. ##########################################

Trading Volume by Asset


The figures below break down the trading volume of the largest, mid-size, and smallest assets. Cryptos are in purple, fiats are in blue. For each asset, the chart contains the daily trading volume in USD, and the percentage of the total trading volume. The percentages for fiats and cryptos are treated separately, so that they both add up to 100%.

Figure 1: Largest trading assets: trading volume (measured in USD) and its percentage of the total trading volume (April 12 2021)



Figure 2: Mid-size trading assets: (measured in USD) (April 12 2021)



Figure 3: Smallest trading assets: (measured in USD) (April 12 2021)



#####################. Spread %. ##########################################

Spread %


Spread percentage is the width of the bid/ask spread divided by the bid/ask midpoint. The values are generated by taking the median spread percentage over each minute, then the average of the medians over the day.

Figure 4: Average spread % by pair (April 12 2021)



.


#########. Returns and Volume ############################################

Returns and Volume


Figure 5: Returns of the four highest volume pairs (April 12 2021)


Figure 6: Volume of the major currencies and an average line that fits the data to a sinusoidal curve to show the daily volume highs and lows (April 12 2021)



###########. Daily Returns. #################################################

Daily Returns %


Figure 7: Returns over USD and XBT. Relative volume and return size is indicated by the size of the font. (April 12 2021)



###########. Disclaimer #################################################

The values generated in this report are from public market data distributed from Kraken WebSockets api. The total volumes and returns are calculated over the reporting day using UTC time.

Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://blog.kraken.com/post/8612/kraken-daily-market-report-for-april-12-2021/

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Blockchain

Bitcoin Prepares For its Next Move: Where is the 100 SMA, the Key BTC Level?

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Bitcoin price is consolidating above the $59,500 support zone against the US Dollar. BTC is now showing a few positive signs, but it must clear $61,200 for a fresh rally in the near term.

  • Bitcoin is holding gains above the $60,000 and $59,500 support levels.
  • The price is now trading well above the $59,500 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $59,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair is likely to start a sharp upward move once it clears the $60,800 and $61,200 levels.

Bitcoin Price is Showing Positive Signs

Bitcoin remained in a range above the $59,000 level and it is showing a few positive signs. Recently, BTC made another attempt to clear the $61,200 resistance, but it failed.

It corrected lower and retested the $59,500 support level. A low is formed near $59,432 and the price is now moving higher. It is also trading well above the $59,500 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

There was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $61,212 high to $59,432 low. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $59,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Bitcoin is now trading above $60,400, but it is facing resistance near $60,800. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $61,212 high to $59,432 low.

A successful break above the $60,800 level could open the doors for a move above $61,200. If the bulls succeed in clearing $61,200, the price could rally in the coming sessions.

Dips Limited in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to climb above $60,800 and $61,200, there could be a short-term downside correction. An initial support on the downside is near the $60,000 level.

The main support is now forming near the trend line, $59,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the bulls fail to protect the 100 hourly SMA, there could be a major decline. In this case, the price might decline towards the $58,000 level.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $59,500, followed by $59,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $60,800, $61,200 and $62,000.

Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://www.newsbtc.com/analysis/btc/bitcoin-prepares-for-next-move-61k/

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Blockchain

USDT, USDC, and BUSD represent 93% of stablecoin market cap

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Research from on-chain analytics provider Glassnode has revealed that the top three stablecoins represent more than 90% of the sector’s entire market cap.

Glassnode’s April 13 “Week On-chain” report found that the top three stablecoins — Tether (USDT), USD Coin (USDC), and Binance USD (BUSD) — have seen significant growth over the past six months to represent a combined capitalization of more than $60 billion, equal to 92.75% of the stablecoin market.

By contrast, six months ago the combined stablecoin capitalization for those three was less than one-third of its current levels at $19.2 billion. This time last year, stablecoins were worth just $7 billion combined.

The analysis compared the growth of stablecoins with Bitcoin’s market cap, identifying a clear correlation between the two. The report also found that USDT’s supply has continued to increase during recent weeks despite BTC trending sideways, whereas growth for USDC and BUSD has slowed.

BTC market cap vs stablecoin supply: Glassnode

The report notes historic lows for its Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) metric, which measures Bitcoin’s market cap relative to the total stablecoin supply to estimate the global “buying power” of the stablecoin sector.

When BTC prices are low, the supply of stablecoins can buy a larger portion of it to push prices up. Conversely, as prices increase the available stablecoins can purchase less which reduces the influence on prices. Glassnode concluded:

“The growth of stablecoin supplies throughout 2020-21 has held the SSR metric near historical lows suggesting a relatively high buying power of digitally native dollars. The demand for digital dollars appears to be keeping pace with demand for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies as a whole.”

Tether’s market cap has over doubled since the beginning of 2021 to currently sit at a record $45.6 billion, according to the Tether transparency report. Circle’s website reported an all-time high of $11.5 billion USDC on April 9, while Goingecko estimated BUSD’s supply to be $5.1 billion on April 13.

On April 7, Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire predicted its USDC stablecoin could soon surpass PayPal by settlement value.

Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/usdt-usdc-and-busd-represent-93-of-stablecoin-market-cap

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