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Bitcoin Could Recover Above $10,500 As Double Bottom Pattern Emerges

Bitcoin price retested the $9,900 zone against the US Dollar. BTC seems to be forming a double bottom pattern near $9,900 and it could start a decent increase above $10,500. Bitcoin bounced back above $10,200 after it retested the $10,000 and $9,900 levels. The price is now trading nicely above $10,300 and the 100 hourly […]

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Bitcoin price retested the $9,900 zone against the US Dollar. BTC seems to be forming a double bottom pattern near $9,900 and it could start a decent increase above $10,500.

  • Bitcoin bounced back above $10,200 after it retested the $10,000 and $9,900 levels.
  • The price is now trading nicely above $10,300 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break above a key declining channel with resistance near $10,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair is likely to continue higher as long as it is above the $10,000 support zone.

Bitcoin Price Could Recover Higher

Yesterday, there was another downward move below the $10,200 level in bitcoin price against the US Dollar. BTC retested the $9,900 zone and remained well bid. A strong support base was formed near $9,880 and the price started fresh increase.

It seems like there is a double bottom pattern forming near the $9,880 level. Bitcoin is recovering higher and it surpassed the $10,200 resistance level.

There was also a break above a key declining channel with resistance near $10,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair is now trading nicely above $10,300 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin price trades above $10,300. Source: TradingView.com

It tested the $10,400 resistance and a high is formed near $10,415. The price is currently correcting lower and trading near the $10,320 level. An initial support is near the $10,280 level or the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent rise from the $9,891 low to $10,415 high.

The first major support on the downside is near the broke channel resistance and $10,150. The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent rise from the $9,891 low to $10,415 high is also near $10,150.

On the upside, the price is facing a couple of strong hurdles near $10,400 and $10,500. If the highlighted double bottom pattern plays well, there are chances of a strong increase above $10,500 and $10,550 in the near term.

Fresh Rejection in BTC?

If the bulls fail to gain strength and bitcoin dips below the $10,150 support, it could revisit the $10,000 and $9,880 support levels.

A close below the $9,880 low is likely to invalidate the double bottom pattern. In the stated case, the price might decline further towards the $9,600 level.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $10,200, followed by $10,150.

Major Resistance Levels – $10,400, $10,500 and $10,550.

Source: https://www.newsbtc.com/2020/09/08/bitcoin-could-recover-above-10500/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=bitcoin-could-recover-above-10500

Blockchain

Stellar Lumens, Cosmos, Zcash Price Analysis: 23 January

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After Bitcoin forfeited the $33,000-mark, altcoins such as Stellar Lumens, Cosmos, and Zcash moved within a range and awaited further signals from the market leader to make a stronger move on the charts.

Stellar Lumens [XLM]

Source: XLM/USD, TradingView

Stellar Lumens moved within the tight channel of $0.28 and $0.26 as trading volumes remained subdued over the last few days. The 20-SMA and 50-SMA highlighted some points of resistance as the candlesticks remained below the two moving averages. A bullish rally in the broader market could determine the price action over the next few trading sessions, otherwise, XLM could trade within its present channel.

The Awesome Oscillator was bearish-neutral as the red bars remained below equilibrium.

The Chaikin Money Flow showed that despite capital inflows, the price was unable to break above its press time resistance.

Cosmos [ATOM]

Source: ATOM/USD, TradingView

At the time of writing, ATOM was trading close to its support line at $8.12 after a bit of to and fro movement over the last few trading sessions. It was unclear whether the bulls could maintain the price above its support level as subdued trading volume prevented a rise on the charts. A bearish scenario could see the price lose out on the $8.12-level and move lower to $7.1. The indicators were largely neutral, and the path forward for ATOM could rely on strong cues from the broader market.

The Relative Strength Index remained neutral and stabilized just around 50.

The MACD slightly favored the bears as the bars on the histogram were moving towards the half-line.

Zcash [ZEC]

Source: ZEC/USD, TradingView

Although Zcash seemed bullish at the time of writing, the resistance at $89.9 halted a further rise on the charts. A bit of sideways movement can be expected moving forward as buyers remained subdued in the market. In case of a fall, the bulls could hold on to the $81.08-support level.

The candlesticks moved within the Signal line and the lower band of the Bollinger Bands and can be expected to continue this trajectory, unless there is a drastic move in market leaders BTC and ETH.

The On Balance Volume dipped and moved flatly as the price fell below the $89.94-resistance. The price might trade below its press time support if the OBV fails to pick up.

Source: https://ambcrypto.com/stellar-lumens-cosmos-zcash-price-analysis-23-january

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Why has Bitcoin’s brief recovery not been enough

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Bitcoin’s price bounced back on the charts after undergoing yet another price correction, with the same settling above the $32,000-price level, at press time. In fact, after seeing its value fall by over 15 percent on the 20th of January, the coin was on its way to breach its immediate resistances at the $33,000 and $34,000-levels.

In the past, Bitcoin has been troubled by minor corrections on the charts after falling from the ATH it set around the $42k-level. However, Bitcoin returning to claim a position above $35k, for example, might be a clear sign that the bulls are back in control. This raises the question – In the short-term market for Bitcoin, how probable is such a scenario?

Given the cryptocurrency’s overall market sentiment, traders may have to wait a while before the $35k-price level is claimed. In the long term, given Bitcoin’s scarcity and the fact that it has in the past gone past this price level, the $35k-level should be easily capturable.

However, in the next few weeks, the continuing bearish sentiment may stop the coin from breaching this resistance.

Source: Santiment

According to Santiment’s data, strong bearish sentiments with regard to Bitcoin are around at the moment. Santiment’s Weighted Social Sentiment metric is a clear indicator of the overall sentiment traders have towards an asset. In Bitcoin’s case, in spite of it rebounding today, many traders seem to be a bit hesitant at these levels.

For assets like Bitcoin that work in a speculative market, crowd sentiment is a key attribute. While it is wise to buy when the price takes a dip, the fact that after Bitcoin fell to the $30k-price range there were quite a few corrections without a strong uptrend could be one of the reasons traders are hesitating to buy more BTC and help its price move north.

Source: Santiment

In fact, taking a closer look at the two corrections that happened on Bitcoin’s charts over the past week, Santiment highlighted that while traders were keen on buying the dip during the first correction, there was a bit of skepticism during the second dip that happened yesterday.

To better understand social sentiments, Google trends data can also come in handy. Taking a look at user interest in Bitcoin world over, a slump over the past few days was evident, with this finding shedding new light on the cryptocurrency’s recent price performance.

According to Google’s data, a value of 100 is the peak popularity for a term, with Bitcoin seeing its levels fall to 59 at press time, from 100 on the 11th of January.

Source: Google Trends

With Bitcoin setting new highs this month, it has also, in turn, redefined what it means to buy low and sell high. Bitcoin’s press time price point is still quite steep in comparison to where it was under a year ago and one of the reasons why traders may be a bit apprehensive during these price corrections could be because the price is still in quite an expensive range.

Additionally, another reason why the bearishness continues for Bitcoin could be because of the $10k drop that Bitcoin underwent, and even after traders ‘bought the dip,’ the price has only increased marginally and ended up seeing yet another price correction. To a certain extent, one can argue that this could be the reason why in the short-term, the bearishness prevails.

However, given Bitcoin’s predicted trajectory, a $30k-price point is likely to be quite a rarity in the coming months and traders accumulating the coin may find themselves quite fortunate soon.

Source: https://ambcrypto.com/why-has-bitcoins-brief-recovery-not-been-enough

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Bitcoin in jeopardy, Ether briefly breaks records, Biden takes action: Hodler’s Digest, Jan. 17–23

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Coming every Saturday, Hodler’s Digest will help you track every single important news story that happened this week. The best (and worst) quotes, adoption and regulation highlights, leading coins, predictions and much more — a week on Cointelegraph in one link.

Top Stories This Week

Three reasons Bitcoin tumbled below $30,000 in a surprise overnight correction

Intensifying sell pressure saw Bitcoin briefly plummet below $29,000 for the first time since Jan. 5. The fall from $37,000, which happened within 48 hours, resulted in the biggest daily candle ever.

There have been some signs of institutional investors taking profit, as bulls attempt to cement $32,000 as a new support level. Analysts at QCP Capital are seeing signs of “institutional exhaustion,” and they warned the rally could be in danger if appetite for BTC slows down.

Of course, some institutions are indefatigable… with MicroStrategy “buying the dip” and snapping up 314 BTC at an average cost of $31,808 — a total spend of $10 million.

Bitcoin has lost 14% of its value over the past seven days. But over this period, many major altcoins haven’t been suffering sell-offs to the same extent. Ether is down just 2.6% on the week, Polkadot is actually up 1.5%, and XRP has fallen by 5.6%.

BTC/USD is in a corrective phase since the rally became overextended above $40,000. The question now is when this will end. If the $30,000 area doesn’t hold, a further drop to $24,000 becomes likely — resulting in a retrace of 40% since recent highs.

Guggenheim CIO expects Bitcoin to drop to $20,000

Just a month ago, Guggenheim’s Scott Minerd was anticipating that $400,000 was in sight for Bitcoin. How times have changed.

Speaking to CNBC, Guggenheim’s chief investment officer argued that BTC is now poised to drop to $20,000 — and Bitcoin is unlikely to climb any higher than $42,000 until 2022.

He said: “I think for the time being, we probably put in the top for Bitcoin for the next year or so.”

ETH finally beats its 2018 all-time high, surpassing $1,428

It’s been a long time coming. This week, ETH finally reached new all-time highs against the dollar — surpassing $1,428 on Bitstamp. Unfortunately, the major altcoin didn’t spend much time in uncharted territory — falling as low as $1,050 in the days that followed.

Are Ether bulls now in trouble? Well, the large drop after the ATH has been linked to how the Ether futures market was extremely overheated, with open interest on ETH hitting a record high of $1.8 billion.

At one point, Vitalik Buterin’s main wallet saw the ETH in his wallet amount to over $470 million. That’s a stark contrast to Jan. 2020, when his ETH fortune stood at just $58 million.

Strategists at Fundstrat Global Advisors believe that 2021 could be a year to remember for ETH. According to its researchers, the second-largest cryptocurrency could climb more than sevenfold to $10,500.

President Biden freezes FinCEN’s proposed crypto wallet regulations

Joe Biden wasted little time in getting to work following his inauguration on Jan. 20. One of the first actions the new president took on his first day in office was to freeze the federal regulatory process — and this is good news for the crypto community.

The freeze means that the controversial regulations surrounding self-hosted crypto wallets, proposed by former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, are now on ice for 60 days.

Compound Finance’s general counsel Jake Chervinsky lauded the move, declaring: “We fought hard & earned the right to take a breath & reset. Janet Yellen isn’t Steve Mnuchin. I’m optimistic.”

It’s fair to say that Yellen isn’t wild about Bitcoin, though. During her confirmation hearing with the Senate Finance Committee, she stated that cryptocurrencies are being used “mainly for illicit financing” — and that she wanted to “curtail” their use. She later clarified that she only wanted to clamp down on cryptocurrencies being used illegally.

The former chair of the Federal Reserve is now one step closer to earning the nomination after the Senate Finance Committee voted unanimously in her favor, paving the way for a full Senate vote.

Ripple pins hopes on Biden administration as co-founder sells 28.6 million XRP

As it readies itself to face a lawsuit from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, filed under Donald Trump’s administration, Ripple is hoping that Biden’s time in office will bring favorable changes in regulations.

Executives at the embattled company have predicted that Biden’s team will most likely “bring a renewed focus on regulation and enforcement in the crypto space.” The post said that fintech and blockchain players have been left “in a state of limbo” by the lack of a clear framework — and warned countries like the U.K. and Japan are “miles ahead.”

Ripple’s general counsel Stu Alderoty wrote: “Intelligent, well thought-out regulations communicated effectively and uniformly applied can help level the playing field and unleash innovation and further mainstream adoption here in the U.S.”

When Gary Gensler’s appointment as SEC chair was announced, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse tweeted: “Congrats to Gary Gensler! We’re ready to work with SEC leadership and the broader Biden administration to chart a path forward for blockchain and crypto innovation in the US.”

Is $1 billion a day in volume the “new normal” for Uniswap?

Uniswap is nearing an average of $1 billion a day in trading volumes during January.

It’s already surpassed the previous monthly trade volume record of $15.3 billion set in September during the DeFi boom.

Uniswap traders are spoiled for choice with 1,558 coins traded in more than 2,400 pairs, however, the majority tend to favor less risky trades. 

On one day this week, ETH pairings with stablecoins USD Coin, Tether and Dai made up 45% of the $1.1 billion traded.

Uniswap strategy lead Matteo Leibowitz has already declared that $1 billion volume a day is the new normal.

Winners and Losers

At the end of the week, Bitcoin is at $32,300.43, Ether at $1,250.90 and XRP at $0.27. The total market cap is at $944,648,313,957.

Among the biggest 100 cryptocurrencies, the top three altcoin gainers of the week are Enjin Coin, Curve DAO Token and Decentraland. The top three altcoin losers of the week are IOST, Zcash and Dash.

For more info on crypto prices, make sure to read Cointelegraph’s market analysis

Most Memorable Quotations

“I think for the time being, we probably put in the top for Bitcoin for the next year or so. And we’re likely to see a full retracement back toward the 20,000 level.”

Scott Minerd, Guggenheim CIO

“Only by widening the playing field and facilitating more participation will crypto reach and maintain a market cap of $2 trillion and beyond.”

Aite Group

“Ethereum will continue to see demand outstrip supply as global adoption continues.”

Danny Ryan, Ethereum Foundation researcher

“We fought hard & earned the right to take a breath & reset. Janet Yellen isn’t Steve Mnuchin. I’m optimistic.”

Jake Chervinsky, Compound Finance general counsel

“We’ve obviously seen the price of Bitcoin rise quite a bit; we’ve seen a lot of activity in the DeFi space, and I think all of these things will provide a nice framework against which a new chairman can take a fresh look at questions across the board in the crypto space.”

“Crypto Mom” Hester Peirce, SEC commissioner

“I’m honestly loving how well $ETH is holding up in this climate.”

Neko, cryptocurrency trader

“There is an increasing amount of trader doubt that #Bitcoin will revisit $40,000. But according to address activity and trade volume, the long-term trend still looks plenty healthy. Keep a close eye on whether $BTC’s usage rate stays propped up.”

Santiment

“Congrats to Gary Gensler! We’re ready to work with SEC leadership and the broader Biden administration to chart a path forward for blockchain and crypto innovation in the U.S.”

Brad Garlinghouse, Ripple CEO

“Bitcoin is the best cryptocurrency suited for store of value. In terms of what the Bitcoin blockchain can currently handle from a latency and throughput point of view, Bitcoin is very strong.”

Konstantin Richter, Blockdaemon founder and CEO

“Grayscale were buying $251 million of #Bitcoin on avg per week in Q4 2020. Last week they did $700 million in one day… And today $590 million… Pay attention.”

Danny Scott, CoinCorner CEO

“The flow into the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust would likely need to sustain its US$100 million per day pace over the coming days and weeks for such a breakout to occur.”

JPMorgan

Prediction of the Week

Hedge fund predicts $115,000 Bitcoin price and the fall of “speculative” altcoins

New data from Pantera Capital this week suggested that Bitcoin’s current price action is closely following the stock-to-flow model’s trajectory.

The firm’s analysts believe BTC will have reached $115,212 by Aug. 1 and that its price will gain an average of more than $10,000 a month, hitting six figures in the early summer.

Pantera believes that a significant difference between this rally and 2017 is linked to the overall market composition and where value is located — with altcoins losing out.

Andy Yee, a public policy director for Visa in China, tweeted: “This rally is different. Massive shift from high-speculative, non-functioning tokens in 2017 to #Bitcoin and #Ethereum today.”

FUD of the Week 

More institutions will warm up to crypto once market cap hits $2 trillion, eToro says

Barriers are still hindering institutional adoption of crypto, a new report commissioned by eToro suggests.

Researchers at Aite Group said the crypto market could reach a $2-trillion market cap if more institutional players were to get on board amid more favorable conditions. These firms would be more likely to adopt crypto if there was less regulatory uncertainty, a developed market infrastructure, and less risk surrounding security.

Tomer Niv, head of business development at eToro, said: “Only by widening the playing field and facilitating more participation will crypto reach and maintain a market cap of $2 trillion and beyond.”

The report also warned that “technical complexity” is an issue that needs to be addressed, with Niv adding: “More needs to be done from a market infrastructure point of view to make this group of investors feel comfortable joining the crypto ecosystem.”

83% of cryptocurrencies that peaked in 2018 are still down by 90%

More than 80% of crypto assets that hit all-time highs in January 2018 are still down by at least 90%, according to data from Messari.

The data set included 410 assets that posted record prices during 2017 or later, with 2018’s 157 star coins performing the worst with an average of -90.71% since the previous ATH. 

2017’s top cryptos have since crashed by 82% on average, while 2019’s crop is down 72%, and 2020’s standouts have shed 53%.

CMT Digital analyst Matt Casto, who spotted the data, tweeted: “Holding assets that hit high marks +3 years ago is proving to be a massive lost opportunity cost for deploying capital.”

Armed robbers steal $450,000 from Hong Kong crypto trader

A manhunt is underway after robbers posing as crypto buyers stole $450,000 from a woman in Hong Kong.

One member of the gang completed multiple transactions with the victim to win their trust, and an investigation has uncovered there were three previous deals ranging between $77,000 and $90,000.

On the day of the robbery, the other members of the gang rushed to the scene as soon as their colleague received the Tether tokens in exchange for the $450,000 payment.

Armed with knives, they proceeded to lock the woman in the office where the deal took place but not before snatching her iPhone and the cash.

According to The South China Morning Post, the woman was able to use her second phone to inform her husband, who contacted the police. Detectives said that the woman’s uncle, who chaperoned her to the meeting place, reportedly saw four men fleeing the scene.

Luckily, the woman was unhurt in the attack, unlike other victims who have suffered physical injuries and even death at the hands of bandits looking to steal cryptocurrencies.

Best Cointelegraph Features

Believing, not seeing: Institutions still predict $100,000 Bitcoin price

Even though Bitcoin has struggled to reclaim its recent high of $42,000, Shiraz Jagati says projections of BTC reaching $100,000 still seem achievable to some.

Access denied: Banks seem prone to cryptophobia despite growing adoption

Banks in many countries continue to either outrightly deny or limit their services to crypto exchanges.

Bitcoin as a last resort? Murmurs of crypto as a reserve currency abound

Could Bitcoin fulfill the key functions of a reserve currency? Andrew Singer talks to experts as he aims to find out whether BTC can find a new and unexpected role for itself.

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/magazine/2021/01/23/btc-danger-eth-record-biden-action-011723

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