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Bitcoin can reach $25K if usage crosses 1M people: Thomas Lee

Managing Partner and Head of Research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, Tom Lee, recently made an appearance on CNBC’s ‘Street Signs Asia’ segment to talk about Bitcoin price movements in the future. Lee

The post Bitcoin can reach $25K if usage crosses 1M people: Thomas Lee appeared first on AMBCrypto.

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Bitcoin had its hands full dealing with the bearish market, while DeFi gained popularity and provided significant earnings in mainstream finance. However, according to the report provided by Token Analyst, hodling Bitcoin [BTC] or Ethereum [ETH] garnered more revenue compared to crypto lending.

The report highlighted the difference in returns offered by investing $1,000 at the beginning of 2019 in crypto and crypto lendings. The first example of hodling was:

“if you put $1000 into BTC on Jan 2019 and held until July 2019, you would have had a 211% return on investment!”

The 211% return on investment was higher than the returns incurred by becoming a liquidity provider on dY/dX or CompoundV2 that provide returns in the form of interest accrued. According to Token Analyst, if a user invested a sum of $1000 in Uniswap and compounded up until July 2019, they will receive a return of merely 11%. The scenario was not very distinct if the users would have invested in dY/dX or CompoundV2.

However, the report noted that “risk” adjusted results might reflect a different picture, due to relatively less volatile results promised by DeFi yield. According to DeFi schemes noted a boost recently as it managed to hold $650 million.

@AboutDefi tweeted:

“There is now over 650 million (USD) locked in #DeFi. ”

Source: DeFi Pulse

Source: DeFi Pulse

Apart from yields, the report highlighted Binance and Kraken have both increased share ~10% since 2017, with Huobi maintaining its lead. The move towards OTC trades has gained momentum in 2019.

Source: Token Analyst

Source: Token Analyst

The report also noted that only 3% of BTC mined in 2019 was sold directly on exchanges, while Over The Counter [OTC] trades took over.

Source: https://market.ambcrypto.com/bitcoin-can-reach-25k-if-usage-crosses-1m-people-thomas-lee

Blockchain

Investors must brace themselves as Bitcoin Cash goes downhill in the coming weeks

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Though off to a strong start in September, Bitcoin Cash seemed to have taken its foot off the pedal. Caught between two corrective phases on 7 and 20 September, the price steadily declined after forming a local peak above $800.

Moreover, BCH’s latest drawdown towards 38.2% Fibonacci level identified vulnerabilities in the market which could extend all the way back to July lows. With sentiment also expected to be sour due to a recent death cross, BCH bulls certainly faced a tall mountain to climb. At the time of writing, BCH traded at $549.2, down by 4.8% over the last 24 hours.

BCH Daily Chart

Source: BCH/USD, TradingView

A near 16% decline from the 50% Fibonacci level pushed BCH to the all important 38.2% Fibonacci level. Back in late-June, BCH suffered a 31% sell-off after it pierced below the aforementioned level on the back of a descending triangle. Hence, to dissuade short-sellers from the market, BCH would need to keep its neck above the $540-mark.

However, certain factors in the market could not be overlooked. For instance, each of BCH’s indicators slipped below their equilibrium points for the first time in nearly 2-months, while a negative crossover between the 20-SMA (red) and 200-SMA (green) created some more uncertainties.

Reasoning 

Even though corrective phases have been overserved previously in the market, BCH’s RSI held above it mid-line. This was not the case anymore after the RSI shifted below 45 and into bearish territory. In fact, the RSI was yet to touch the oversold territory, which meant that BCH could see some more losses rather than an immediate reversal. Such was the case with the MACD and Awesome Oscillator as well, which slipped below their equilibrium levels. If sentiment continues to be weak, the 23.6% Fibonacci level and $400 would come back into play.

Conclusion 

Bitcoin Cash’s long term narrative took quite a hit after prices declined below the 50% Fibonacci mark. In fact, this also negated a bullish setup which was highlighted in an earlier article. BCH’s indicators also fell into bearish zones  after this retracement. Considering these factors, BCH was open to a further sell-off towards the $400-mark in the coming weeks.

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Source: https://ambcrypto.com/investors-must-brace-themselves-as-bitcoin-cash-goes-downhill-in-the-coming-weeks

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Indian government cautious about crypto-adoption, CBDC is a possibility

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Indian traders and exchanges might be bullish about the crypto market, but the Indian  government doesn’t seem keen on rushing into the scene. At least, not until studying its homegrown fintech industry and the anti-Bitcoin protests in El Salvador.

Tracking global news

Indian finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman in a recent interview with Hindustan Times explained why the country seemed to be falling behind when it came to crypto adoption.

Though she admitted, El Salvador wasn’t “the best example,” Sitharaman said,

“You’d think common people don’t care about digital currency; but the public took to the streets against the move. It’s not a question of literacy or understanding – it’s also a question of to what extent this is a transparent currency; is it going to be a currency available for everyone?”

Sitharaman referred to CBDCs as a “legitimate” cryptocurrency and admitted there could be a “possibility,” in hat regard. She noted that India held the “strength of the technology” and acknowledged the need to formulate a Cabinet note. However, Sitharaman wondered if India was ready to follow El Salvador’s way.

Facts on the ground

Though accessibility is a pressing concern, more Indians have discovered crypto than perhaps expected.

Nischal Shetty, CEO of the Indian crypto exchange WazirX – a subsidiary of Binance Holdings – has stated that WazirX sign-ups from India’s tier-two and tier-three cities overtook those from tier-one cities this year. Even so, sign-ups from tier-one cities themselves saw a 2,375% rise. Furthermore, WazirX added one million users in April 2021 alone.

Adding to this, the cost of electricity and Internet data in India are relatively cheaper, which could boost both crypto trading and mining in the future. However, at the last count, there was only one Bitcoin ATM in the whole country.

As per data by Useful Tulips, which combined data from Paxful and LocalBitcoins, India saw transfers worth around $4,502,369 in the last two weeks.

Could anti-Bitcoin protests happen in India?

There is evidence to support both sides. India has a strong history of mass protests, with the farmers’ protests against the government’s agricultural laws being one such example. The 2016 demonetization of part of the country’s paper currency still haunts many, and Internet penetration is yet to cross 50%.

However, India also has the largest diaspora in the world, with approximately 18 million people living outside the country. Crypto innovation could lead to hundreds of millions of dollars being saved on remittance charges as money is sent across borders.

But for the time being, it seems India’s urban residents are more bullish about crypto than its government.

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Source: https://ambcrypto.com/indian-government-cautious-about-crypto-adoption-cbdc-is-a-possibility

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A Deep Dive Into The Bitcoin Wallets Of U.S Congress Members, And Why Bitcoiners Are Strongly Against Them

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A Deep Dive Into The Bitcoin Wallets Of U.S Congress Members, And Why Bitcoiners Are Strongly Against Them

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Key takeaways

  • U.S. Congress’ split disposition towards cryptocurrencies raises concerns among market participants.
  • Bitcoin proponent, James Loop goes digging into the financial disclosures of Congress members.
  • His findings revealed only three Congress members have ever disclosed that they hold Bitcoin.

The United States is a key base for innovation and adoption in the cryptocurrency industry. According to data from Crunchbase, there are at least 1,135 organizations founded in the U.S. that provide various cryptocurrency-related services.

Despite the broad adoption of the asset class by the country’s citizens, the government is still divided on opinions about the growing cryptocurrency industry. This can be seen in the U.S. Congress where members of Congress are split between those who support and those who do not support Bitcoin, the most prominent cryptocurrency.

This polarised disposition of Congress has been a pain point for Bitcoiners. Bitcoin market participants have pointed out several issues that emanate from the fact that there are still members of Congress who have not shown themselves to fully understand Bitcoin.

The sentiment is that Congress members who do not fully understand the asset, having not used it, should not be responsible for making laws about it. Additionally, market participants also think it will be a conflict of interest if members of Congress who oppose Bitcoin are found to be holding Bitcoin or if those who support it do not own any. 

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Jameson Lopp, the co-founder, and chief technology officer of Casa – a leading provider of Bitcoin self custody solutions, has gone digging into the United States Senate Financial Disclosures portal. The investigation was carried out to identify Congress members who have declared holdings of cryptocurrencies, and Bitcoin in particular, in their portfolios. 

His findings paint a dismal picture as the majority of the members of Congress who have been vocal in supporting Bitcoin have not held the asset at all according to their financial disclosures for the year ending 2020.

According to his findings, only 3 Congress members have disclosed that they own Bitcoin. The now-retired Representative Bob Goodlatte of Virginia was the first Congressman to disclose the ownership of Bitcoin, doing so in 2017 even before laws were passed to make disclosure mandatory. According to his disclosure, he owned between $1,000 and $15,000 of Bitcoin at the time.

Among currently seated Congress members, only Senators Cynthia Lummis and Pat Toomey have reported Bitcoin holdings in their portfolios in 2020. Senator  Lummis reported owning $100,000 – $250,000 of bitcoin in 2020 making up between 0.6% and 2.75% of her net worth. Similarly, Senator Pat Toomey reported purchasing $1,001 – $15,000 of GBTC in June 2021. The GBTC investment is between 0.01% and 0.7% of his net worth.

The sleuth however concedes that he did not have the time and resources to go through the financial disclosures of all 535 congressional members. Nonetheless, it is telling that of the ones he checked, even members of caucuses in Congress that are affiliated to cryptocurrency and members that have drafted bills that will provide clarity for the industry do not hold Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies as their financial disclosures show.

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Source: https://zycrypto.com/a-deep-dive-into-the-bitcoin-wallets-of-u-s-congress-members-and-why-bitcoiners-are-strongly-against-them/

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