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Are ‘illiquid Bitcoins’ no longer a concern?

The circulating supply of Bitcoin, at press time, was 18,591,375 ~ 18.6 million. That is close to 88.6% of the total supply. Now, even though each token is worth close to $31k, understanding the state

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The circulating supply of Bitcoin, at press time, was 18,591,375 ~ 18.6 million. That is close to 88.6% of the total supply. Now, even though each token is worth close to $31k, understanding the state of liquidity gives a better perspective of its value.

According to Glassnode’s latest report, illiquidity is on a rise in the current market as investors have continued to accumulate Bitcoin at a rapid pace. In the traditional marketplace, an illiquid asset might strike fear in the investor’s mind. However, for Bitcoin, it is currently the opposite.

Illiquid Bitcoin – What kind of sign is it?

As previously reported, Bitcoin’s current illiquid supply consists of 78% i.e 14.5 million BTC. This illiquidity is increasing year by year as the supply was recently halved during the last Bitcoin halving in May 2020.

Source: Glassnode

However, being illiquid in a bull market is a healthy bullish sign. Here’s why –

Over the past year, the narrative of hodling has taken flight with respective institutional and retail traders. People are holding more and more Bitcoins and some of them hold a huge portion of the same in cold wallets.

Now, these investors are storing Bitcoin with a long-term perspective in mind. Hence, practically removing them from the circle of trading leads to the reduction in liquid Bitcoin.

So, for Bitcoin, liquidity is only extended or improved when an address spends it and receives a value. Any address keeping away from BTC transactions will garner zero liquidity for the Bitcoin under its portfolio.

It is worth noting, however, that at press time, only close to 4.2 million BTC, i.e 22%, was under constant circulation available for buying and selling.

Will retail push forward the market?

It certainly looks like that will be the case.

The report added that inventory depletion of spot exchanges has been limited over the past few days. It means fewer exchange outflows are taking place for BTC, a finding that may indirectly suggest the completion of the accumulation phase.

Source: Glassnode

The same flattening of spot inventory was noticed before the 2017 bull run. The report said,

“Since we already know institutions are buying in large quantities, the flattening of spot inventory depletion is a sign that retail buyers are now entering in large volumes, attracted by recent price rises.”

All the pieces are currently falling in place for BTC. With supply, illiquid stature, and the transition to high retail volumes, we are possibly entering a long-term bullish rally.

Source: https://ambcrypto.com/are-illiquid-bitcoins-no-longer-a-concern

Blockchain

45,000 Bitcoin Mining Rigs Confiscated by Iranian Authorities Amid Blackout Controversy

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Iranian authorities have confiscated 45,000 bitcoin mining rigs that used subsidized electricity to mine the cryptocurrency. This is yet another considerable seizure in the Middle East country, which has experienced frequent blackouts that the government blamed on BTC mining.

45,000 BTC Mining Machines Confiscated In Iran

Local media outlets reported that the police had seized about 45,000 rigs that consumed 95 megawatts per hour (MWh) of electricity at lower prices.

Head of the country’s state-run electricity company, Mohammad Hassan Motavalizadeh, said that the perpetrators also modified street lighting systems in Tehran and other cities.

“The total reduced consumption corresponds to the (electricity) usage for a city with a population of over half a million.” – he added.

The report outlined that the country has faced numerous similar situations in the past several months. Earlier this January, the Energy Ministry halted the supply of electricity to a giant farm in the southeastern region after a video circulating social media channels showed tens of thousands of BTC mining rigs situated under the same roof.

It’s worth noting that Iran became one of the first countries to legalize cryptocurrency mining in 2019. However, all miners had until August 2020 to register with the authorities, otherwise risk operating outside the country legislation. This is why Iran has initiated a nation-wide crackdown on various farms that failed to register within the timeframe.

Mining Blamed For Blackouts

The Middle Eastern country has experienced several issues lately that the government blamed on bitcoin. Apart from the aforementioned frequent blackouts, some of the nation’s largest cities have seen intense air pollution in recent weeks.

However, a popular crypto analyst Ziya Sadr told the Washington Post that bitcoin mining takes a low percentage of the overall electricity capacity and shouldn’t receive the blame.

“The miners have nothing to do with the blackouts. It is a known fact that the mismanagement and the very terrible situation of the electricity grid in Iran and the outdated equipment of power plants in Iran can’t support the grid.”

Separately, the absence of natural gas due to intense consumption to heat private homes has driven plants to use lower quality fuels that have polluted several cities.

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Source: https://cryptopotato.com/45000-bitcoin-mining-rigs-confiscated-by-iranian-authorities-amid-blackout-controversy/

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Australian crypto exchange operator accuses banks of discrimination.

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Allan Flynn, a Bitcoin trader in Australia, has filed a complaint against two commercial banks ANZ and Westpac, accusing both of systematic discrimination. According to the Australian Financial Review report, Flynn is seeking compensation to the tune of 250,000 Australian dollars (about $192,000). According to Flynn, he has been the victim of discriminatory practices, with banks allegedly continuing to shut down his accounts. Flynn lamented that no fewer than 20 banks closed accounts operated by his exchange in the last three years.

The crypto exchange service is registered with AUSTRAC.

The reported account closures come despite Flynn’s crypto exchange service being registered with the Australian Transaction Reports and Analysis Centre, or AUSTRAC. Flynn’s platform reportedly services over 450 customers. Earlier last year, the crypto exchange operator lodged a complaint with the Australian Financial Complaints Authority. However, AFCA ruled that Westpac — one of the banks involved in the matter ­— acted per its laid down terms and conditions. At the time, Westpac offered Flynn 250 Australian dollars as restitution for the sudden account closure, which the complainant says he is yet to receive.

Banks denying services to crypto exchanges is not restricted to Australia.

Crypto exchanges accusing banks of discriminatory practices are not restricted to Australia alone. Earlier last year, India’s Supreme Court reversed the central bank’s ban against banks servicing crypto businesses. However, reports still emerged of “crypto-phobic” behavior among Indian banks even after the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn RBI’s blanket ban on cryptocurrencies. A similar situation also exists across Latin America, where commercial banks continue to intensify account closures targeted at crypto exchanges. In Brazil, two major platforms were also forced to shut down their operations following stringent tax compliance policies.

Source: https://chaintimes.com/australian-crypto-exchange-operator-accuses-banks-of-discrimination/

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Pantera Capital’s Big Bitcoin Price Prediction Playing Out Exactly As Forecast, Says Dan Morehead

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Pantera Capital founder and CEO Dan Morehead is doubling down on his bullish 2021 Bitcoin prediction, asserting that the leading crypto asset is still right on track to hit $115,000 by August 2021.

In Pantera’s latest Blockchain Letter, Morehead says that Bitcoin’s price movements, although delayed by a week, are playing out exactly as forecast based on the stock-to-flow projection published last year.

“Bitcoin is exactly on track with the forecast we made in our April letter. Our analysis was based on comparing the reduction in the supply/flow of bitcoin relative to the outstanding stock – at the time of each halving – and the subsequent impact on price.”

According to the projections set by Pantera, Bitcoin’s price lagged by as much as 15 weeks in July 2020. In December, Bitcoin began to catch up with Pantera’s projections and by mid-January, the leading cryptocurrency hit the ninth milestone in Pantera’s forecast after climbing to $38,000.

For the next date, February 15th, 2021, Pantera predicts Bitcoin will trade at $45,268.

Pantera makes its projections based on the Bitcoin halving cycle. Historically, Morehead says Bitcoin prices have surged after each halving, which happens every four years.

After the first halving in 2012, Bitcoin’s supply dwindled by a little over 15% in a span of 446 days as block rewards were halved from 50 to 25 BTC. Subsequently, Bitcoin witnessed a rally of 9,212%.

Following the 2016 halving, Bitcoin rallied by 2,910%.

If Bitcoin follows Pantera’s predicted trajectory, Morehead expects BTC to hit its peak in August 2021 with a price of $115,212, rising over 1,091% after the May 2020 halving.

“I’m not saying I’d bet our life savings that’s definitely going to happen, but I think it’s possible, and we’re right on pace to do that.”

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any loses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Featured Image: Shutterstock/Philipp Tur

Source: https://dailyhodl.com/2021/01/18/pantera-capitals-big-bitcoin-price-prediction-playing-out-exactly-as-forecast-says-dan-morehead/

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