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3 reasons Bitcoin recovered by 8% overnight — Key levels to watch next

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The price of Bitcoin (BTC) recovered by more than 8% overnight on March 1 following a steep drop during the weekend.

There are three reasons the price of Bitcoin recovered swiftly in the past 24 hours. They include the recovering global stock market, rising Coinbase premium, and a typical weekend reversal.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: Tradingview

Rising global stock market coincides with weekend reversal

The global stock market has started to recover as soon as the market opened on Monday, March 1.

The stock market slumped over the past week due to the rising Treasury yield curve. As the bond market rallied, risk-on assets, such as stocks, saw a pullback.

Holger Zschaepitz, said the global risk markets started the week strongly as bond yields eased. He said:

“Global risk mkts start the week on the front foot as bonds rally. Australia’s 10y yield fell 25bps, German 10y drops 3bps ahead of inflation data. US 10y steady at 1.41%. Following last week’s bloodbath, easing in bond yields is big relief. Gold gains to $1757. #Bitcoin at $46.8k.”

Although Bitcoin is considered a safe haven asset and a store of value, it often moves in tandem with the risk-on market.

This trend occurs because the market capitalization of Bitcoin is still hovering at around $1 trillion. Bitcoin’s valuation is relatively small compared to other safe-haven assets like gold. Hence, there is a higher probability that it would be more affected by macro factors, at least in the short term.

Analysts at Santiment explained:

“The relationship between the price of #Bitcoin and traditional stocks remains higher than the historical norm. As we’ve noted in previous data studies, $BTC’s rallies tend to be the most prominent when this correlation turns negative, as it did in December, 2020.”

Bitcoin price fluctuation with the S&P 500. Source: Santiment

The simultaneous recovery of the global stock market and cryptocurrencies followed a minor correction in the crypto market over the weekend.

Historically, when the price of Bitcoin falls hard during the weekend, BTC often sees a relief rally in the following week.

This likely occurs because there is generally lower volume during the weekend. Hence, the trend can change sharply when a new weekly candle emerges

Coinbase premium returns

In the past 12 hours, the Coinbase premium rebounded to around $100. Prior to the reversal, Coinbase was selling at a lower price than Binance, which meant there was strong selling pressure coming from the U.S.

As Cointelegraph reported, the futures funding rate resetting signaled that the market became less overheated. this coinciding with the Coinbase premium returning was a solid signal of improving appetite for Bitcoin, particularly in the U.S.

Coinbase premium. Source: CryptoQuant

When the price of Bitcoin trades lower on Coinbase, it is a sign of short-term bearishness because the U.S. dollar pair naturally trades higher than Tether.

In the foreseeable future, based on the recovering stock market trend and the consistently high Coinbase premium, the crypto market has a good chance of rebounding this week.

Whale clusters. Source: Whalemap

Whale clusters from Whalemap also show that $46,000 and $56,000 are the key support and resistance levels in the short term. 

Since Bitcoin rebounded strongly from $46,000, there is a high probability that it could rally to $56,000 in the next impulse wave.

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/3-reasons-bitcoin-recovered-by-8-overnight-key-levels-to-watch-next

Blockchain

Bitcoin Bull Mike Novogratz Predicts Existential Crisis Unless the US Creates a Digital Dollar

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Mike Novogratz, a veteran investor, and a huge Bitcoin supporter noted the U.S. is currently in a good economic position. Still, the nation can face a major competitive disadvantage unless it engineers a digital dollar soon.

The Importance Of An E-Dollar

Novogratz, chief executive of digital merchant bank Galaxy Digital GLXY, underlined the value that a digital dollar could bring to the US. In a Friday interview with MarketWatch, he stated:

”To me it is an existential crisis, we need a digital dollar.”

Furthermore, the investor expressed his view over the current COVID pandemic and the negative impact on the U.S. market and the world, in general. He referred to the trillions of dollars of monetary and fiscal spending done to help eliminate the worst of the economic aftershocks the disease caused:

”If our fiscal and monetary policy starts looking like it’s from a Banana Republic…you are going to run into some Minsky moment where confidence breaks down.”

With his statement, Mike Novogratz referenced Hyman Minsky, who exposed a view in the recent past that a period of distortions in the financial system eventually ends very badly.


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The existence of a digital dollar sounds even more important after some stock-market investors have been warning about a surge in US inflation in the past weeks.

The Competition With China

During the interview, Novgorotz claimed that while in the U.S., the development of an e-dollar is still under question and researches, China has fired the first salvo on the digital currency front.

The biggest economy in Asia conveys great support to its digital yuan. According to some experts in the field, its new currency is a weapon that the country can use to compete with the U.S. and other developed economies.

As CryptoPotato recently reported, PayPal CEO Peter Thiel said that Bitcoin could be used as a Chinese financial weapon against the U.S.

In the meantime, Novogratz said that there is ”zero evidence of the Chinese government buying Bitcoin” much less weaponizing it, referring to the comments made by Peter Thiel:

”Sometimes he likes to say things that are provocative.”

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Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://cryptopotato.com/bitcoin-bull-mike-novogratz-predicts-existential-crisis-unless-the-us-creates-a-digital-dollar/

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Blockchain

Ripple becomes tidal wave, leads weekend pump and notches legal victories

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Amid a weekend pump carrying multiple cryptocurrencies higher, Ripple’s XRP looks to be leading the way with a push as high as 30% on the daily — carried on the back of a string of legal victories and rumors of relisting at some exchanges. 

Where Bitcoin and Ethereum are up merely 2.7% and 3.4% respectively on the day, XRP climbed to $1.36 before retreating to $1.32, where it sits at the time of publication. The digital currency is now up 111% on a 7 day basis, and a staggering 544% on the year. The recent push has also buoyed XRP back into the top 10 cryptocurrencies by marketcap, behind only BTC, ETH, and BNB at #4.

The rally flies in the face of a lawsuit from the Securities and Exchange Commission, which charges that XRP’s $1.3 billion ICO was an “unregistered securities offering.” The news led multiple exchanges to delist the currency, and XRP lost its place as the 3rd largest currency by marketcap, at time looking as if it would even fall out of the top ten. 

The bad news for XRP didn’t stop with the SEC, either. In March Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse announced that the company would be “winding down” its relationship with Moneygram — a once highly-touted partnership that investors often pointed to as proof of the digital currency being on a path towards becoming “the standard” for payments and settlement.

Despite the deluge of negative headlines, it appears all buyers needed was a small ray of hope to jump back in — and they’ve gotten exactly that. Ripple lawyers have notched two victories in their legal battle against the SEC, including winning access to internal SEC discussion history regarding cryptocurrencies, and a court denied the SEC the ability to disclose the financial records of two Ripple execs, including Garlinghouse.

Ripple executives themselves seem heartened by the news, with CTO David Schwartz saying the US isn’t “prepared” to regulate cryptocurrencies (a possible dig at the ongoing legal proceedings).

All in all, it’s just another week for one of the most controversial cryptocurrencies in the space.

Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/ripple-becomes-tidal-wave-leads-weekend-pump-and-notches-legal-victories

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Why this OlympusDAO’s product could be amongst DeFi most lucrative

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Taking the market by storm, OlympusDAO’s native OHM is up 95.8% this week alone and 31.1% in the past two weeks. At the time of writing, OHM is trading at $812,76 with 7.3% profits in the 24-hour chart.

With a market cap of just $68 million, OlympusDAO might have gone unnoticed by many investors. However, it has a mechanism called Bonds which promises to be one most important and lucrative in the DeFi sector.

According to research firm Messari, this protocol is attempting to create a stable currency backing every OHM with DAI and OHM-DAI. The objective is to maintain a “fundamental check on inflation” and a currency with an undiluted purchasing power.

Unlike Tether and other stablecoins, OHM is not pegged to any other asset. Its stability is achieved via the DAO (Decentralized Autonomous Organization) when it alters variables to obtain more profitability for stakers.

This is done via the sales contract connected to the protocol’s treasury and a liquidity pool (OMH-DAI) on decentralized exchange Sushiswap, as shown below. Messari explains:

When OHM trades above 1 DAI, the protocol mints and sells new OHM. When OHM trades below 1 DAI, the protocol buys back and burns OHM. In each case the protocol makes a profit. Olympus DAO distributes these profits 90% to OHM stakers pro rata and 10% to a DAO.

OlympusDAO OHM
Source: Messari

How OlympusDAO’s bonds operate

The Bonds are a treasury component to get liquidity with it users can trade Stake Liquidity Provider tokens to get OHM directly with the protocol, as an OlympusDAO developer explained.

Once the trade is completed there is a vesting schedule of 5 days. During this time, the user can redeem the tokens but has incentives to get them at a discount. The latter is determined by the number of bonds in the protocol, more bonds are equal to a lower discount.

Via this mechanism, as the developer said, OlympusDAO restrains its own growth, to have become “steadier”.

The liquidity from a bond is locked in the treasury and used to back new $OHM. That liquidity now belongs to the market and, by extension, the token holders. The more liquidity the protocol builds up, the more confident holders can feel.

The users are basically contributing to OlympusDAO by adding liquidity. In retribution, the user gets a reward in OHM at a much cheaper price during a specific period. That way, both the user and the protocol can benefit.

OlympusDAO offers LP a variety of strategies around OHM which they can leverage to obtain a bigger profit than on the spot market. The developer claims:

All of this serves to create a long-term, sustainable bootstrapping mechanism for the protocol, with participants as the main beneficiaries. A good system shouldn’t offer one opportunity to “make it”; it should offer them in perpetuity with diminishing returns. This is how you produce wealth; slowly, through compounding gains.

Ethereum is trading at $2096,58 with a 1.2% profit in the 24-hour chart, after dropping from its ATH at $2,198.

OlympusDAO OHM Ethereum ETHUSD
ETH with small profits in the 24-hour chart. Source: ETHUSD Tradingview

Coinsmart. Beste Bitcoin-Börse in Europa
Source: https://www.newsbtc.com/news/why-this-olympusdaos-product-could-be-amongst-defi-most-lucrative/

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